Biology subjects

Selle, M. L.

Publications and source records attributed to Selle, M. L..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2020

Spatial modelling improves genetic evaluation in smallholder breeding programs

Breeders and geneticists use statistical models for genetic evaluation of animals to separate genetic and environmental effects on phenotype. A common way to separate these effects is to model a descriptor of an environment, a contemporary group or herd, and account for genetic relationship between animals across the environments. However, separating the genetic and environmental effects in smallholder systems is challenging due to small herd sizes and weak genetic connectedness across herds. Our hypothesis was that accounting for spatial relationships between nearby herds can improve genetic evaluation in smallholder systems. Further, geographically referenced environmental covariates are increasingly available and could be used to model underlying sources of the spatial relationships. The objective of this study was therefore to evaluate the potential of spatial modelling to improve genetic evaluation in smallholder systems. We focus solely on dairy cattle smallholder systems. We performed simulations and real dairy cattle data analysis to test our hypothesis. We used a range of models to account for environmental variation by estimating herd and spatial effects. We compared these models using pedigree or genomic data. The results show that in smallholder systems (i) standard models are not able to separate genetic and environmental effects, (ii) spatial modelling increases accuracy of genetic evaluation for phenotyped and non-phenotyped animals, (iii) environmental covariates do not substantially improve accuracy of genetic evaluation beyond simple distance-driven spatial relationships between herds, (iv) the benefit of spatial modelling was the largest when the genetic and environmental effects were hard to separate and (v) spatial modelling was beneficial when using either pedigree or genomic data. We have demonstrated the potential of spatial modelling to improve genetic evaluation in smallholder systems. This improvement is driven by establishing environmental connectedness between herds that enhances separation of the genetic and environmental effects. We suggest routine spatial modelling in genetic evaluations, particularly for smallholder systems. Spatial modelling could also have major impact in studies of human and wild populations.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Robust Genomic Modelling Using Expert Knowledge about Additive, Dominance and Epistasis Variation

We propose a novel Bayesian approach that robustifies genomic modelling by leveraging expert knowledge through prior distributions. The central component is the hierarchical decomposition of phenotypic variation into additive and non-additive genetic variation, which leads to an intuitive model parameterization that can be visualised as a tree. The edges of the tree represent ratios of variances, for example broad-sense heritability, which are quantities for which expert knowledge is natural to exist. Penalized complexity priors are defined for all edges of the tree in a bottom-up procedure that respects the model structure and incorporates expert knowledge through all levels. We investigate models with different sources of variation and compare the performance of different priors implementing varying amounts of expert knowledge in the context of plant breeding. A simulation study shows that the proposed priors implementing expert knowledge improve the robustness of genomic modelling and the selection of the genetically best individuals in a breeding program. We observe this improvement in both variety selection on genetic values and parent selection on additive values; the variety selection benefited the most. In a real case study expert knowledge increases phenotype prediction accuracy for cases in which the standard maximum likelihood approach did not find optimal estimates for the variance components. Finally, we discuss the importance of expert knowledge priors for genomic modelling and breeding, and point to future research areas of easy-to-use and parsimonious priors in genomic modelling.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Hierarchical modeling of haplotype effects based on a phylogeny

This paper introduces a hierarchical model to estimate haplotype effects based on phylogenetic relationships between haplotypes and their association with observed phenotypes. In a population there are usually many, but not all possible, distinct haplotypes and few observations per haplotype. Further, haplotype frequencies tend to vary substantially - few haplotypes have high frequency and many haplotypes have low frequency. Such data structure challenge estimation of haplotype effects. However, haplotypes often differ only due to few mutations and leveraging these similarities can improve the estimation of haplotype effects. There is extensive literature on this topic. Here we build on these observations and develop an autoregressive model of order one that hierarchically models haplotype effects by leveraging phylogenetic relationships between the haplotypes described with a directed acyclic graph. The phylogenetic relationships can be either in a form of a tree or a network and we therefore refer to the model as the haplotype network model. The haplotype network model can be included as a component in a phenotype model to estimate associations between haplotypes and phenotypes. The key contribution of this work is that by leveraging the haplotype network structure we obtain a sparse model and by using hierarchical autoregression the flow of information between similar haplotypes is estimated from the data. We show with a simulation study that the hierarchical model can improve estimates of haplotype effects compared to an independent haplotype model, especially when there are few observations for a specific haplotype. We also compared it to a mutation model and observed comparable performance, though the haplotype model has the potential to capture background specific effects. We demonstrate the model with a case study of modeling the effect of mitochondrial haplotypes on milk yield in cattle.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2019

Modelling spatial variation in agricultural field trials with INLA

The objective of this paper was to fit different established spatial models for analysing agricultural field trials using the open-source R package INLA. Spatial variation is common in field trials and accounting for it increases the accuracy of estimated genetic effects. However, this is still hindered by the lack of available software implementations. Here we compare some established spatial models and show possibilities for flexible modelling with respect to field trial design and joint modelling over multiple years and locations. We use a Bayesian framework and for statistical inference the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA) implemented in the R package INLA. The spatial models we use are the well-known independent row and column effects, separable first-order autoregressive (AR1{otimes}AR1) models and a geostatistical model using the stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) approach. The SPDE approach models a Gaussian random field, which can accommodate flexible field trial designs and yields interpretable parameters. We test the models in a simulation study imitating a wheat breeding program with different levels of spatial variation, with and without genome-wide markers, and with combining data over two locations, modelling spatial and genetic effects jointly. We evaluate predictive performance by correlation between true and estimated breeding values, the continuous rank probability score and how often the best individuals rank at the top. The results show best predictive performance with the AR1{otimes}AR1 and the SPDE. We also present an example of fitting the models to real wheat breeding data and simulated tree breeding data with the Nelder wheel design.\n\nKey messageEstablished spatial models improve the analysis of agricultural field trials with or without genomic data and can be fitted with the open-source R package INLA.

genomics↗