Biology subjects

Pringle, J. M.

Publications and source records attributed to Pringle, J. M..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Where and why alongshore variation in larval transport enables the establishment of introduced species

After introduction, many non-native marine species are dispersed planktonically. Secondary spread within the non-native range has been shown to prevent the establishment of the introduced species if the advection of larvae prevents sufficient return of larvae to maintain the population in the face of competition with native species. However, those studies have largely neglected the effects of spatial variation in alongshore larval transport. We examine the introduction of a novel species with planktonic dispersal into a more realistic coastal environment which includes spatial variation in larval transport estimated from the Mercator Ocean 1/12th degree global circulation model. The introduction may either be from a distant habitat, or through range expansion. We find that there are locations in the global coastal ocean where introduced species are more likely to persist because of spatial variation of coastal currents. These include regions where alongshore larval transport diverges, such as estuaries. The location where a non-native species is introduced may not be where it flourishes - it cannot be assumed that the region where invading species are first noticed to be abundant is the region where it was introduced. We extend closed-population theory to open coastal systems to estimate persistence as a function of local circulation, habitat extent, and the competitive advantage of the introduced species. Software is provided which allows the estimations of regions where introduced species are more likely to persist and flourish as a function of larval depth behavior, planktonic duration and release timing.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Drivers of genetic diversity across the marine tree of life

Why do some species have more genetic diversity than others? This question is one of the greatest remaining mysteries in evolutionary biology, yet we still know little about what factors predict genetic diversity among species. Efforts to quantify diversity or understand its distribution have been hampered by a lack of genomic data analyzed in a consistent way with statistical approaches that can move beyond the population level to generate species-wide estimates of genetic diversity. We address this critical gap by generating standardized estimates of genomic-level genetic diversity for 93 species sampled over 9,000 localities. Because marine species have evolved a strikingly diverse array of biological traits that have long been hypothesized to affect species-level genetic diversity, we focus our study on marine taxa. For each species, we aggregated biotic traits related to life history and abiotic features of the species range. We show that genetic diversity increases with species range extent and planktonic dispersal. We hypothesize that these traits increase a species ability to avoid or recover from bottlenecks, thereby maintaining genetic diversity. Our findings provide insights into how biotic and abiotic factors interact to shape genomic variation in the ocean, and offer a predictive framework for understanding marine biodiversity in the face of global change. Significance statementSpecies exhibit vast trait diversity that allows populations to persist. However, diversity in these traits -- e.g., how organisms reproduce, disperse, and feed -- is not easily linked to what is known of genomic diversity, even in well-studied organisms. We investigate a diverse assemblage of marine species to begin to build a predictive framework for how species traits drive genomic diversity across the worlds oceans. We find that species with larger geographic ranges have higher genomic diversity. More dispersive species also harbor higher diversity, suggesting that greater dispersal facilitates resilience to environmental change. As available datasets increase, our ability to understand fundamental links between trait and genetic diversity and how they shape species responses to environmental change will continue to improve.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2024

Anthropogenic climate change will likely outpace coral range expansion

Past coral range expansions suggest that high-latitude environments may serve as refugia, potentially buffering tropical biodiversity loss due to climate change. We explore this possibility for corals globally, using a dynamical metacommunity model incorporating temperature, light intensity, pH, and four distinct, interacting coral assemblages. This model reasonably reproduces the observed distribution and recent decline of corals across the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean. Our simulations suggest that there is a mismatch between the timescales of coral reef decline and range expansion under future predicted climate change. Whereas the most severe declines in coral cover will likely occur within 60-80 years, significant tropical coral range expansion requires centuries. The absence of large-scale coral refugia in the face of rapid anthropogenic climate change emphasises the urgent need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and mitigate non-thermal stressors for corals, both in the tropics and high-latitudes.

ecology↗