Biology subjects

Plomin, R.

Publications and source records attributed to Plomin, R..

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Genetic influences on educational outcomes during and after the Soviet era: Revisiting evidence from Estonia

The origins of individual differences in socioeconomic outcomes, including educational attainment and occupational status, reflect a combination of genetic and environmental factors whose relative contributions may differ across historical contexts. Previous research suggested a doubling of the relative role of genetics in explaining variation in these traits in independent Estonia compared with the Soviet era. Using the Estonian Biobank, now tenfold larger than at the time of the original study, we aimed to replicate and extend these findings. We found converging evidence that the relative contribution of genetic factors to educational attainment, but not to occupational status, was higher in the post-Soviet era, although the differences were smaller than previously reported and varied across analytical approaches. However, analyses using narrower birth cohorts revealed a more complex pattern, with the relative genetic contribution to educational attainment decreasing gradually across successive cohorts. Thus, while the Soviet-to-post-Soviet transition was associated with an increase in the relative role of genetic factors in explaining individual differences in educational attainment, it represents only one component of the broader historical changes that have shaped genetic associations with educational attainment in Estonia over the last century.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2025

Charting the cognitive development of children using adult 'polygenic g scores'

The most highly predictive polygenic scores in the behavioural sciences are for cognitive traits, especially general cognitive ability (g) and educational attainment. We combined polygenic scores derived from genome-wide association studies of adult g and educational attainment to create adult polygenic g scores which we used to chart the course of cognitive development of 10,000 white British children from toddlerhood through early adulthood. We integrated cross-sectional regression, latent growth curve, and confirmatory factor analysis to systematically characterise cognitive development. Polygenic g score showed minimal prediction in toddlerhood, modest prediction in childhood, and substantial prediction by early adulthood accounting for 12% of the variance. Higher polygenic g scores were associated with faster cognitive growth in latent growth models. Prediction was strongest for a cross-time latent cognitive factor (15%) capturing cognitive ability across development. By integrating polygenic prediction directly into a structural equation model framework, we provided a theoretical upper bound of genetic influences on g under minimal measurement error. We also examined the polygenic g scores prediction of educational achievement, behaviour problems, and anthropometric outcomes and found similar developmental increases in prediction for educational achievement. Together, our findings demonstrate that adult polygenic g scores can be a useful tool for charting the development of cognitive traits.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2025

From genetic disposition to academic achievement: The mediating role of non-cognitive skills across development

Genetic effects on academic achievement are likely to capture environmental, developmental, and psychological processes. How these processes contribute to translating genetic dispositions into observed academic achievement remains critically under-investigated. Here, we examined the role of non-cognitive skills--e.g., motivation, attitudes and self-regulation--in mediating education-associated genetic effects on academic achievement across development. Data were collected from 5,016 children enrolled in the Twins Early Development Study at ages 7, 9, 12, and 16, as well as their parents and teachers. We found that non-cognitive skills mediated polygenic score effects on academic achievement across development, and longitudinally, accounting for up to 64% of the total effects. Within-family analyses highlighted the contribution of non-cognitive skills beyond genetic, environmental and demographic factors that are shared between siblings, accounting for up to 83% of the total mediation effect, likely reflecting evocative/active gene-environment correlation. Our results underscore the role of non-cognitive skills in academic development in how children evoke and select experiences that align with their genetic propensity.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2024

Exploring the specific predictive ability of multiple domains of spatial ability on STEM educational outcomes

AbstractResearch has implicated spatial ability as a robust predictor of aptitude, interest, and choice in STEM education and career pursuits. We address three under-explored questions regarding the role of spatial ability in STEM. First, can spatial ability consistently predict STEM success beyond other cognitive skills? Second, what aspects of spatial ability, if any, can predict success in STEM more accurately? Third, to what extent can genetic and environmental factors account for these predictions? We addressed these questions by leveraging data from the Twins Early Development Study (N = 3,936; age range = 16-22) and using 16 tests that assessed three domains of spatial ability: navigation, object manipulation, and visualization. Results show that all three domains are highly predictive of STEM educational outcomes, especially STEM degree choice. These associations persisted after accounting for verbal and general cognitive abilities (g), albeit attenuated. Associations were strongest for tests of object manipulation (e.g., 2D and 3D drawing, pattern assembly and mental rotation). Genetic factors accounted for most of the observed associations between spatial ability and STEM outcomes (62% - 86%) --genetic variance was mostly shared with g ([~] 40%) and, to a lesser extent, verbal ability ([~] 25%). Our findings highlight the potential utility of spatial ability as a specific predictor of success in STEM education and career choice beyond other cognitive abilities. Screening for and training spatial skills is likely useful for identifying potential, fostering talent, and improving outcomes in STEM. Significance StatementLeveraging a comprehensive battery of 16 spatial ability tests across multiple domains, we show that spatial ability has specific utility for predicting success in STEM education. Spatial skills predict success in STEM above and beyond other cognitive abilities, particularly when it comes to STEM engagement and pursuing further STEM education. Thus, spatial skills may be a fruitful target for policymakers, stakeholders, and industries looking to develop interventions, identify and foster talent, and reduce outcome disparities.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2024

Gene-environment correlation: The role of family environment in academic development

Academic achievement is partly heritable and highly polygenic. However, genetic effects on academic achievement are not independent of environmental processes. We investigated whether aspects of the family environment mediated genetic effects on academic achievement across development. Our sample included 5,151 children who participated in the Twins Early Development Study, as well as their parents and teachers. Data on academic achievement and family environments (parenting, home environments, and geocoded indices of neighbourhood characteristics) were available at ages 7, 9, 12 and 16. We computed educational attainment polygenic scores (PGS), and further separated genetic effects into cognitive and noncognitive PGS. Three core findings emerged. First, aspects of the family environment, but not the wider neighbourhood context, consistently mediated the PGS effects on achievement across development -accounting for up to 34.3% of the total effect. Family characteristics mattered beyond socio-economic status. Second, family environments were more robustly linked to noncognitive PGS effects on academic achievement than cognitive PGS effects. Third, when we investigated whether environmental mediation effects could also be observed when considering differences between siblings, adjusting for family fixed effects, we found that environmental mediation was nearly exclusively observed between families. This is consistent with the proposition that family environmental contexts contribute to academic development via passive gene-environment correlation processes, or genetic nurture. Our results show how parents tend to shape environments that foster their childrens academic development partly based on their own genetic disposition, particularly towards noncognitive skills, rather than responding to each childs genetic disposition.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2023

Genetic contributions of noncognitive skills to academic development

Noncognitive skills such as motivation and self-regulation, are partly heritable and predict academic achievement beyond cognitive skills. However, how the relationship between noncognitive skills and academic achievement changes over development is unclear. The current study examined how cognitive and noncognitive skills contribute to academic achievement from ages 7 to 16 in a sample of over 10,000 children from England and Wales. Noncognitive skills were increasingly predictive of academic achievement across development. Twin and polygenic scores analyses found that the contribution of noncognitive genetics to academic achievement became stronger over the school years. Results from within-family analyses indicated that associations with noncognitive genetics could not simply be attributed to confounding by environmental differences between nuclear families and are consistent with a possible role for evocative/active gene-environment correlations. By studying genetic effects through a developmental lens, we provide novel insights into the role of noncognitive skills in academic development.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

Genomic contributions to infant and toddler vocabulary scores: Implications for association with health-, cognition- and behaviour-related outcomes

BackgroundThe number of words children produce (expressive vocabulary) and understand (receptive vocabulary) changes rapidly during early development, partially due to genetic factors, although mechanisms are not well understood. Here, we performed a meta-genome-wide association study within the EAGLE consortium and investigated polygenic overlap with later-life traits, including Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and cognition. MethodsWe studied 37,913 parent-reported vocabulary size measures (English, Dutch, Danish) for 17,298 children of European descent. Meta-analyses were performed for early-phase expressive (infancy, 15-18 months), late-phase expressive (toddlerhood, 24-38 months) and late-phase receptive (toddlerhood, 24-38 months) vocabulary. Subsequently, we estimated Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism heritability (SNP-h2), genetic correlations (rg) and modelled underlying genetic factor structures with multivariate models. ResultsContributions of common genetic variation to early-life vocabulary were modest (SNP-h2: 0.08(SE=0.01) to 0.24(SE=0.03)) and multi-factorial. Genetic overlap between infant expressive and toddler receptive vocabulary was near zero (rg=0.07(SE=0.10)), although both measures were genetically related to toddler expressive vocabulary (rg=0.69(SE=0.14) and rg=0.67(SE=0.16), respectively). Consistently, polygenic association patterns with later-life traits differed: Genetic links with cognition emerged only in toddlerhood (e.g. toddler receptive vocabulary and intelligence: rg=0.36(SE=0.12)), despite comparable study power for infant measures. Furthermore, increased polygenic ADHD risk was associated with larger infant expressive vocabulary (rg=0.23(SE=0.08)), as confirmed by ADHD-symptom-based follow-up analyses in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC-rg=0.54(SE=0.26)). Genetic relationships with toddler receptive vocabulary were, however, opposite (ALSPAC-rg=-0.74(SE=0.23)), highlighting developmental changes in genetic architectures. ConclusionsMultiple genetic components contribute to early-life vocabulary development, shaping polygenic association patterns with later-life ADHD symptoms and cognition.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2022

The genetics of specific cognitive abilities

Most research on individual differences in performance on tests of cognitive ability focuses on general cognitive ability (g), the highest level in the three-level Cattell-Horn-Carroll (CHC) hierarchical model of intelligence. About 50% of the variance of g is due to inherited DNA differences (heritability) which increases across development. Much less is known about the genetics of the middle level of the CHC model, which includes 16 broad factors such as fluid reasoning, processing speed, and quantitative knowledge. We provide a meta-analytic review of 863,041 monozygotic-dizygotic twin comparisons from 80 publications for these middle-level factors, which we refer to as specific cognitive abilities (SCA). Twin comparisons were available for 11 of the 16 CHC domains. The average heritability across all SCA is 55%, similar to the heritability of g. However, there is substantial differential heritability and the SCA do not show the dramatic developmental increase in heritability seen for g. We also investigated SCA independent of g (g-corrected SCA, which we refer to as SCA.g). A surprising finding is that SCA.g remain substantially heritable (53% on average), even though 25% of the variance of SCA that covaries with g has been removed. Our review frames expectations for genomic research that will use polygenic scores to predict SCA and SCA.g. Genome-wide association studies of SCA.g are needed to create polygenic scores that can predict SCA profiles of cognitive abilities and disabilities independent of g. These could be used to foster childrens cognitive strengths and minimise their weaknesses.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

The winding roads to adulthood: a twin study

In the 21st century, emerging adulthood has stretched from the late teens through the twenties. Although this extended transition to adulthood can create stress, it can also offer opportunities to explore vocations and relationships that provide a better fit to individuals proclivities, including their genetic propensities. Here we report the results of the first systematic investigation of genetic and environmental influences on 57 psychological traits covering major issues in emerging adulthood such as aspirations, thoughts and attitudes, relationships and personality. We also investigate how these traits relate to physical and mental health, educational attainment and wellbeing using a sample of nearly 5000 pairs of UK twins aged 21-25 from the Twins Early Development Study. All 57 traits showed significant genetic influence, with an average heritability of 34% (SNP heritability [~]10%). Most of the variance (59% on average) was explained by non-shared environmental influences. These diverse traits were associated with mental health (average correlation .20), wellbeing (.16), physical health (.12) and educational attainment (.06). Shared genetic factors explained the majority of these correlations ([~]50%). Together, these emerging adulthood traits explained on average 30% of the variance in the outcomes (range = 8 to 69%), suggesting that these traits relate to the outcomes additively. We conclude that the environmental uncertainties of emerging adulthood in the 21st century do not diminish the importance of genetics. As adolescents travel down long and winding roads to adulthood, their trip is substantially influenced by genetic proclivities that nudge them down different paths leading to different destinations.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

Pathfinder: A gamified measure to integrate general cognitive ability into the biological, medical and behavioural sciences

Genome-wide association (GWA) studies have uncovered DNA variants associated with individual differences in general cognitive ability (g), but these are far from capturing heritability estimates obtained from twin studies. A major barrier to finding more of this missing heritability is assessment - the use of diverse measures across GWA studies as well as time and cost of assessment. In a series of four studies, we created a 15-minute (40-item), online, gamified measure of g that is highly reliable (alpha = .78; two-week test-retest reliability = .88), psychometrically valid and scalable; we called this new measure Pathfinder. In a fifth study, we administered this measure to 4,751 young adults from the Twins Early Development Study. This novel g measure, which also yields reliable verbal and nonverbal scores, correlated substantially with standard measures of g collected at previous ages (r ranging from .42 at age 7 to .57 at age 16). Pathfinder showed substantial twin heritability (.57, 95% CIs = .43, .68) and SNP heritability (.37, 95% CIs = .04, .70). A polygenic score computed from GWA studies of five cognitive and educational traits accounted for 12% of the variation in g, the strongest DNA-based prediction of g to date. Widespread use of this engaging new measure will advance research not only in genomics but throughout the biological, medical, and behavioural sciences.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Evaluation of Polygenic Prediction Methodology within a Reference-Standardized Framework

BackgroundThe predictive utility of polygenic scores is increasing, and many polygenic scoring methods are available, but it is unclear which method performs best. This study evaluates the predictive utility of polygenic scoring methods within a reference-standardized framework, which uses a common set of variants and reference-based estimates of linkage disequilibrium and allele frequencies to construct scores. MethodsEight polygenic score methods were tested: p-value thresholding and clumping (pT+clump), SBLUP, lassosum, LDPred1, LDPred2, PRScs, DBSLMM and SBayesR, evaluating their performance to predict outcomes in UK Biobank and the Twins Early Development Study (TEDS). Strategies to identify optimal p-value threshold and shrinkage parameters were compared, including 10-fold cross validation, pseudovalidation and infinitesimal models (with no validation sample), and multi-polygenic score elastic net models. ResultsLDPred2, lassosum and PRScs performed strongly using 10-fold cross-validation to identify the most predictive p-value threshold or shrinkage parameter, giving a relative improvement of 16-18% over pT+clump in the correlation between observed and predicted outcome values. Using pseudovalidation, the best methods were PRScs and DBSLMM, with a relative improvement of >10% over other pseudovalidation and infinitesimal methods (lassosum, SBLUP, SBayesR, LDPred1, LDPred2). PRScs pseudovalidation was only 3% worse than the best polygenic score identified by 10-fold cross validation. Elastic net models containing polygenic scores based on a range of parameters consistently improved prediction over any single polygenic score. ConclusionWithin a reference-standardized framework, the best polygenic prediction was achieved using LDPred2, lassosum and PRScs, modeling multiple polygenic scores derived using multiple parameters. This study will help researchers performing polygenic score studies to select the most powerful and predictive analysis methods.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Predicting alcohol use from genome-wide polygenic scores, environmental factors, and their interactions in young adulthood

Alcohol use during emerging adulthood is associated with adverse life outcomes but its risk factors are not well known. Here, we predicted alcohol use in 3,153 young adults aged 22 years from (a) genome-wide polygenic scores (GPS) based on genome-wide association studies for the target phenotypes number of drinks per week and Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test scores, (b) 30 environmental factors, and (c) their interactions (i.e., GxE effects). Data was collected from 1994 to 2018 as a part of the UK Twins Early Development Study. GPS accounted for up to 1.9% of the variance in alcohol use (i.e., Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test score), while the 30 measures of environmental factors together accounted for 21.1%. The 30 GPS-environment interactions did not explain any additional variance and none of the interaction terms exceeded the significance threshold after correcting for multiple testing. Our findings suggest that GPS and environmental factors have primarily direct, additive effects rather than interacting systematically.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Genome-wide association study of school grades identifies a genetic overlap between language ability, psychopathology and creativity

Individuals with psychiatric disorders perform differently in school compared to the general population. Genetic factors contribute substantially to such differences. It is however unclear if differential performance is seen across all cognitive domains such as math and language. Here we report a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of school grades in 30,982 individuals (18,495 with and 12,487 without one or more of six major psychiatric disorders) and a replication study in 4,547 individuals. GWAS of overall school performance yielded results that were highly similar to the results of a previous GWAS of educational attainment. Analyzing subject specific grades, we observed that math performance was severely affected whereas language performance (Danish and English) was relatively unaffected or enhanced in those with psychiatric disorders compared to controls. We found that the genetic variants associated with poor math performance, but better language performance were also associated with increased risk for multiple psychiatric disorders. The same variants were also associated with creativity, which we show through a polygenic score analysis of 2953 creative professionals and 164,622 controls. The results overall suggest that risk for psychiatric disorders, language ability and creativity might have overlapping genetic roots.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2019

Multivariable G-E interplay in the prediction of educational achievement

Polygenic scores are increasingly powerful predictors of educational achievement. It is unclear, however, how sets of polygenic scores, which partly capture environmental effects, perform jointly with sets of environmental measures, which are themselves heritable, in prediction models of educational achievement. Here, for the first time, we systematically investigate gene-environment correlation (rGE) and interaction (GxE) in the joint analysis of multiple genome-wide polygenic scores (GPS) and multiple environmental measures as they predict tested educational achievement (EA). We predict EA in a representative sample of 7,026 16-year-olds, with 20 GPS for psychiatric, cognitive and anthropometric traits, and 13 environments (including life events, home environment, and SES) measured earlier in life. Environmental and GPS predictors were modelled, separately and jointly, in penalized regression models with out-of-sample comparisons of prediction accuracy, considering the implications that their interplay had on model performance. Jointly modelling multiple GPS and environmental factors significantly improved prediction of EA, with cognitive-related GPS adding unique independent information beyond SES, home environment and life events. We found evidence for rGE underlying variation in EA (rGE = .36; 95% CIs = .29, .43). We estimated that 38% (95% CIs = 29%, 49%) of the GPS effects on EA were mediated by environmental effects, and in turn that 18% (95% CIs =12%, 25%) of environmental effects were accounted for by the GPS model. Lastly, we did not find evidence that GxE effects collectively contributed to multivariable prediction. Our multivariable polygenic and environmental prediction model suggests widespread rGE and unsystematic GxE contributions to EA in adolescence.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2019

Genetic factors underlie the association between anxiety, attitudes and performance in mathematics

Students struggling with mathematics anxiety (MA) tend to show lower levels of mathematics self-efficacy and interest as well as lower performance. The current study addresses: (1) how MA relates to different aspects of mathematics attitudes (self-efficacy and interest), ability (understanding numbers, problem-solving ability, and approximate number sense) and achievement (exam scores); (2) to what extent these observed relations are explained by overlapping genetic and environmental factors; and (3) the role of general anxiety in accounting for these associations. The sample comprised 3,410 twin pairs aged 16-21 years, from the Twins Early Development Study. Negative associations of comparable strength emerged between MA and the two measures of mathematics attitudes, phenotypically ([~] -.45) and genetically ([~] -.70). Moderate negative phenotypic ([~] -.35) and strong genetic ([~] -.70) associations were observed between MA and measures of mathematics performance. The only exception was approximate number sense whose phenotypic (-.10) and genetic (-.31) relation with MA was weaker. Multivariate quantitative genetic analyses indicated that all mathematics related measures combined accounted for [~]75% of the genetic variance in MA and [~]20% of its environmental variance. Genetic effects were largely shared across all measures of mathematics anxiety, attitudes, abilities and achievement, with the exception of approximate number sense. This genetic overlap was not accounted for by general anxiety. These results have important implications for future genetic research concerned with identifying the genetic underpinnings of individual variation in mathematics-related traits, as well as for developmental research into how children select and modify their mathematics-related experiences partly based on their genetic predispositions.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2019

Comparison of adopted and non-adopted individuals reveals gene-environment interplay for education in the UK Biobank

Individual-level polygenic scores can now explain [~]10% of the variation in number of years of completed education. However, associations between polygenic scores and education capture not only genetic propensity but information about the environment that individuals are exposed to. This is because individuals passively inherit effects of parental genotypes, since their parents typically also provide the rearing environment. In other words, the strong correlation between offspring and parent genotypes results in an association between the offspring genotypes and the rearing environment. This is termed passive gene-environment correlation. We present an approach to test for the extent of passive gene-environment correlation for education without requiring intergenerational data. Specifically, we use information from 6311 individuals in the UK Biobank who were adopted in childhood to compare genetic influence on education between adoptees and non-adopted individuals. Adoptees rearing environments are less correlated with their genotypes, because they do not share genes with their adoptive parents. We find that polygenic scores are twice as predictive of years of education in non-adopted individuals compared to adoptees (R2= 0.074 vs 0.037, difference test p= 8.23 x 10-24). We provide another kind of evidence for the influence of parental behaviour on offspring education: individuals in the lowest decile of education polygenic score attain significantly more education if they are adopted, possibly due to educationally supportive adoptive environments. Overall, these results suggest that genetic influences on education are mediated via the home environment. As such, polygenic prediction of educational attainment represents gene-environment correlations just as much as it represents direct genetic effects.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2019

Evidence for a unitary structure of spatial cognition beyond general intelligence.

Performance in everyday spatial orientation tasks (e.g. map reading and navigation) has been considered functionally separate from performance on more abstract object-based spatial abilities (e.g. mental rotation and visualization). However, evidence remains scarce and unsystematic. With a novel gamified battery, we assessed six tests of spatial orientation in a virtual environment and examined their association with ten object-based spatial tests, as well as their links to general cognitive ability (g). We further estimated the role of genetic and environmental factors in underlying variation and covariation in these spatial tests. Participants (N = 2,660) were part of the Twins Early Development Study, aged 19 to 22. The 6 tests of spatial orientation clustered into a single Navigation factor that was 64% heritable. Examining the structure of spatial ability across all 16 tests, three factors emerged: Navigation, Object Manipulation and Visualization. These, in turn, loaded strongly onto a general factor of Spatial Ability, which was highly heritable (84%). A large portion (45%) of this high heritability was independent of g. The results from this most comprehensive investigation of spatial abilities to date point towards the existence of a common genetic network that supports all spatial abilities.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2019

Comparing within- and between-family polygenic score prediction

Polygenic scores are a popular tool for prediction of complex traits. However, prediction estimates in samples of unrelated participants can include effects of population stratification, assortative mating and environmentally mediated parental genetic effects, a form of genotype-environment correlation (rGE). Comparing genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) predictions in unrelated individuals with predictions between siblings in a within-family design is a powerful approach to identify these different sources of prediction. Here, we compared within- to between-family GPS predictions of eight life outcomes (anthropometric, cognitive, personality and health) for eight corresponding GPSs. The outcomes were assessed in up to 2,366 dizygotic (DZ) twin pairs from the Twins Early Development Study from age 12 to age 21. To account for family clustering, we used mixed-effects modelling, simultaneously estimating within- and between-family effects for target- and cross-trait GPS prediction of the outcomes. There were three main findings: (1) DZ twin GPS differences predicted DZ differences in height, BMI, intelligence, educational achievement and ADHD symptoms; (2) target and cross-trait analyses indicated that GPS prediction estimates for cognitive traits (intelligence and educational achievement) were on average 60% greater between families than within families, but this was not the case for non-cognitive traits; and (3) this within- and between-family difference for cognitive traits disappeared after controlling for family socio-economic status (SES), suggesting that SES is a source of between-family prediction through rGE mechanisms. These results provide novel insights into the patterns by which rGE contributes to GPS prediction, while ruling out confounding due to population stratification and assortative mating.

genomics↗