Multimodal framework to resolve variants of uncertain significance in TSC2
Efforts to resolve the functional impact of variants of uncertain significance (VUS) have lagged behind the identification of new VUS; as such, there is a critical need for scalable VUS resolution technologies. Computational variant effect predictors (VEPs), once trained, can predict pathogenicity for all missense variants in a gene, set of genes, or the exome. Existing tools have employed information on known pathogenic and benign variants throughout the genome to predict pathogenicity of VUS. We hypothesize that taking a gene-specific approach will improve pathogenicity prediction over globally-trained VEPs. We tested this hypothesis using the gene TSC2, whose loss of function results in tuberous sclerosis, a multisystem mTORopathy affecting about 1 in 6,000 individuals born in the United States. TSC2 has been identified as a high-priority target for VUS resolution, with (1) well-characterized molecular and patient phenotypes associated with loss-of-function variants, and (2) more than 2,700 VUS already documented in ClinVar. We developed Tuberous sclerosis classifier to Resolve variants of Uncertain Significance in TSC2 (TRUST), a machine learning model to predict pathogenicity of TSC2 missense VUS. To test whether these predictions are accurate, we further introduce curated loci prime editing (cliPE) as an accessible strategy for performing scalable multiplexed assays of variant effect (MAVEs). Using cliPE, we tested the effects of more than 200 TSC2 variants, including 106 VUS. It is highly likely this functional data alone would be sufficient to reclassify 92 VUS with most being reclassified as likely benign. We found that TRUSTs classifications were correlated with the functional data, providing additional validation for the in silico predictions. We provide our pathogenicity predictions and MAVE data to aid with VUS resolution. In the near future, we plan to host these data on a public website and deposit into relevant databases such as MAVEdb as a community resource. Ultimately, this study provides a framework to complete variant effect maps of TSC1 and TSC2 and adapt this approach to other mTORopathy genes.