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Nyman, E.

Publications and source records attributed to Nyman, E..

13 recordsLinked to original sources

A Mathematical Model of Dietary Lipid Absorption and Postprandial Chylomicron Dynamics

Obesity and related conditions such as dyslipidemia impose an increasing burden on healthcare systems worldwide. These conditions are associated with altered postprandial chylomicron (CM) metabolism, the elusive and critical first step in lipid metabolism. This step remains elusive because it is governed by large interindividual variations and a complex set of intestinal processes. In particular, the second meal effect (SME) implies that enterocytes release previously stored fat during subsequent meals. To deal with this complexity, CM and lipid metabolism have previously been explored using mathematical modeling. However, existing models primarily describe TAG dynamics following a single meal or are too complex for practical personalization across datasets. Herein, we address these limitations by presenting a small-scale mathematical model of CM dynamics that incorporates the SME. The presented model successfully describes data from six clinical studies of both single and repeated meal interventions. Model performance was further evaluated by predicting independent datasets using a BMI-dependent calibration. Finally, to demonstrate model applicability, we simulated full-day responses consisting of three sequential meals in individuals with varying BMI values, with qualitative agreement to clinical observations. This work supports our understanding of the SME, person-specific CM postprandial responses, and mechanisms underlying obesity.

Systems Biology↗

Detecting and Subtyping Ketoacidosis from Metabolomic Patterns in Forensic Casework

Subtyping of ketoacidosis, a metabolic state characterized by blood acidification due to various causes, remains challenging in forensic casework. Postmortem omics samples paired with machine learning offers an independent tool to address this challenge. However, such data, especially related to real forensic cases, are rare. In Sweden, high-resolution mass spectrometry data routinely collected in forensic toxicology, can be leveraged for metabolomic analysis. Here, we integrate postmortem metabolomics and machine learning models to detect and subtype ketoacidosis-related deaths using real forensic cases in Sweden. From femoral blood samples of 109 alcoholic ketoacidosis cases, 220 diabetic ketoacidosis cases, 140 hypothermia cases, and 1,229 controls (hanging cases), we developed and tested three machine learning models, which achieved over 90% accuracy in ketoacidosis detection and over 80% in subtyping. Validation with independent cohorts (21 starvation cases, 29 alcoholic controls, and 40 diabetic controls) confirmed robustness with over 80% of starvation cases classified as ketoacidosis-related. Feature clustering highlighted metabolites such as cortisol to be important for subtyping. In summary, our findings demonstrate that combining machine learning with postmortem metabolomics enables accurate detection and subtyping of ketoacidosis-related deaths, which is useful for forensic casework.

systems biology↗

Predicting Real-life Drinking Scenarios through a Physiological Digital Twin Incorporating Secondary Alcohol Markers

Alcohol consumption poses significant societal challenges, necessitating accurate tools for detecting at-risk drinking. Various biomarkers reflect alcohol intake over different timeframes. Blood alcohol concentration (BAC) and breath alcohol concentration (BrAC) are commonly used for short-term detection, particularly in forensic contexts such as driving under the influence of alcohol (DUIA) cases. Moreover, the rapid kinetics of BAC and BrAC limit their utility in determining the precise timing of intake--an essential factor in legal cases involving defenses like the hipflask argument. To address this, secondary metabolites including ethyl glucuronide (EtG), ethyl sulphate (EtS), and urine alcohol concentration (UAC) offer slower, more time-sensitive profiles. Combining these markers could enable a more accurate reconstruction of past alcohol consumption events. Traditionally, mathematical models have been used to help extract information from the dynamics of alcohol-related markers. Existing mathematical models typically focus on primary markers or single secondary markers in isolation. In this study, we present an extended mathematical model that integrates all markers; BAC, EtG, EtS, and UAC into a unified framework, expanding our previous physiological twin model. Our updated model enables personalized simulations of alcohol metabolism and intake timing, which in turn creates the fundament for enhancing forensic assessments and supporting applications where accurate temporal analysis of alcohol consumption is critical. To facilitate accessibility and practical use of this analysis, we have implemented and provided an interactive web application.

systems biology↗

The Human Metabolome and Machine Learning Improves Predictions of the Post-Mortem Interval

An accurate prediction of the time since death, known as the post-mortem interval (PMI), remains a critical research question in forensic and police investigations. Current methods, such as rectal temperature or vitreous potassium levels, only provide reliable PMI estimations up to 48-72 hours. In this study, we utilized metabolomic data from femoral whole blood samples of 4,876 individuals with known PMIs ranging from 1 to 67 days. We developed a neural network model that predicted PMI with a mean/median absolute error of 1.45/1.03 days in unseen test cases, outperforming six other machine learning architectures. To further highlight the biological signal, we performed pseudo time-series clustering of metabolic features used by the model, revealing 158 decreasing, 254 increasing, and 398 features with more complex patterns over the pseudo-time scale. Our findings also indicate that metabolomic data from approximately 256 individuals is sufficient to train a machine learning model for PMI prediction, making this approach widely applicable for researchers and forensic institutes worldwide.

systems biology↗

A multi-scale digital twin for adiposity-driven insulin resistance in humans: diet and drug effects

AimsThe increased prevalence of insulin resistance is one of the major health risks in society today. Insulin resistance involves both short-term dynamics, such as altered meal responses, and long-term dynamics, such as development of type 2 diabetes. Insulin resistance also occurs on different physiological levels, ranging from disease phenotypes to organ-organ communication and intracellular signaling. To better understand the progression of insulin resistance, an analysis method is needed that can combine different timescales and physiological levels. One such method is digital twins, consisting of combined mechanistic multi-scale and multi-level mathematical models. We have previously developed a multi-level model for short-term glucose homeostasis and intracellular insulin signaling, and there exists long-term weight regulation models. However, no one has combined these kinds of models into an interconnected, multi-level and multi-timescale digital twin model. Herein, we present a first such multi-scale digital twin for the progression of insulin resistance in humans. MethodsThe model is based on ordinary differential equations representing biochemical and physiological processes, in which unknown parameters were fitted to data using a MATLAB toolbox. ResultsThe connected twin correctly predicts independent data from a weight increase study, both for weight-changes, for fasting plasma insulin and glucose levels, as well as for intracellular insulin signaling. Similarly, the model can predict independent weight-change data in a weight loss study, involving diet and the weight loss drug topiramate. These independent validation tests are confirmed by a chi-square test (() = 4.8 < 21 = 2, (12,0.05)). In both these cases, the model can also predict non-measured variables, such as activity of intracellular intermediaries, glucose tolerance responses, and organ fluxes. ConclusionsWe present a first multi-level and multi-timescale model, describing dynamics on the whole-body, organ and cellular levels, ranging from minutes to years. This model constitutes the basis for a new digital twin technology, which in the future could potentially be used to aid medical pedagogics and increase motivation and compliance and thus aid in prevention and treatment of insulin resistance.

systems biology↗

Mathematical models disentangle the role of IL-10 feedbacks in human monocytes upon proinflammatory activation

Inflammation is one of the vital mechanisms through which the immune system responds to harmful stimuli. During inflammation, pro and anti-inflammatory cytokines interplay to orchestrate fine-tuned, dynamic immune responses. The cytokine interplay governs switches in the inflammatory response and dictates the propagation of inflammation. Molecular pathways underlying the interplay are complex, and time-resolved monitoring of mediators and cytokines is necessary as a basis to study them in detail. Our understanding can be advanced by in silico models which enable to analyze the system of interactions and their dynamical interplay in detail. We, therefore, used a mathematical modeling approach to study the interplay between prominent pro and anti-inflammatory cytokines with a focus on Tumor Necrosis Factor (TNF) and Interleukin 10 (IL-10) in lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-primed primary human monocytes. Relevant time-resolved data were generated by experimentally adding or blocking IL-10 at different time points. The model was successfully trained and could predict independent validation data and was further used to perform in silico experiments to disentangle the role of IL-10 feedbacks in acute inflammation. We used the insight to obtain a reduced predictive model including only the necessary IL-10-mediated feedbacks. Finally, the validated reduced model was used to predict early IL-10 - TNF switches in the inflammatory response. Overall, we gained detailed insights into fine-tuning of inflammatory responses in human monocytes and present a model for further use in studying the complex and dynamic process of cytokine-regulated acute inflammation.

systems biology↗

A comprehensive mechanistic model of adipocyte signaling with layers of confidence

Adipocyte cellular signaling, normally and in type 2 diabetes, is far from fully studied. We have earlier developed detailed dynamic mathematical models for some well-studied, and partially overlapping, signaling pathways in adipocytes. Still, these models only cover a fraction of the total cellular response. For a broader coverage of the response, large-scale phosphoproteomic data is key. There exists such data for the insulin response of adipocytes, as well as prior knowledge on possible protein-protein interactions associated with a confidence level. However, methods to combine detailed dynamic models with large-scale data, using information about the confidence of included interactions, are lacking. In our new method, we first establish a core model by connecting our partially overlapping models of adipocyte cellular signaling with focus on: 1) lipolysis and fatty acid release, 2) glucose uptake, and 3) the release of adiponectin. We use the phosphoproteome data and prior knowledge to identify phosphosites adjacent to the core model, and then try to add the adjacent phosphosites to the model. The additions of the adjacent phosphosites is tested in a parallel, pairwise approach with low computation time. We then iteratively collect the accepted additions into a layer, and use the newly added layer to find new adjacent phosphosites. We find that the first 15 layers (60 added phosphosites) with the highest confidence can correctly predict independent inhibitor-data (70-90 % correct), and that this ability decrease when we add layers of decreasing confidence. In total, 60 layers (3926 phosphosites) can be added to the model and still keep predictive ability. Finally, we use the comprehensive adipocyte model to simulate systems-wide alterations in adipocytes in type 2 diabetes. This new method provide a tool to create large models that keeps track of varying confidence.

systems biology↗

A multi-level model analysis of lipolysis and fatty acid release from adipocytes in vitro and from adipose tissue invivo

Lipolysis and the release of fatty acids to supply energy fuel to other organs, such as between meals, during exercise, and starvation, are fundamental functions of the adipose tissue. The intracellular lipolytic pathway in adipocytes is activated by adrenaline and noradrenaline, and inhibited by insulin. Circulating fatty acids are elevated in type 2 diabetic individuals. The mechanisms behind this elevation are not fully known, and to increase the knowledge a link between the systemic circulation and intracellular lipolysis is key. However, data on lipolysis and knowledge from in vitro systems have not been linked to corresponding in vivo data and knowledge in vivo. Here, we use mathematical modelling to provide such a link. We examine mechanisms of insulin action by combining in vivo and in vitro data into an integrated mathematical model that can explain all data. Furthermore, the model can describe independent data not used for training the model. We show the usefulness of the model by simulating new and more challenging experimental setups in silico, e.g. the extracellular concentration of fatty acids during an insulin clamp, and the difference in such simulations between individuals with and without type 2 diabetes. Our work provides a new platform for model-based analysis of adipose tissue lipolysis, under both non-diabetic and type 2 diabetic conditions.

systems biology↗

An organ-based multi-level model for glucose homeostasis: organ distributions, timing, and impact of blood flow

Glucose homeostasis is the tight control of glucose in the blood. This complex control is important and not yet sufficiently understood, due to its malfunction in serious diseases like diabetes. Due to the involvement of numerous organs and sub-systems, each with their own intra-cellular control, we have developed a multi-level mathematical model, for glucose homeostasis, which integrates a variety of data. Over the last 10 years, this model has been used to insert new insights from the intra-cellular level into the larger whole-body perspective. However, the original cell-organ-body translation has during these years never been updated, despite several critical shortcomings, which also have not been resolved by other modelling efforts. For this reason, we here present an updated multi-level model. This model provides a more accurate sub-division of how much glucose is being taken up by the different organs. Unlike the original model, we now also account for the different dynamics seen in the different organs. The new model also incorporates the central impact of blood flow on insulin-stimulated glucose uptake. Each new improvement is clear upon visual inspection, and they are also supported by statistical tests. The final multi-level model describes >300 data points in >40 time-series and dose-response curves, resulting from a large variety of perturbations, describing both intra-cellular processes, organ fluxes, and whole-body meal responses. We hope that this model will serve as an improved basis for future data integration, useful for research and drug developments within diabetes.

systems biology↗

A systems biology analysis of adrenergically stimulated adiponectin exocytosis in white adipocytes

Circulating levels of the adipocyte hormone adiponectin are typically reduced in obesity and this deficiency has been linked to metabolic diseases. It is thus important to understand the mechanisms controlling adiponectin exocytosis. This understanding is hindered by the high complexity of the data and the underlying signaling network. To handle this complexity, we here analyze the data using systems biology mathematical modelling. Previously, we have developed a mathematical model for how different intracellular concentrations of Ca2+, cAMP and ATP affect adiponectin exocytosis (measured as increase in membrane capacitance). However, recent work has shown that adiponectin exocytosis is physiologically triggered via signaling pathways involving adrenergic {beta}3 receptors ({beta}3ARs). Therefore, we have herein developed a more comprehensive model that also includes adiponectin exocytosis stimulated by extracellularly applied epinephrine or the {beta}3AR agonist CL 316,243. Our model can explain all previous patch-clamp data, as well as new data consisting of a combination of the intracellular mediators and extracellular adrenergic stimuli. Without changing the parameters, the model can accurately predict independent validation data with other combinations of patch-clamp pipette solutions and external stimuli. Finally, we use the model to perform new in silico experiments examining situations where corresponding wet lab experiments are difficult to perform. By this approach, we simulated adiponectin exocytosis in single cells, in response to the reduction of {beta}3ARs that is observed in adipocytes from animals with obesity-induced diabetes. Our work brings us one step closer to understanding the intricate regulation of adiponectin exocytosis.

systems biology↗

Mechanisms of a sustained anti-inflammatory drug response in alveolar macrophages unraveled with mathematical modeling

Both initiation and suppression of inflammation are hallmarks of the immune response. If not balanced, the inflammation may cause extensive tissue damage, which is associated with common diseases, e.g. asthma and atherosclerosis. Anti-inflammatory drugs often come with severe side effects driven by high and fluctuating drug concentrations. To remedy this, drugs with sustained anti-inflammatory responses are desirable. However, we still lack a quantitative mechanistic understanding of such sustained effects. Here, we study the anti-inflammatory response to a common glucocorticoid drug, Dexamethasone. We find a sustained response 22 hours after drug removal. With hypothesis testing using mathematical modeling, we unravel the underlying mechanism - a slow release of Dexamethasone from the receptor-drug complex. The developed model is in agreement with time-resolved training and testing data, and is used to simulate hypothetical treatment schemes. This work opens up for a more knowledge-driven drug development, to find sustained anti-inflammatory responses and fewer side effects.

systems biology↗

Perturbation biology links temporal protein changes to drug responses in a melanoma cell line

Data-driven mathematical modeling of biological systems has enormous potential to understand and predict the interplay between molecular and phenotypic response to perturbation, and provides a rational approach to the nomination of therapies in complex diseases such as cancer. Melanoma is a particularly debilitating disease for which most therapies eventually fail as resistance to chemotherapy and targeted drugs develop. We have previously applied an iterative experimental-computational modeling approach, termed perturbation biology, to predict and test effective drug combinations in melanoma cell lines [1].\n\nIn this work, we extend our analysis framework to derive models of temporally-acquired perturbation data that do not require prior knowledge and explicit specification of the targets of individual drugs. Specifically, we characterize the response of the melanoma cell line A2058 to 54 cancer drug combinations at 8 logarithmically spaced time points from 10 minutes to 67 hours. At each time point, 124 antibodies of proteins and phospho-proteins with broad coverage of cancer-related pathways and two phenotypes (cell number and apoptosis) were measured. These data are used to infer interactions in ordinary differential equation-based models that capture temporal aspects of the drug perturbation data. This network representation of drug-protein, protein-protein, and protein-phenotype interactions can be used to identify new logical (not necessarily direct biochemical) interactions. The agreement between the predicted phenotypic response and corresponding data for unseen drug perturbations has a Pearsons correlation coefficient of 0.79. We further use model predictions to nominate effective combination therapies and perform experimental validation of the highest ranked combinations.\n\nThis new data-driven modeling framework is a step forward in perturbation biology as it incorporates the temporal aspect of data. This work therefore opens the door to a new understanding of dynamic drug responses at a molecular level.

systems biology↗

LASSIM - a network inference toolbox for genome-wide mechanistic modeling

Recent technological advancements have made time-resolved, quantitative, multi-omics data available for many model systems, which could be integrated for systems pharmacokinetic use. Here, we present large-scale simulation modeling (LASSIM), which is the first general mathematical tool for performing large-scale inference using mechanistically defined ordinary differential equations (ODE) for gene regulatory networks (GRNs). LASSIM integrates structural knowledge about regulatory interactions and non-linear equations with multiple steady states and dynamic response expression datasets. The rationale behind LASSIM is that biological GRNs can be simplified using a limited subset of core genes that are assumed to regulate all other gene transcription events in the network. LASSIM models are built in two steps, where each step can integrate multiple data-types, and the method is implemented as a general-purpose toolbox using the PyGMo Python package to make the most of multicore computers and high performance clusters, and is available at https://gitlab.com/Gustafsson-lab/lassim. As a method, LASSIM first infers a non-linear ODE system of the pre-specified core genes. Second, LASSIM optimizes the parameters that models the regulation of peripheral genes by core-system genes in parallel. We showed the usefulness of this method by applying LASSIM to infer a large-scale nonlinear model of naive Th2 differentiation, made possible by integrating Th2 specific bindings, time-series and six public and six novel siRNA-mediated knock-down experiments. ChIP-seq showed significant overlap for all tested transcription factors. Next, we performed novel time-series measurements of total T-cells during differentiation towards Th2 and verified that our LASSIM model could monitor those data significantly better than comparable models that used the same Th2 bindings. In summary, the LASSIM toolbox opens the door to a new type of model-based data analysis that combines the strengths of reliable mechanistic models with truly systems-level data. We exemplified the advantage by inferring the first mechanistically motivated genome-wide model of the Th2 transcription regulatory system, which plays an important role in the progression of immune related diseases.\n\nAuthor summaryThere are excellent methods to mathematically model time-resolved biological data on a small scale using accurate mechanistic models. Despite the rapidly increasing availability of such data, mechanistic models have not been applied on a genome-wide level due to excessive runtimes and the non-identifiability of model parameters. However, genome-wide, mechanistic models could potentially answer key clinical questions, such as finding the best drug combinations to induce an expression change from a disease to a healthy state.\n\nWe present LASSIM, which is a toolbox built to infer parameters within mechanistic models on a genomic scale. This is made possible due to a property shared across biological systems, namely the existence of a subset of master regulators, here denoted the core system. The introduction of a core system of genes simplifies the inference into small solvable subproblems, and implies that all main regulatory actions on peripheral genes come from a small set of regulator genes. This separation allows substantial parts of computations to be solved in parallel, i.e. permitting the use of a computer cluster, which substantially reduces the time required for the computation to finish.

systems biology↗