Biology subjects

Palamara, P. F.

Publications and source records attributed to Palamara, P. F..

13 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Genome-wide genealogies reveal deep admixtures forming modern humans

Over the past decade, genomic modelling has revealed a rich tapestry of admixtures shaping present-day human populations. These have largely focused on the past few thousand years, when ancestral populations are either well characterised by present-day genomic diversity or directly observed through ancient DNA. Genomic modelling and fossil evidence have so far only provided a fragmented picture of the coexistence and mixing of human groups in the deeper past. Here, we propose a new method, GhostBuster, that leverages inferred genome-wide genealogies to detect admixture events of unsampled ghost populations, while simultaneously inferring accurate local ancestry. Local ancestry enables us to identify ancestry-specific genomic signatures that independently corroborate the events. We identify at least three waves of "back-to-Africa" migrations starting [~]14,000 years ago. Applying GhostBuster to deeper timescales reveals that modern humans were shaped by repeated episodes of mixture. Around 50,000 years ago, we identify a human lineage that expanded to form present-day non-Africans, while also expanding within Africa, mixing with the other local African group in varying proportions. These ancient groups help explain polygenic score portability differences within Africa, and exhibit differences in population size and recombination landscapes. Extending our analysis further back to between 300,000 and 1 million years ago reveals two deeply diverged ancestral lineages. These lineages evolved profoundly different recombination landscapes, with different PRDM9 alleles (PRDM9-A and C) and recombination hotspots. We demonstrate that both Neanderthals and ancestral modern humans are formed through a mixture of these two lineages, with no evidence of gene flow from the PRDM9-A-carrying group into Denisovans.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

Comprehensive gene heritability estimation reveals the genetic architecture of rare coding variants underlying complex traits

Whole-exome sequencing (WES) enables high-resolution interrogation of the contribution of rare coding variants to complex trait variation. However, existing methods for heritability estimation attributed to rare-coding variants are often limited by the effects of linkage disequilibrium (LD) and by the sparse nature of rare variant data. We introduce FLEX (Fast, LD-aware Estimation of eXome-wide and gene-level heritability), a scalable and flexible framework for estimating and partitioning heritability across genes or sets of genes using WES data. FLEX integrates all coding variants- from common to ultra-rare - within a unifled model and corrects for LD-induced effects to improve the accuracy of heritability estimates. In addition, FLEX supports both individual-level and summary statistic data and is computationally efflcient for biobank-scale datasets. Through extensive simulations, we show that FLEX is well-calibrated while providing accurate heritability estimates. We applied FLEX to WES data across N = 153, 351 unrelated European ancestry individuals and 20 quantitative traits in the UK Biobank. We identifled 64 gene-trait pairs with signiflcant gene-level heritability (p < 0.05/18, 624 accounting for the number of protein-coding genes tested), among which rare coding variants explained 38% of gene-level heritability, on average. Compared to heritability estimates from genome-wide imputed SNPs, incorporation of rare and ultra-rare coding variants led to a 24.8% increase in heritability on average, while effect sizes at rare and ultra-rare variants are substantially larger ({approx} 18x on average). Partitioning across variant effect annotations, we flnd that predicted loss-of-function variants had stronger individual effects than missense variants (24% on average) while missense variants accounted for a greater share of rare coding heritability. Together, FLEX provides an adaptable and accurate approach for quantifying gene-level heritability, advancing our understanding of the genetic architecture of complex traits, and facilitating the discovery of trait-relevant genes.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2024

Insights into the causes and consequences of DNA repeat expansions from 700,000 biobank participants

Expansions and contractions of tandem DNA repeats are a source of genetic variation in human populations and in human tissues: some expanded repeats cause inherited disorders, and some are also somatically unstable. We analyzed DNA sequence data, derived from the blood cells of >700,000 participants in UK Biobank and the All of Us Research Program, and developed new computational approaches to recognize, measure and learn from DNA-repeat instability at 15 highly polymorphic CAG-repeat loci. We found that expansion and contraction rates varied widely across these 15 loci, even for alleles of the same length; repeats at different loci also exhibited widely variable relative propensities to mutate in the germline versus the blood. The high somatic instability of TCF4 repeats enabled a genome-wide association analysis that identified seven loci at which inherited variants modulate TCF4 repeat instability in blood cells. Three of the implicated loci contained genes (MSH3, FAN1, and PMS2) that also modulate Huntingtons disease age-at-onset as well as somatic instability of the HTT repeat in blood; however, the specific genetic variants and their effects (instability-increasing or-decreasing) appeared to be tissue-specific and repeat-specific, suggesting that somatic mutation in different tissues--or of different repeats in the same tissue--proceeds independently and under the control of substantially different genetic variation. Additional modifier loci included DNA damage response genes ATAD5 and GADD45A. Analyzing DNA repeat expansions together with clinical data showed that inherited repeats in the 5 UTR of the glutaminase (GLS) gene are associated with stage 5 chronic kidney disease (OR=14.0 [5.7-34.3]) and liver diseases (OR=3.0 [1.5-5.9]). These and other results point to the dynamics of DNA repeats in human populations and across the human lifespan.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2024

A scalable approach for genome-wide inference of ancestral recombination graphs

The ancestral recombination graph (ARG) is a graph-like structure that encodes a detailed genealogical history of a set of individuals along the genome. ARGs that are accurately reconstructed from genomic data have several downstream applications, but inference from data sets comprising millions of samples and variants remains computationally challenging. We introduce Threads, a threading-based method that significantly reduces the computational costs of ARG inference while retaining high accuracy. We apply Threads to infer the ARG of 487,409 genomes from the UK Biobank using [~]10 million high-quality imputed variants, reconstructing a detailed genealogical history of the samples while compressing the input genotype data. Additionally, we develop ARG-based imputation strategies that increase genotype imputation accuracy for ultra-rare variants (MAC [≤]10) from UK Biobank exome sequencing data by 5-10%. We leverage ARGs inferred by Threads to detect associations with 52 quantitative traits in non-European UK Biobank samples, identifying 22.5% more signals than ARG-Needle. These analyses underscore the value of using computationally efficient genealogical modeling to improve and complement genotype imputation in large-scale genomic studies.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2024

Fast variance component analysis using large-scale ancestral recombination graphs

Recent algorithmic advancements have enabled the inference of genome-wide ancestral recombination graphs (ARGs) from genomic data in large cohorts. These inferred ARGs provide a detailed representation of genealogical relatedness along the genome and have been shown to complement genotype imputation in complex trait analyses by capturing the effects of unobserved genomic variants. An inferred ARG can be used to construct a genetic relatedness matrix, which can be leveraged within a linear mixed model for the analysis of complex traits. However, these analyses are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We introduce a computationally efficient approach, called ARG-RHE, to estimate narrow-sense heritability and perform region-based association testing using an ARG. ARG-RHE leverages a method for computing genotype-matrix products from genealogical data in sublinear time, along with scalable randomized algorithms. This enables fast estimation of variance components and their statistical significance, supports parallel analysis of multiple quantitative traits, and facilitates other linear mixed-model analyses. We conduct extensive simulations to verify the computational efficiency, statistical power, and robustness of this approach. We then apply it to detect associations between 21,159 genes and 52 blood-related traits, using an ARG inferred from genotype data of 337,464 individuals from the UK Biobank. In these analyses, combining ARG-based and imputation-based testing yields 8% more gene-trait associations than using imputation alone, suggesting that inferred genome-wide genealogies may effectively complement genotype imputation in the analysis of complex traits.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

HAPNEST: efficient, large-scale generation and evaluation of synthetic datasets for genotypes and phenotypes

Existing methods for simulating synthetic genotype and phenotype datasets have limited scalability, constraining their usability for large-scale analyses. Moreover, a systematic approach for evaluating synthetic data quality and a benchmark synthetic dataset for developing and evaluating methods for polygenic risk scores are lacking. We present HAPNEST, a novel approach for efficiently generating diverse individual-level genotypic and phenotypic data. In comparison to alternative methods, HAPNEST shows faster computational speed and a lower degree of relatedness with reference panels, while generating datasets that preserve key statistical properties of real data. These desirable synthetic data properties enabled us to generate 6.8 million common variants and nine phenotypes with varying degrees of heritability and polygenicity across 1 million individuals. We demonstrate how HAPNEST can facilitate biobank-scale analyses through the comparison of seven methods to generate polygenic risk scoring across multiple ancestry groups and different genetic architectures.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2022

Haplotype-based inference of recent effective population size in modern and ancient DNA samples

1Individuals sharing recent ancestors are likely to co-inherit large identical-by-descent (IBD) genomic regions. The distribution of these IBD segments in a population may be used to reconstruct past demographic events such as effective population size variation, but accurate IBD detection is difficult in ancient DNA (aDNA) data and in underrepresented populations with limited reference data. In this work, we introduce an accurate method for inferring effective population size variation during the past ~2,000 years in both modern and aDNA data, called HapNe. HapNe infers recent population size fluctuations using either IBD sharing (HapNe-IBD) or linkage disequilibrium (HapNe-LD), which does not require phasing and can be computed in low coverage data, including data sets with heterogeneous sampling times. HapNe showed improved accuracy in a range of simulated demographic scenarios compared to currently available methods for IBD-based and LD-based inference of recent effective population size, while requiring fewer computational resources. We applied HapNe to several modern populations from the 1, 000 Genomes Project, the UK Biobank, the Allen Ancient DNA Resource, and recently published samples from Iron Age Britain, detecting multiple instances of recent effective population size variation across these groups.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

Biobank-scale inference of ancestral recombination graphs enables genealogy-based mixed model association of complex traits

Accurate inference of gene genealogies from genetic data has the potential to facilitate a wide range of analyses. We introduce a method for accurately inferring biobank-scale genome-wide genealogies from sequencing or genotyping array data, as well as strategies to utilize genealogies within linear mixed models to perform association and other complex trait analyses. We use these new methods to build genome-wide genealogies using genotyping data for 337,464 UK Biobank individuals and to detect associations in 7 complex traits. Genealogy-based association detects more rare and ultra-rare signals (N = 133, frequency range 0.0004% - 0.1%) than genotype imputation from [~]65,000 sequenced haplotypes (N = 65). In a subset of 138,039 exome sequencing samples, these associations strongly tag (average r = 0.72) underlying sequencing variants, which are enriched for missense (2.3x) and loss-of-function (4.5x) variation. Inferred genealogies also capture additional association signals in higher frequency variants. These results demonstrate that large-scale inference of gene genealogies may be leveraged in the analysis of complex traits, complementing approaches that require the availability of large, population-specific sequencing panels.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Identity-by-descent detection across 487,409 British samples reveals fine-scale population structure, evolutionary history, and trait associations

Detection of Identical-By-Descent (IBD) segments provides a fundamental measure of genetic relatedness and plays a key role in a wide range of genomic analyses. We developed a new method, called FastSMC, that enables accurate biobank-scale detection of IBD segments transmitted by common ancestors living up to several hundreds of generations in the past. FastSMC combines a fast heuristic search for IBD segments with accurate coalescent-based likelihood calculations and enables estimating the age of common ancestors transmitting IBD regions. We applied FastSMC to 487,409 phased samples from the UK Biobank and detected the presence of [~]214 billion IBD segments transmitted by shared ancestors within the past 1,500 years. We quantified time-dependent shared ancestry within and across 120 postcodes, obtaining a fine-grained picture of genetic relatedness within the past two millennia in the UK. Sharing of common ancestors strongly correlates with geographic distance, enabling the localization of a samples birth coordinates from genomic data. We sought evidence of recent positive selection by identifying loci with unusually strong shared ancestry within recent millennia and we detected 12 genome-wide significant signals, including 7 novel loci. We found IBD sharing to be highly predictive of the sharing of ultra-rare variants in exome sequencing samples from the UK Biobank. Focusing on loss-of-function variation discovered using exome sequencing, we devised an IBD-based association test and detected 29 associations with 7 blood-related traits, 20 of which were not detected in the exome sequencing study. These results underscore the importance of modelling distant relatedness to reveal subtle population structure, recent evolutionary history, and rare pathogenic variation.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

High-throughput inference of pairwise coalescence times identifies signals of selection and enriched disease heritability

Interest in reconstructing demographic histories has motivated the development of methods to estimate locus-specific pairwise coalescence times from whole-genome sequence data. We developed a new method, ASMC, that can estimate coalescence times using only SNP array data, and is 2-4 orders of magnitude faster than previous methods when sequencing data are available. We were thus able to apply ASMC to 113,851 phased British samples from the UK Biobank, aiming to detect recent positive selection by identifying loci with unusually high density of very recent coalescence times. We detected 12 genome-wide significant signals, including 6 loci with previous evidence of positive selection and 6 novel loci, consistent with coalescent simulations showing that our approach is well-powered to detect recent positive selection. We also applied ASMC to sequencing data from 498 Dutch individuals (Genome of the Netherlands data set) to detect background selection at deeper time scales. We observed highly significant correlations between average coalescence time inferred by ASMC and other measures of background selection. We investigated whether this signal translated into an enrichment in disease and complex trait heritability by analyzing summary association statistics from 20 independent diseases and complex traits (average N=86k) using stratified LD score regression. Our background selection annotation based on average coalescence time was strongly enriched for heritability (p = 7x10-153) in a joint analysis conditioned on a broad set of functional annotations (including other background selection annotations), meta-analyzed across traits; SNPs in the top 20% of our annotation were 3.8x enriched for heritability compared to the bottom 20%. These results underscore the widespread effects of background selection on disease and complex trait heritability.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Detecting genome-wide directional effects of transcription factor binding on polygenic disease risk

Biological interpretation of GWAS data frequently involves analyzing unsigned genomic annotations comprising SNPs involved in a biological process and assessing enrichment for disease signal. However, it is often possible to generate signed annotations quantifying whether each SNP allele promotes or hinders a biological process, e.g., binding of a transcription factor (TF). Directional effects of such annotations on disease risk enable stronger statements about causal mechanisms of disease than enrichments of corresponding unsigned annotations. Here we introduce a new method, signed LD profile regression, for detecting such directional effects using GWAS summary statistics, and we apply the method using 382 signed annotations reflecting predicted TF binding. We show via theory and simulations that our method is well-powered and is well-calibrated even when TF binding sites co-localize with other enriched regulatory elements, which can confound unsigned enrichment methods. We further validate our method by showing that it recovers known transcriptional regulators when applied to molecular QTL in blood. We then apply our method to eQTL in 48 GTEx tissues, identifying 651 distinct TF-tissue expression associations at per-tissue FDR < 5%, including 30 associations with robust evidence of tissue specificity. Finally, we apply our method to 46 diseases and complex traits (average N = 289,617) and identify 77 annotation-trait associations at per-trait FDR < 5% representing 12 independent TF-trait associations, and we conduct gene-set enrichment analyses to characterize the underlying transcriptional programs. Our results implicate new causal disease genes (including causal genes at known GWAS loci), and in some cases suggest a detailed mechanism for a causal genes effect on disease. Our method provides a new way to leverage functional data to draw inferences about disease etiology.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Quantification of frequency-dependent genetic architectures and action of negative selection in 25 UK Biobank traits

Understanding the role of rare variants is important in elucidating the genetic basis of human diseases and complex traits. It is widely believed that negative selection can cause rare variants to have larger per-allele effect sizes than common variants. Here, we develop a method to estimate the minor allele frequency (MAF) dependence of SNP effect sizes. We use a model in which per-allele effect sizes have variance proportional to [p(1-p)], where p is the MAF and negative values of imply larger effect sizes for rare variants. We estimate by maximizing its profile likelihood in a linear mixed model framework using imputed genotypes, including rare variants (MAF >0.07%). We applied this method to 25 UK Biobank diseases and complex traits (N = 113,851). All traits produced negative estimates with 20 significantly negative, implying larger rare variant effect sizes. The inferred best-fit distribution of true values across traits had mean -0.38 (s.e. 0.02) and standard deviation 0.08 (s.e. 0.03), with statistically significant heterogeneity across traits (P = 0.0014). Despite larger rare variant effect sizes, we show that for most traits analyzed, rare variants (MAF <1%) explain less than 10% of total SNP-heritability. Using evolutionary modeling and forward simulations, we validated the model of MAF-dependent trait effects and estimated the level of coupling between fitness effects and trait effects. Based on this analysis an average genome-wide negative selection coefficient on the order of 10-4 or stronger is necessary to explain the values that we inferred.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2016

Linkage disequilibrium dependent architecture of human complex traits reveals action of negative selection

Recent work has hinted at the linkage disequilibrium (LD) dependent architecture of human complex traits, where SNPs with low levels of LD (LLD) have larger per-SNP heritability after conditioning on their minor allele frequency (MAF). However, this has not been formally assessed, quantified or biologically interpreted. Here, we analyzed summary statistics from 56 complex diseases and traits (average N = 101,401) by extending stratified LD score regression to continuous annotations. We determined that SNPs with low LLD have significantly larger per-SNP heritability. Roughly half of the LLD signal can be explained by functional annotations that are negatively correlated with LLD, such as DNase I hypersensitivity sites (DHS). The remaining signal is largely driven by our finding that common variants that are more recent tend to have lower LLD and to explain more heritability (P = 2.38 x 10-104); the youngest 20% of common SNPs explain 3.9x more heritability than the oldest 20%, consistent with the action of negative selection. We also inferred jointly significant effects of other LD-related annotations and confirmed via forward simulations that these annotations jointly predict deleterious effects. Our results are consistent with the action of negative selection on deleterious variants that affect complex traits, complementing efforts to learn about negative selection by analyzing much smaller rare variant data sets.

genetics↗