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Saulnier, E.

Publications and source records attributed to Saulnier, E..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Deep learning from phylogenies to uncover the transmission dynamics of epidemics

Widely applicable, accurate and fast inference methods in phylodynamics are needed to fully profit from the richness of genetic data in uncovering the dynamics of epidemics. Standard methods, including maximum-likelihood and Bayesian approaches, generally rely on complex mathematical formulae and approximations, and do not scale with dataset size. We develop a likelihood-free, simulation-based approach, which combines deep learning with (1) a large set of summary statistics measured on phylogenies or (2) a complete and compact representation of trees, which avoids potential limitations of summary statistics and applies to any phylodynamics model. Our method enables both model selection and estimation of epidemiological parameters from very large phylogenies. We demonstrate its speed and accuracy on simulated data, where it performs better than the state-of-the-art methods. To illustrate its applicability, we assess the dynamics induced by superspreading individuals in an HIV dataset of men-having-sex-with-men in Zurich. Our tool PhyloDeep is available on github.com/evolbioinfo/phylodeep.

bioinformatics↗

Simulating trajectories and phylogenies from population dynamics models with TiPS

We introduce TiPS, an R package to generate trajectories and phylogenetic trees associated with a compartmental model. Trajectories are simulated using Gillespies exact or approximate stochastic simulation algorithm, or a newly-proposed mixed version of the two. Phylogenetic trees are simulated from a trajectory under a backwards-in-time approach (i.e. coalescent). TiPS is based on the Rcpp package, allowing to combine the flexibility of R for model definition and the speed of C++ for simulations execution. The model is defined in R with a set of reactions, which allow capturing heterogeneity in life cycles or any sort of population structure. TiPS converts the model into C++ code and compiles it into a simulator that is interfaced in R via a function. Furthermore, the package allows defining time periods in which the models parameters can take different values. This package is particularly well suited for population genetics and phylodynamics studies that need to generate a large number of phylogenies used for population dynamics studies. This package is available on the CRAN at https://cran.r-project.org/package=TiPS.

bioinformatics↗

Modelling coinfections to detect within-host interactions from genotype combination prevalences

Parasite genetic diversity can provide information on disease transmission dynamics but most methods ignore the exact combinations of genotypes in infections. We introduce and validate a new method that combines explicit epidemiological modelling of coinfections and regression Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC) to detect within-host interactions. Using genital infections by different types of Human Papillomaviruses (HPVs) as a test case, we show that, if sufficiently strong, within-host parasite interactions can be detected from epidemiological data and that this detection is robust even in the face of host heterogeneity in behaviour. These results suggest that the combination of mathematical modelling and sophisticated inference techniques is promising to extract additional epidemiological information from existing datasets.

epidemiology↗