Biology subjects

Murrell, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Murrell, D..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2022

A user-friendly guide to using distance measures to compare time series in ecology.

O_LITime series are a critical component of ecological analysis, used to track changes in biotic and abiotic variables. Information can be extracted from the properties of time series for tasks such as classification, clustering, prediction, and anomaly detection. These common tasks in ecological research rely on the notion of (dis-) similarity which can be determined by using distance measures. A plethora of distance measures have been described in the scientific literature, but many of them have not been introduced to ecologists. Furthermore, little is known about how to select appropriate distance measures and the properties they focus on for time-series related tasks. C_LIO_LIHere we describe 16 potentially desirable properties of distance measures, test 42 distance measures for each property, and present an objective method to select appropriate distance measures for any task and ecological dataset. We then demonstrate our selection method by applying it to a set of real-world data on breeding bird populations in the UK. We also discuss ways to overcome some of the difficulties involved in using distance measures to compare time series. C_LIO_LIOur real-world population trends exhibit a common challenge for time series comparison: a high level of stochasticity. We demonstrate two different ways of overcoming this challenge, first by selecting distance measures with properties that make them well-suited to comparing noisy time series, and second by applying a smoothing algorithm before selecting appropriate distance measures. In both cases, the distance measures chosen through our selection method are not only fit-for-purpose but are consistent in their rankings of the population trends. C_LIO_LIThe results of our study should lead to an improved understanding of, and greater scope for, the use of distance measures for comparing time series within ecology, and allow for the answering of new ecological questions. C_LI

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Ecological theory predicts ecosystem stressor interactions in freshwater ecosystems, but highlights the strengths and weaknesses of the additive null model

Understanding and predicting how multiple co-occurring environmental stressors combine to affect biodiversity and ecosystem services is an on-going grand challenge for ecology. So far progress has been made through accumulating large numbers of smaller-scale individual studies that are then investigated by meta-analyses to look for general patterns. In particular there has been an interest in checking for so-called ecological surprises where stressors interact in a synergistic manner. Recent reviews suggest that such synergisms do not dominate, but few other generalities have emerged. This lack of general prediction and understanding may be due in part to a dearth of ecological theory that can generate clear hypotheses and predictions to tested against empirical data. Here we close this gap by analysing food web models based upon classical ecological theory and comparing their predictions to a large (546 interactions) dataset for the effects of pairs of stressors on freshwater communities, using trophic- and population-level metrics of abundance, density, and biomass as responses. We find excellent overall agreement between the stochastic version of our models and the experimental data, and both conclude additive stressor interactions are the most frequent, but that meta-analyses report antagonistic summary interaction classes. Additionally, we show that the statistical tests used to classify the interactions are very sensitive to sampling variation. It is therefore likely that current weak sampling and low sample sizes are masking many non-additive stressor interactions, which our theory predicts to dominate when sampling variation is removed. This leads us to suspect ecological surprises may be more common than currently reported. Our results highlight the value of developing theory in tandem with empirical tests, and the need to examine the robustness of statistical machinery, especially the widely-used null models, before we can draw strong conclusions about how environmental drivers combine.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2017

Cancer Cell Line Profiler (CCLP): a webserver for the prediction of compound activity across the NCI60 panel

SummaryCCLP (Cancer Cell Line Profiler) is a webserver for the prediction of compound activity across the NCI60 panel. CCLP uses a multi-task Random Forest model trained on 941,831 data-points that integrates structural information from 17,142 compounds and multi-omics data sets from 59 cancer cell lines. In addition, CCLP also implements conformal prediction to provide individual prediction errors at several confidence levels. CCLP computes compound descriptors for a set of input molecules and predicts their activity across the NCI60 panel. The output of running CCLP consists of one barplot per input compound displaying the predicted activities and errors across the NCI60 panel, as well as a text file reporting the predicted activities and errors in prediction\n\nAvailabilityCCLP is freely available on the web at cclp.marseille.inserm.fr

bioinformatics↗