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Biology subjects

Scheibe, T. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Scheibe, T. D..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Harnessing artificial intelligence to automate environmental predictions

Predicting heterogeneous and non-linear processes remains a fundamental challenge in Earth sciences. Here, we present an artificial intelligence (AI)-guided framework that iteratively combines predictive modeling with targeted field sampling to rapidly improve environmental predictions. We demonstrate our workflow by predicting oxygen consumption, a key process of stream metabolism, across the contiguous United States (CONUS). Our approach consisted of 18 iterative loops of measurements and models, combining distributed participatory field sampling, lab analysis, automated machine learning (ML) predictions, and error and distinctiveness analyses to autonomously guide the next sampling at optimal site locations. Through our approach, we increased the predictive power of sediment oxygen consumption across CONUS by over fifteenfold between the first and last iteration. Relative to our last sampling iteration, our first sampling missed sites with high rates and underestimated median oxygen consumption rates by 68%. In addition to identifying areas of high oxygen consumption rates, iterations enabled refinement of laboratory and data handling methods, and engagement with a broad community of field researchers. We conclude that AI-guided iterative loops between targeted sampling and predictive modeling are a powerful and efficient approach for improving predictions of heterogeneous environmental processes.

ecology↗

Modeling Microbial Regulatory Feedback in Organic Matter Decomposition Identifies Copiotrophic Traits as Key Drivers of Positive Priming

Microbial decomposition of complex soil organic matter (OM) is often regulated by labile organic carbon inputs, a phenomenon known as priming, which plays a critical role in belowground biogeochemical cycling. However, the strength and direction of microbial priming of soil OM pools varies significantly across ecosystems. A generalizable mechanistic framework explaining the factors that lead to accelerated (positive priming) or impeded (negative priming) rates of OM decomposition is still lacking. In this work, we conceptualize priming as a microbial feedback loop that optimizes the costs and benefits of maximizing growth rate, specifically, the cost of exoenzyme synthesis for decomposing complex OM versus the benefit of energy acquisition from labile OM. We examined the impacts of microbial growth traits and interactions on priming by employing a cybernetic modelling approach, which predicts complex microbial growth patterns by accounting for dynamic metabolic regulations. We simulated microbial priming across ecological community configurations composed of degraders and non-degraders with either oligotrophic or copiotrophic growth traits, resulting in seven combinations that included both single functional groups (degraders with either growth trait) and binary functional groups (combinations of degraders and non-degraders, or degraders only, with differing or common traits). Configurations with only non-degraders were excluded, as they are irrelevant for studying priming in OM decomposition. Monte Carlo simulations for these scenarios revealed: (1) positive priming is prevalent, while negative priming occurs sporadically under specific parameter settings; (2) positive priming is more frequently observed in microbial systems with copiotrophic degraders than those with oligotrophic degraders; (3) the presence of copiotrophic non-degraders suppresses positive priming, whereas the presence of oligotrophic non-degraders promotes it; and (4) the temporal dynamics of priming is also influenced by microbial growth traits and interactions. These findings highlight the driving role of microbial functional traits and interactions in priming. Most strikingly, our simulations predicted a dramatic positive priming effect triggered by the addition of a small amount (i.e., less than 10%) of labile OM, with no notable changes observed beyond this point. As we used a generalized microbial model, we hypothesize that our findings may reflect common features of OM priming across diverse microbial systems and environments. Overall, this work, combining new theories and models, significantly enhances our understanding of priming by providing model-generated and empirically testable hypotheses on the mechanisms governing it.

systems biology↗

Coupling Flux Balance Analysis with Reactive Transport Modeling through Machine Learning for Rapid and Stable Simulation of Microbial Metabolic Switching

Integration of genome-scale metabolic networks with reactive transport models (RTMs) is an advanced simulation technique that enables predicting the changes of microbial growth and metabolism in space and time. Despite promising demonstrations in the past, computational inefficiency has been pointed out as a critical issue to overcome because it requires repeated implementation of linear programming (LP) to get flux balance analysis (FBA) solutions in every time step and every spatial grid. To address this challenge, we propose a new simulation method where we train/validate artificial neural networks (ANNs) using FBA solutions randomly sampled and incorporate the resulting reduced-order FBA model (represented as algebraic equations) into RTMs as source/sink terms. We demonstrate the efficiency of our method via a case study of Shewanella oneidensis MR-1 strain. During the aerobic growth on lactate, S. oneidensis produces metabolic byproducts (such as pyruvate and acetate), which are subsequently consumed as alternative carbon sources when the preferred ones are depleted. Simulating such intricate dynamics posed a considerable challenge, which we overcame by adopting the cybernetic approach that describes metabolic switches as the outcome of dynamic competition among multiple growth options. In both zero-dimensional batch and one-dimensional column configurations, the ANN-based reduced-order models achieved substantial reduction of computational time by several orders of magnitude compared to the original LP-based FBA models. Importantly, the ANN models produced robust solutions without any special measures to prevent numerical instability. These developments significantly promote our ability to utilize genome-scale networks in complex, multi-physics, and multi-dimensional ecosystem modeling.

systems biology↗

Representing Organic Matter Thermodynamics in Biogeochemical Reactions via Substrate-Explicit Modeling

Predictive biogeochemical modeling requires data-model integration that enables explicit representation of the sophisticated roles of microbial processes that transform substrates. Data from high-resolution organic matter (OM) characterization are increasingly available and can serve as a critical resource for this purpose, but their incorporation into biogeochemical models is often prohibited due to an over-simplified description of reaction networks. To fill this gap, we proposed a new concept of biogeochemical modeling--termed substrate-explicit modeling--that enables parameterizing OM-specific oxidative degradation pathways and reaction rates based on the thermodynamic properties of OM pools. The resulting kinetic models are characterized by only two parameters regardless of the complexity of OM profiles, which can greatly facilitate the integration with reactive transport models for ecosystem simulations by alleviating the difficulty in parameter identification. For every detected organic molecule in a given sample, our approach provides a systematic way to formulate reaction kinetics from chemical formula, which enables the evaluation of the impact of OM character on biogeochemical processes across conditions. In a case study of two sites with distinct OM thermodynamics, our method not only predicted oxidative degradation to be primarily driven by thermodynamic efficiency of OM consistent with experimental rate measurements, but also revealed previously unknown critically important aspects of biogeochemical reactions, including their condition-specific response to carbon and/or oxygen limitations. Lastly, we showed that the proposed substrate-explicit modeling approach can be synergistically combined with enzyme-explicit approach to provide improved predictions. This result led us to present integrative biogeochemical modeling as a unifying framework that can ideally describe the dynamic interplay among microbes, enzymes, and substrates to address advanced questions and hypotheses in future studies. Altogether, the new modeling concept we propose in this work provides a foundational platform for unprecedented predictions of biogeochemical and ecosystem dynamics through enhanced integration with diverse experimental data and extant modeling approaches.

systems biology↗