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Nalls, M. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Nalls, M. A..

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Moving beyond neurons: the role of cell type-specific gene regulation in Parkinson’s disease heritability

Parkinsons disease (PD), with its characteristic loss of nigrostriatal dopaminergic neurons and deposition of -synuclein in neurons, is often considered a neuronal disorder. However, in recent years substantial evidence has emerged to implicate glial cell types, such as astrocytes and microglia. In this study, we used stratified LD score regression and expression-weighted cell-type enrichment together with several brain-related and cell-type-specific genomic annotations to connect human genomic PD findings to specific brain cell types. We found that PD heritability does not enrich in global and regional brain annotations or brain-related cell-type-specific annotations. Likewise, we found no enrichment of PD susceptibility genes in brain-related cell types. In contrast, we demonstrated a significant enrichment of PD heritability in a curated lysosomal gene set specifically expressed in astrocytic and microglial subtypes. Our results suggest that PD risk loci do not lie in specific cell types or individual brain regions, but rather in global cellular processes to which cell types may have varying vulnerability.

genomics

Genetic variability and potential effects on clinical trial outcomes: perspectives in Parkinson’s disease

BackgroundImproper randomization in clinical trials can result in the failure of the trial to meet its primary end-point. The last [~]10 years have revealed that common and rare genetic variants are an important disease factor and sometimes account for a substantial portion of disease risk variance. However, the burden of common genetic risk variants is not often considered in the randomization of clinical trials and can therefore lead to additional unwanted variance between trial arms. We simulated clinical trials to estimate false negative and false positive rates and investigated differences in single variants and mean genetic risk scores (GRS) between trial arms to investigate the potential effect of genetic variance on clinical trial outcomes at different sample sizes.\n\nMethodsSingle variant and genetic risk score analyses were conducted in a clinical trial simulation environment using data from 5851 Parkinsons Disease patients as well as two simulated virtual cohorts based on public data. The virtual cohorts included a GBA variant cohort and a two variant interaction cohort. Data was resampled at different sizes (n = 200-5000 for the Parkinsons Disease cohort) and (n = 50-800 and n = 50-2000 for virtual cohorts) for 1000 iterations and randomly assigned to the two arms of a trial. False negative and false positive rates were estimated using simulated clinical trials, and percent difference in genetic risk score and allele frequency was calculated to quantify disparity between arms.\n\nFindingsSignificant genetic differences between the two arms of a trial are found at all sample sizes. Approximately 90% of the iterations had at least one statistically significant difference in individual risk SNPs between each trial arm. Approximately 10% of iterations had a statistically significant difference between trial arms in polygenic risk score mean or variance. For significant iterations at sample size 200, the average percent difference for mean GRS between trial arms was 130.87%, decreasing to 29.87% as sample size reached 5000. In the GBA only simulations we see an average 18.86% difference in GRS scores between trial arms at n = 50, decreasing to 3.09% as sample size reaches 2000. Balancing patients by genotype reduced mean percent difference in GRS between arms to 36.71% for the main cohort and 2.00% for the GBA cohort at n = 200. When adding a drug effect to the simulations, we found that unbalanced genetics with an effect on the chosen measurable clinical outcome can result in high false negative rates among trials, especially at small sample sizes. At a sample size of n = 50 and a targeted drug effect of -0.5 points in UPDRS per year, we discovered 33.9% of trials resulted in false negatives.\n\nInterpretationsOur data support the hypothesis that within genetically unmatched clinical trials, particularly those below 1000 participants, heterogeneity could confound true therapeutic effects as expected. This is particularly important in the changing environment of drug approvals. Clinical trials should undergo pre-trial genetic adjustment or, at the minimum, post-trial adjustment and analysis for failed trials. Clinical trial arms should be balanced on genetic risk variants, as well as cumulative variant distributions represented by GRS, in order to ensure the maximum reduction in trial arm disparities. The reduction in variance after balancing allows smaller sample sizes to be utilized without risking the large disparities between trial arms witnessed in typical randomized trials. As the cost of genotyping will likely be far less than greatly increasing sample size, genetically balancing trial arms can lead to more cost-effective clinical trials as well as better outcomes.

genomics

Parkinson’s disease genetics: identifying novel risk loci, providing causal insights and improving estimates of heritable risk

We performed the largest genome-wide association study of PD to date, involving the analysis of 7.8M SNPs in 37.7K cases, 18.6K UK Biobank proxy-cases, and 1.4M controls. We identified 90 independent genome-wide significant signals across 78 loci, including 38 independent risk signals in 37 novel loci. These variants explained 26-36% of the heritable risk of PD. Tests of causality within a Mendelian randomization framework identified putatively causal genes for 70 risk signals. Tissue expression enrichment analysis suggested that signatures of PD loci were heavily brain-enriched, consistent with specific neuronal cell types being implicated from single cell expression data. We found significant genetic correlations with brain volumes, smoking status, and educational attainment. In sum, these data provide the most comprehensive understanding of the genetic architecture of PD to date by revealing many additional PD risk loci, providing a biological context for these risk factors, and demonstrating that a considerable genetic component of this disease remains unidentified.

genetics

GWAS of QRS Duration Identifies New Loci Specific to Hispanic/Latino Populations

BackgroundThe electrocardiographically quantified QRS duration measures ventricular depolarization and conduction. QRS prolongation has been associated with poor heart failure prognosis and cardiovascular mortality, including sudden death. While previous genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified 32 QRS SNPs across 26 loci among European, African, and Asian-descent populations, the genetics of QRS among Hispanics/Latinos has not been previously explored.\n\nMethodsWe performed a GWAS of QRS duration among Hispanic/Latino ancestry populations (n=15,124) from four studies using 1000 Genomes imputed genotype data (adjusted for age, sex, global ancestry, clinical and study-specific covariates). Study-specific results were combined using fixed-effects, inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis.\n\nResultsWe identified six loci associated with QRS (P<5x10-8), including two novel loci: MYOCD, a nuclear protein expressed in the heart, and SYT1, an integral membrane protein. The top association in the MYOCD locus, intronic SNP rs16946539, was found in Hispanics/Latinos with a minor allele frequency (MAF) of 0.04, but is monomorphic in European and African descent populations. The most significant QRS duration association was for intronic SNP rs3922344 (P= 8.56x10-26) in SCN5A/SCN10A. Three additional previously identified loci, CDKN1A, VTI1A, and HAND1, also exceeded the GWAS significance threshold among Hispanics/Latinos. A total of 27 of 32 previously identified QRS duration SNPs were shown to generalize in Hispanics/Latinos.\n\nConclusionsOur QRS duration GWAS, the first in Hispanic/Latino populations, identified two new loci, underscoring the utility of extending large scale genomic studies to currently under-examined populations.

genetics

Predicting onset, progression, and clinical subtypes of Parkinson disease using machine learning

BackgroundThe clinical manifestations of Parkinson disease are characterized by heterogeneity in age at onset, disease duration, rate of progression, and constellation of motor versus nonmotor features. Due to these variable presentations, counseling of patients about their individual risks and prognosis is limited. There is an unmet need for predictive tests that facilitate early detection and characterization of distinct disease subtypes as well as improved, individualized predictions of the disease course. The emergence of machine learning to detect hidden patterns in complex, multi-dimensional datasets provides unparalleled opportunities to address this critical need.\n\nMethods and FindingsWe used unsupervised and supervised machine learning approaches for subtype identification and prediction. We used machine learning methods on comprehensive, longitudinal clinical data from the Parkinson Disease Progression Marker Initiative (PPMI) (n=328 cases) to identify patient subtypes and to predict disease progression. The resulting models were validated in an independent, clinically well-characterized cohort from the Parkinson Disease Biomarker Program (PDBP) (n=112 cases). Our analysis distinguished three distinct disease subtypes with highly predictable progression rates, corresponding to slow, moderate and fast disease progressors. We achieved highly accurate projections of disease progression four years after initial diagnosis with an average Area Under the Curve of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.96 {+/-} 0.01 for PDvec1, 0.87 {+/-} 0.03 for PDvec2, and 0.96 {+/-} 0.02 for PDvec3). We have demonstrated robust replication of these findings in the independent validation cohort.\n\nConclusionsThese data-driven results enable clinicians to deconstruct the heterogeneity within their patient cohorts. This knowledge could have immediate implications for clinical trials by improving the detection of significant clinical outcomes that might have been masked by cohort heterogeneity. We anticipate that machine learning models will improve patient counseling, clinical trial design, allocation of healthcare resources and ultimately individualized clinical care.

neuroscience