Biology subjects

Metspalu, A.

Publications and source records attributed to Metspalu, A..

9 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2018

Polygenic prediction of breast cancer: comparison of genetic predictors and implications for screening

BackgroundPublished genetic risk scores for breast cancer (BC) so far have been based on a relatively small number of markers and are not necessarily using the full potential of large-scale Genome-Wide Association Studies. This study aims to identify an efficient polygenic predictor for BC based on best available evidence and to assess its potential for personalized risk prediction and screening strategies.\n\nMethodsFour different genetic risk scores (two already published and two newly developed) and their combinations (metaGRS) are compared in the subsets of two population-based biobank cohorts: the UK Biobank (UKBB, 3157 BC cases, 43,827 controls) and Estonian Biobank (EstBB, 317 prevalent and 308 incident BC cases in 32,557 women). In addition, correlations between different genetic risk scores and their associations with BC risk factors are studied in both cohorts.\n\nResultsThe metaGRS that combines two genetic risk scores (metaGRS2 - based on 75 and 898 Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms, respectively) has the strongest association with prevalent BC status in both cohorts. One standard deviation difference in the metaGRS2 corresponds to an Odds Ratio = 1.6 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.66, p = 9.7*10-135) in the UK Biobank and accounting for family history marginally attenuates the effect (Odds Ratio = 1.58, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.64, p = 9.1*10-129). In the EstBB cohort, the hazard ratio of incident BC for the women in the top 5% of the metaGRS2 compared to women in the lowest 50% is 4.2 (95% CI 2.8 to 6.2, p = 8.1*10-13). The different GRSs are only moderately correlated with each other and are associated with different known predictors of BC. The classification of genetic risk for the same individual may vary considerably depending on the chosen GRS.\n\nConclusionsWe have shown that metaGRS2 that combines on the effects of more than 900 SNPs provides best predictive ability for breast cancer in two different population-based cohorts. The strength of the effect of metaGRS2 indicates that the GRS could potentially be used to develop more efficient strategies for breast cancer screening for genotyped women.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

The effect of X-linked dosage compensation on complex trait variation

Quantitative genetics theory predicts that X-chromosome dosage compensation between sexes will have a detectable effect on the amount of genetic and therefore phenotypic trait variances at associated loci in males and females. Here, we systematically examine the role of dosage compensation in complex trait variation in humans in 20 complex traits in a sample of more than 450,000 individuals from the UK Biobank and in 1,600 gene expression traits from a sample of 2,000 individuals as well as across-tissue gene expression from the GTEx resource. We find, on average, twice as much genetic variation for complex traits due to X-linked loci in males compared to females, consistent with a negligible effect of predicted escape from X-inactivation on complex trait variation across traits and also detect biologically relevant X-linked heterogeneity between the sexes for a number of complex traits.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Deep coverage whole genome sequences and plasma lipoprotein(a) in individuals of European and African ancestries

Lipoprotein(a), Lp(a), is a modified low-density lipoprotein particle where apolipoprotein(a) (protein product of the LPA gene) is covalently attached to apolipoprotein B. Lp(a) is a highly heritable, causal risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and varies in concentrations across ancestries. To comprehensively delineate the inherited basis for plasma Lp(a), we performed deep-coverage whole genome sequencing in 8,392 individuals of European and African American ancestries. Through whole genome variant discovery and direct genotyping of all structural variants overlapping LPA, we quantified the 5.5kb kringle IV-2 copy number (KIV2-CN), a known LPA structural polymorphism, and developed a model for its imputation. Through common variant analysis, we discovered a novel locus (SORT1) associated with Lp(a)-cholesterol, and also genetic modifiers of KIV2-CN. Furthermore, in contrast to previous GWAS studies, we explain most of the heritability of Lp(a), observing Lp(a) to be 85% heritable among African Americans and 75% among Europeans, yet with notable inter-ethnic heterogeneity. Through analyses of aggregates of rare coding and non-coding variants with Lp(a)-cholesterol, we found the only genome-wide significant signal to be at a non-coding SLC22A3 intronic window also previously described to be associated with Lp(a); however, this association was mitigated by adjustment with KIV2-CN. Finally, using an additional imputation dataset (N=27,344), we performed Mendelian randomization of LPA variant classes, finding that genetically regulated Lp(a) is more strongly associated with incident cardiovascular diseases than directly measured Lp(a), and is significantly associated with measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in African Americans.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2017

PAIRUP-MS: Pathway Analysis and Imputation to Relate Unknowns in Profiles from Mass Spectrometry-based metabolite data

Metabolomics is a powerful approach for discovering biomarkers and metabolic quantitative trait loci. While untargeted profiling methods can measure up to thousands of metabolite signals in a single experiment, many signals cannot be readily identified as known metabolites or compared across datasets, making it difficult to infer biology and to conduct well-powered meta-analyses across studies. To deal with these challenges, we developed a suite of computational methods, PAIRUP-MS, to match metabolite signals across mass spectrometry-based profiling datasets using an imputation-based approach and to generate pathway annotations for these signals. We performed meta and pathway analyses for both known and unknown signals in multiple datasets and then validated the results using genetic associations. Finally, we applied the methods to detect metabolite signals and pathways associated with body mass index, demonstrating that our framework is useful for analyzing unknown signals in a robust and biologically meaningful manner and for improving the power of untargeted metabolomics studies.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2017

Haplotype sharing provides insights into fine-scale population history and disease in Finland

Finland provides unique opportunities to investigate population and medical genomics because of its adoption of unified national electronic health records, detailed historical and birth records, and serial population bottlenecks. We assemble a comprehensive view of recent population history ([≤]100 generations), the timespan during which most rare disease-causing alleles arose, by comparing pairwise haplotype sharing from 43,254 Finns to geographically and linguistically adjacent countries with different population histories, including 16,060 Swedes, Estonians, Russians, and Hungarians. We find much more extensive sharing in Finns, with at least one [≥] 5 cM tract on average between pairs of unrelated individuals. By coupling haplotype sharing with fine-scale birth records from over 25,000 individuals, we find that while haplotype sharing broadly decays with geographical distance, there are pockets of excess haplotype sharing; individuals from northeast Finland share several-fold more of their genome in identity-by-descent (IBD) segments than individuals from southwest regions containing the major cities of Helsinki and Turku. We estimate recent effective population size changes over time across regions of Finland and find significant differences between the Early and Late Settlement Regions as expected; however, our results indicate more continuous gene flow than previously indicated as Finns migrated towards the northernmost Lapland region. Lastly, we show that haplotype sharing is locally enriched among pairs of individuals sharing rare alleles by an order of magnitude, especially among pairs sharing rare disease causing variants. Our work provides a general framework for using haplotype sharing to reconstruct an integrative view of recent population history and gain insight into the evolutionary origins of rare variants contributing to disease.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Widespread signatures of negative selection in the genetic architecture of human complex traits

Estimation of the joint distribution of effect size and minor allele frequency (MAF) for genetic variants is important for understanding the genetic basis of complex trait variation and can be used to detect signature of natural selection. We develop a Bayesian mixed linear model that simultaneously estimates SNP-based heritability, polygenicity (i.e. the proportion of SNPs with nonzero effects) and the relationship between effect size and MAF for complex traits in conventionally unrelated individuals using genome-wide SNP data. We apply the method to 28 complex traits in the UK Biobank data (N = 126,752), and show that on average across 28 traits, 6% of SNPs have nonzero effects, which in total explain 22% of phenotypic variance. We detect significant (p < 0.05/28 =1.8x10-3) signatures of natural selection for 23 out of 28 traits including reproductive, cardiovascular, and anthropometric traits, as well as educational attainment. We further apply the method to 27,869 gene expression traits (N = 1,748), and identify 30 genes that show significant (p < 2.3x10-6) evidence of natural selection. All the significant estimates of the relationship between effect size and MAF in either complex traits or gene expression traits are consistent with a model of negative selection, as confirmed by forward simulation. We conclude that natural selection acts pervasively on human complex traits shaping genetic variation in the form of negative selection.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

An epigenome-wide association study of educational attainment (n = 10,767)

The epigenome has been shown to be influenced by biological factors, such as disease status, and environmental factors, such as smoking, alcohol consumption, and body mass index. Although there is a widespread perception that environmental influences on the epigenome are pervasive and profound, there has been little evidence to date in humans with respect to environmental factors that are biologically distal. Here, we provide evidence on the associations between epigenetic modifications--in our case, CpG methylation--and educational attainment (EA), a biologically distal environmental factor that is arguably among of the most important life-shaping experiences for individuals. Specifically, we report the results of an epigenome-wide association study meta-analysis of EA based on data from 27 cohort studies with a total of 10,767 individuals. While we find that 9 CpG probes are significantly associated with EA, only two remain associated when we restrict the sample to never-smokers. These two are known to be strongly associated with maternal smoking during pregnancy, and thus their association with EA could be due to correlation between EA and maternal smoking. Moreover, their effect sizes on EA are far smaller than the known associations between CpG probes and biologically proximal environmental factors. Two analyses that combine the effects of many probes--polygenic methylation score and epigenetic-clock analyses--both suggest small associations with EA. If our findings regarding EA can be generalized to other biologically distal environmental factors, then they cast doubt on the hypothesis that such factors have large effects on the epigenome.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2016

An interaction map of circulating metabolites, immune gene networks and their genetic regulation

The interaction between metabolism and the immune system plays a central role in many cardiometabolic diseases. We integrated blood transcriptomic, metabolomic, and genomic profiles from two population-based cohorts, including a subset with 7-year follow-up sampling. We identified topologically robust gene networks enriched for diverse immune functions including cytotoxicity, viral response, B cell, platelet, neutrophil, and mast cell/basophil activity. These immune gene modules showed complex patterns of association with 158 circulating metabolites, including lipoprotein subclasses, lipids, fatty acids, amino acids, and CRP. Genome-wide scans for module expression quantitative trait loci (mQTLs) revealed five modules with mQTLs of both cis and trans effects. The strongest mQTL was in ARHGEF3 (rs1354034) and affected a module enriched for platelet function. Mast cell/basophil and neutrophil function modules maintained their metabolite associations during 7-year follow-up, while our strongest mQTL in ARHGEF3 also displayed clear temporal stability. This study provides a detailed map of natural variation at the blood immuno-metabolic interface and its genetic basis, and facilitates subsequent studies to explain inter-individual variation in cardiometabolic disease.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2016

Constraints on eQTL fine mapping in the presence of multi-site local regulation of gene expression

Expression QTL (eQTL) detection has emerged as an important tool for unravelling of the relationship between genetic risk factors and disease or clinical phenotypes. Most studies use single marker linear regression to discover primary signals, followed by sequential conditional modeling to detect secondary genetic variants affecting gene expression. However, this approach assumes that functional variants are sparsely distributed and that close linkage between them has little impact on estimation of their precise location and magnitude of effects. In this study, we address the prevalence of secondary signals and bias in estimation of their effects by performing multi-site linear regression on two large human cohort peripheral blood gene expression datasets (each greater than 2,500 samples) with accompanying whole genome genotypes, namely the CAGE compendium of Illumina microarray studies, and the Framingham Heart Study Affymetrix data. Stepwise conditional modeling demonstrates that multiple eQTL signals are present for ~40% of over 3500 eGenes in both datasets, and the number of loci with additional signals reduces by approximately two-thirds with each conditioning step. However, the concordance of specific signals between the two studies is only ~30%, indicating that expression profiling platform is a large source of variance in effect estimation. Furthermore, a series of simulation studies imply that in the presence of multi-site regulation, up to 10% of the secondary signals could be artefacts of incomplete tagging, and at least 5% but up to one quarter of credible intervals may not even include the causal site, which is thus mis-localized. Joint multi-site effect estimation recalibrates effect size estimates by just a small amount on average. Presumably similar conclusions apply to most types of quantitative trait. Given the strong empirical evidence that gene expression is commonly regulated by more than one variant, we conclude that the fine-mapping of causal variants needs to be adjusted for multi-site influences, as conditional estimates can be highly biased by interference among linked sites.

genetics↗