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Metspalu, A.

Publications and source records attributed to Metspalu, A..

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Genetic influences on educational outcomes during and after the Soviet era: Revisiting evidence from Estonia

The origins of individual differences in socioeconomic outcomes, including educational attainment and occupational status, reflect a combination of genetic and environmental factors whose relative contributions may differ across historical contexts. Previous research suggested a doubling of the relative role of genetics in explaining variation in these traits in independent Estonia compared with the Soviet era. Using the Estonian Biobank, now tenfold larger than at the time of the original study, we aimed to replicate and extend these findings. We found converging evidence that the relative contribution of genetic factors to educational attainment, but not to occupational status, was higher in the post-Soviet era, although the differences were smaller than previously reported and varied across analytical approaches. However, analyses using narrower birth cohorts revealed a more complex pattern, with the relative genetic contribution to educational attainment decreasing gradually across successive cohorts. Thus, while the Soviet-to-post-Soviet transition was associated with an increase in the relative role of genetic factors in explaining individual differences in educational attainment, it represents only one component of the broader historical changes that have shaped genetic associations with educational attainment in Estonia over the last century.

genetics↗

The landscape of autosomal-recessive pathogenic variants in European populations reveals phenotype-specific effects

The number and distribution of recessive alleles in the population for various diseases are not known at genome-wide-scale. Based on 6447 exome-sequences of healthy, genetically-unrelated Europeans of two distinct ancestries, we estimate that every individual is a carrier of at least 2 pathogenic variants in currently known autosomal recessive (AR) genes, and that 0.8-1% of European couples are at-risk of having a child affected with a severe AR genetic disorder. This risk is 16.5-fold higher for first cousins, but is significantly more increased for skeletal disorders and intellectual disabilities due to their distinct genetic architecture.

genetics↗

Mendelian randomization identifies the potential causal impact of dietary patterns on circulating blood metabolites

Nutrition plays an important role in the development and progress of several health conditions, but the exact mechanism is often still unclear. Blood metabolites are likely candidates to be mediating these relationships, as their levels are strongly dependent on the frequency of consumption of several foods/drinks. Understanding the causal effect of food on metabolites is thus of extreme importance. To establish these effects we utilized Two-sample Mendelian randomization using the genetic variants associated with dietary traits as instrumental variables. The estimates of single-nucleotide polymorphisms effects on exposures were obtained from a recent genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 25 individual and 15 principal-component dietary traits, whereas the ones for outcomes were obtained from a GWAS of 123 blood metabolites measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. We identified 417 potentially causal links between food and metabolites, replicating previous findings, such as the association between increased oily fish consumption and higher DHA, and highlighting several novel associations. Most of the associations were related to very-low-density, intermediate-density (IDL) and low-density lipoproteins (LDL). For example, we found that constituents of IDL particles and large LDL particles were raised by coffee and alcohol while lowered by an overall healthier diet and fruit consumption. Our results represent one of the first examples of the estimates of long-term causal effects of diet on metabolites and start bridging the gap in the mechanistic understanding linking food consumption to its health consequences.

genomics↗

Genome-wide study identifies association between HLA-B*55:01 and penicillin allergy

BackgroundHypersensitivity reactions to drugs are often unpredictable and can be life-threatening, underscoring a need for understanding their underlying mechanisms and risk factors. The extent to which germline genetic variation influences the risk of commonly reported drug allergies such as penicillin allergy remains largely unknown. MethodsWe extracted data from the electronic health records of 52,000 Estonian and 500,000 UK biobank participants to study the role of genetic variation in the occurrence of penicillin hypersensitivity reactions. We used imputed SNP to HLA typing data from up to 22,554 and 488,377 individuals from the Estonian and UK cohorts, respectively, to further fine-map the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) association and replicated our results in two additional cohorts involving a total of 1.14 million individuals. ResultsGenome-wide meta-analysis of penicillin allergy revealed a significant association located in the HLA region on chromosome 6. The signal was further fine-mapped to the HLA-B*55:01 allele (OR 1.47 95% CI 1.37-1.58, P-value 4.63x10-26) and confirmed by independent replication in two cohorts. The meta-analysis of all four cohorts in the study revealed a strong association of HLA-B*55:01 allele with penicillin allergy (OR 1.33 95% CI 1.29-1.37, P-value 2.23x10-72). In silico follow-up suggests a potential effect on T lymphocytes at HLA-B*55:01. ConclusionWe present the first robust evidence for the role of an allele of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) I gene HLA-B in the occurrence of penicillin allergy.

genetics↗

Integrating untargeted metabolomics, genetically informed causal inference, and pathway enrichment to define the obesity metabolome

BackgroundObesity and its associated diseases are major health problems characterized by extensive metabolic disturbances. Understanding the causal connections between these phenotypes and variation in metabolite levels can uncover relevant biology and inform novel intervention strategies. Recent studies have combined metabolite profiling with genetic instrumental variable (IV) analyses to infer the direction of causality between metabolites and obesity, but often omitted a large portion of untargeted profiling data consisting of unknown, unidentified metabolite signals.\n\nMethodsWe expanded upon previous research by identifying body mass index (BMI)-associated metabolites in multiple untargeted metabolomics datasets, and then performing bidirectional IV analysis to classify these metabolites based on their inferred causal relationships with BMI. Meta-analysis and pathway analysis of both known and unknown metabolites across datasets were enabled by our recently developed bioinformatics suite, PAIRUP-MS.\n\nResultsWe identified 10 known metabolites that are more likely to be the causes (e.g. alpha-hydroxybutyrate) or effects (e.g. valine) of BMI, or may have more complex bidirectional cause-effect relationships with BMI (e.g. glycine). Importantly, we also identified about 5 times more unknown than known metabolites in each of these three categories. Pathway analysis incorporating both known and unknown metabolites prioritized 40 enriched (p < 0.05) metabolite sets for the cause versus effect groups, providing further support that these two metabolite groups are linked to obesity via distinct biological mechanisms.\n\nConclusionsThese findings demonstrate the potential utility of our approach to uncover causal connections with obesity from untargeted metabolomics datasets. Combining genetically informed causal inference with the ability to map unknown metabolites across datasets provides a path to jointly analyze many untargeted datasets with obesity or other phenotypes. This approach, applied to larger datasets with genotype and untargeted metabolite data, should generate sufficient power for robust discovery and replication of causal biological connections between metabolites and various human diseases.

bioinformatics↗

Advantages of genotype imputation with ethnically matched reference panel for rare variant association analyses

Genotype imputation has become a standard procedure prior genome-wide association studies (GWASs). For common and low-frequency variants, genotype imputation can be performed sufficiently accurately with publicly available and ethnically heterogeneous reference datasets like 1000 Genomes Project (1000G) and Haplotype Reference Consortium panels. However, the imputation of rare variants has been shown to be significantly more accurate when ethnically matched reference panel is used. Even more, greater genetic similarity between reference panel and target samples facilitates the detection of rare (or even population-specific) causal variants. Notwithstanding, the genome-wide downstream consequences and differences of using ethnically mixed and matched reference panels have not been yet comprehensively explored.\n\nWe determined and quantified these differences by performing several comparative evaluations of the discovery-driven analysis scenarios. A variant-wise GWAS was performed on seven complex diseases and body mass index by using genome-wide genotype data of [~]37,000 Estonians imputed with ethnically mixed 1000G and ethnically matched imputation reference panels. Although several previously reported common (minor allele frequency; MAF > 5%) variant associations were replicated in both resulting imputed datasets, no major differences were observed among the genome-wide significant findings or in the fine-mapping effort. In the analysis of rare (MAF < 1%) coding variants, 46 significantly associated genes were identified in the ethnically matched imputed data as compared to four genes in the 1000G panel based imputed data. All resulting genes were consequently studied in the UK Biobank data.\n\nThese associations provide a solid example of how rare variants can be efficiently analysed to discover novel, potentially functional genetic variants in relevant phenotypes. Furthermore, our work serves as proof of a cost-efficient study design, demonstrating that the usage of ethnically matched imputation reference panels can enable substantially improved imputation of rare variants, facilitating novel high-confidence findings in rare variant GWAS scans.\n\nAuthor summaryOver the last decade, genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have been widely used for detecting genetic biomarkers in a wide range of traits. Typically, GWASs are carried out using chip-based genotyping data, which are then combined with a more densely genotyped reference panel to infer untyped genetic variants in chip-typed individuals. The latter method is called genotype imputation and its accuracy depends on multiple factors. Publicly available and ethnically heterogeneous imputation reference panels (IRPs) such as 1000 Genomes Project (1000G) are sufficiently accurate for imputation of common and low-frequency variants, but custom ethnically matched IRPs outperform these in case of rare variants. In this work, we systematically compare downstream association analysis effects on eight complex traits in [~]37,000 Estonians imputed with ethnically mixed and ethnically matched IRPs. We do not observe major differences in the single variant analysis, where both imputed datasets replicate previously reported significant loci. But in the gene-based analysis of rare protein-coding variants we show that ethnically matched panel clearly outperforms 1000G panel based imputation, providing 10-fold increase in significant gene-trait associations. Our study demonstrates empirically that imputed data based on ethnically matched panel is very promising for rare variant analysis - it captures more population-specific variants and makes it possible to efficiently identify novel findings.

genomics↗

The genetic architecture of sporadic and recurrent miscarriage

Miscarriage is a common complex trait that affects 10-25% of clinically confirmed pregnancies1,2. Here we present the first large-scale genetic association analyses with 69,118 cases from five different ancestries for sporadic miscarriage and 750 cases of European ancestry for recurrent miscarriage, and up to 359,469 female controls. We identify one genome-wide significant association on chromosome 13 (rs146350366, minor allele frequency (MAF) 1.2%, Pmeta=3.2x -8 (CI) 1.2-1.6) for sporadic miscarriage in our European ancestry meta-analysis (50,060 cases and 174,109 controls), located near FGF9 involved in pregnancy maintenance3 and progesterone production4. Additionally, we identified three genome-wide significant associations for recurrent miscarriage, including a signal on chromosome 9 (rs7859844, MAF=6.4%, Pmeta=1.3x -8 in controlling extravillous trophoblast motility5. We further investigate the genetic architecture of miscarriage with biobank-scale Mendelian randomization, heritability and, genetic correlation analyses. Our results implicate that miscarriage etiopathogenesis is partly driven by genetic variation related to gonadotropin regulation, placental biology and progesterone production.

genetics↗

Search for early pancreatic cancer blood biomarkers in five European prospective population biobanks using metabolomics

Background and aimMost patients with pancreatic cancer present with advanced disease and die within the first year after diagnosis. Predictive biomarkers that signal the presence of pancreatic cancer in an early stage are desperately needed. We aimed to identify new and validate previously found plasma metabolomic biomarkers associated with early stages of pancreatic cancer. MethodsThe low incidence rate complicates prospective biomarker studies. Here, we took advantage of the availability of biobanked samples from five large population cohorts (HUNT2, HUNT3, FINRISK, Estonian biobank, Rotterdam Study) and identified prediagnostic blood samples from individuals who were to receive a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer between one month and seventeen years after blood sampling, and compared these with age- and gender-matched controls from the same cohorts. We applied 1H-NMR-based metabolomics on the Nightingale platform on these samples and applied logistic regression to assess the predictive value of individual metabolite concentrations, with gender, age, body mass index, smoking status, type 2 diabetes mellitus status, fasting status, and cohort as covariates. ResultsAfter quality assessment, we retained 356 cases and 887 controls. We identified two interesting hits, glutamine (p=0.011) and histidine (p=0.012), and obtained Westfall-Young family-wise error rate adjusted p-values of 0.43 for both. Stratification in quintiles showed a 1.5x elevated risk for the lowest 20% of glutamine and a 2.2x increased risk for the lowest 20% of histidine. Stratification by time to diagnosis (<2 years, 2-5 years, >5 years) suggested glutamine to be involved in an earlier process, tapering out closer to onset, and histidine in a process closer to the actual onset. Lasso-penalized logistic regression showed a slight improvement of the area under the Receiver Operator Curves when including glutamine and histidine in the model. Finally, our data did not support the earlier identified branched-chain amino acids as potential biomarkers for pancreatic cancer in several American cohorts. ConclusionWhile identifying glutamine and histidine as early biomarkers of potential biological interest, our results imply that a study at this scale does not yield metabolomic biomarkers with sufficient predictive value to be clinically useful per se as prognostic biomarkers.

epidemiology↗

Improved polygenic prediction by Bayesian multiple regression on summary statistics

The capacity to accurately predict an individuals phenotype from their DNA sequence is one of the great promises of genomics and precision medicine. Recently, Bayesian methods for generating polygenic predictors have been successfully applied in human genomics but require the individual level data, which are often limited in their access due to privacy or logistical concerns, and are computationally very intensive. This has motivated methodological frameworks that utilise publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary data, which now for some traits include results from greater than a million individuals. In this study, we extend the established summary statistics methodological framework to include a class of point-normal mixture prior Bayesian regression models, which have been shown to generate optimal genetic predictions and can perform heritability estimation, variant mapping and estimate the distribution of the genetic effects. In a wide range of simulations and cross-validation using 10 real quantitative traits and 1.1 million variants on 350,000 individuals from the UK Biobank (UKB), we establish that our summary based method, SBayesR, performs similarly to methods that use the individual level data and outperforms other state-of-the-art summary statistics methods in terms of prediction accuracy and heritability estimation at a fraction of the computational resources. We generate polygenic predictors for body mass index and height in two independent data sets and show that by exploiting summary statistics on 1.1 million variants from the largest GWAS meta-analysis (n {approx} 700, 000) that the SBayesR prediction R2 improved on average across traits by 6.8% relative to that estimated from an individual-level data BayesR analysis of data from the UKB (n {approx} 450, 000). Compared with commonly used state-of-the-art summary-based methods, SBayesR improved the prediction R2 by 4.1% relative to LDpred and by 28.7% relative to clumping and p-value thresholding. SBayesR gave comparable prediction accuracy to the recent RSS method, which has a similar model, but at a computational time that is two orders of magnitude smaller. The methodology is implemented in a very efficient and user-friendly software tool titled GCTB.

genetics↗

Polygenic prediction of breast cancer: comparison of genetic predictors and implications for screening

BackgroundPublished genetic risk scores for breast cancer (BC) so far have been based on a relatively small number of markers and are not necessarily using the full potential of large-scale Genome-Wide Association Studies. This study aims to identify an efficient polygenic predictor for BC based on best available evidence and to assess its potential for personalized risk prediction and screening strategies.\n\nMethodsFour different genetic risk scores (two already published and two newly developed) and their combinations (metaGRS) are compared in the subsets of two population-based biobank cohorts: the UK Biobank (UKBB, 3157 BC cases, 43,827 controls) and Estonian Biobank (EstBB, 317 prevalent and 308 incident BC cases in 32,557 women). In addition, correlations between different genetic risk scores and their associations with BC risk factors are studied in both cohorts.\n\nResultsThe metaGRS that combines two genetic risk scores (metaGRS2 - based on 75 and 898 Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms, respectively) has the strongest association with prevalent BC status in both cohorts. One standard deviation difference in the metaGRS2 corresponds to an Odds Ratio = 1.6 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.66, p = 9.7*10-135) in the UK Biobank and accounting for family history marginally attenuates the effect (Odds Ratio = 1.58, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.64, p = 9.1*10-129). In the EstBB cohort, the hazard ratio of incident BC for the women in the top 5% of the metaGRS2 compared to women in the lowest 50% is 4.2 (95% CI 2.8 to 6.2, p = 8.1*10-13). The different GRSs are only moderately correlated with each other and are associated with different known predictors of BC. The classification of genetic risk for the same individual may vary considerably depending on the chosen GRS.\n\nConclusionsWe have shown that metaGRS2 that combines on the effects of more than 900 SNPs provides best predictive ability for breast cancer in two different population-based cohorts. The strength of the effect of metaGRS2 indicates that the GRS could potentially be used to develop more efficient strategies for breast cancer screening for genotyped women.

genetics↗

The effect of X-linked dosage compensation on complex trait variation

Quantitative genetics theory predicts that X-chromosome dosage compensation between sexes will have a detectable effect on the amount of genetic and therefore phenotypic trait variances at associated loci in males and females. Here, we systematically examine the role of dosage compensation in complex trait variation in humans in 20 complex traits in a sample of more than 450,000 individuals from the UK Biobank and in 1,600 gene expression traits from a sample of 2,000 individuals as well as across-tissue gene expression from the GTEx resource. We find, on average, twice as much genetic variation for complex traits due to X-linked loci in males compared to females, consistent with a negligible effect of predicted escape from X-inactivation on complex trait variation across traits and also detect biologically relevant X-linked heterogeneity between the sexes for a number of complex traits.

genetics↗

Deep coverage whole genome sequences and plasma lipoprotein(a) in individuals of European and African ancestries

Lipoprotein(a), Lp(a), is a modified low-density lipoprotein particle where apolipoprotein(a) (protein product of the LPA gene) is covalently attached to apolipoprotein B. Lp(a) is a highly heritable, causal risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and varies in concentrations across ancestries. To comprehensively delineate the inherited basis for plasma Lp(a), we performed deep-coverage whole genome sequencing in 8,392 individuals of European and African American ancestries. Through whole genome variant discovery and direct genotyping of all structural variants overlapping LPA, we quantified the 5.5kb kringle IV-2 copy number (KIV2-CN), a known LPA structural polymorphism, and developed a model for its imputation. Through common variant analysis, we discovered a novel locus (SORT1) associated with Lp(a)-cholesterol, and also genetic modifiers of KIV2-CN. Furthermore, in contrast to previous GWAS studies, we explain most of the heritability of Lp(a), observing Lp(a) to be 85% heritable among African Americans and 75% among Europeans, yet with notable inter-ethnic heterogeneity. Through analyses of aggregates of rare coding and non-coding variants with Lp(a)-cholesterol, we found the only genome-wide significant signal to be at a non-coding SLC22A3 intronic window also previously described to be associated with Lp(a); however, this association was mitigated by adjustment with KIV2-CN. Finally, using an additional imputation dataset (N=27,344), we performed Mendelian randomization of LPA variant classes, finding that genetically regulated Lp(a) is more strongly associated with incident cardiovascular diseases than directly measured Lp(a), and is significantly associated with measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in African Americans.

genomics↗

PAIRUP-MS: Pathway Analysis and Imputation to Relate Unknowns in Profiles from Mass Spectrometry-based metabolite data

Metabolomics is a powerful approach for discovering biomarkers and metabolic quantitative trait loci. While untargeted profiling methods can measure up to thousands of metabolite signals in a single experiment, many signals cannot be readily identified as known metabolites or compared across datasets, making it difficult to infer biology and to conduct well-powered meta-analyses across studies. To deal with these challenges, we developed a suite of computational methods, PAIRUP-MS, to match metabolite signals across mass spectrometry-based profiling datasets using an imputation-based approach and to generate pathway annotations for these signals. We performed meta and pathway analyses for both known and unknown signals in multiple datasets and then validated the results using genetic associations. Finally, we applied the methods to detect metabolite signals and pathways associated with body mass index, demonstrating that our framework is useful for analyzing unknown signals in a robust and biologically meaningful manner and for improving the power of untargeted metabolomics studies.

bioinformatics↗

Haplotype sharing provides insights into fine-scale population history and disease in Finland

Finland provides unique opportunities to investigate population and medical genomics because of its adoption of unified national electronic health records, detailed historical and birth records, and serial population bottlenecks. We assemble a comprehensive view of recent population history ([&le;]100 generations), the timespan during which most rare disease-causing alleles arose, by comparing pairwise haplotype sharing from 43,254 Finns to geographically and linguistically adjacent countries with different population histories, including 16,060 Swedes, Estonians, Russians, and Hungarians. We find much more extensive sharing in Finns, with at least one [&ge;] 5 cM tract on average between pairs of unrelated individuals. By coupling haplotype sharing with fine-scale birth records from over 25,000 individuals, we find that while haplotype sharing broadly decays with geographical distance, there are pockets of excess haplotype sharing; individuals from northeast Finland share several-fold more of their genome in identity-by-descent (IBD) segments than individuals from southwest regions containing the major cities of Helsinki and Turku. We estimate recent effective population size changes over time across regions of Finland and find significant differences between the Early and Late Settlement Regions as expected; however, our results indicate more continuous gene flow than previously indicated as Finns migrated towards the northernmost Lapland region. Lastly, we show that haplotype sharing is locally enriched among pairs of individuals sharing rare alleles by an order of magnitude, especially among pairs sharing rare disease causing variants. Our work provides a general framework for using haplotype sharing to reconstruct an integrative view of recent population history and gain insight into the evolutionary origins of rare variants contributing to disease.

genetics↗

Widespread signatures of negative selection in the genetic architecture of human complex traits

Estimation of the joint distribution of effect size and minor allele frequency (MAF) for genetic variants is important for understanding the genetic basis of complex trait variation and can be used to detect signature of natural selection. We develop a Bayesian mixed linear model that simultaneously estimates SNP-based heritability, polygenicity (i.e. the proportion of SNPs with nonzero effects) and the relationship between effect size and MAF for complex traits in conventionally unrelated individuals using genome-wide SNP data. We apply the method to 28 complex traits in the UK Biobank data (N = 126,752), and show that on average across 28 traits, 6% of SNPs have nonzero effects, which in total explain 22% of phenotypic variance. We detect significant (p < 0.05/28 =1.8x10-3) signatures of natural selection for 23 out of 28 traits including reproductive, cardiovascular, and anthropometric traits, as well as educational attainment. We further apply the method to 27,869 gene expression traits (N = 1,748), and identify 30 genes that show significant (p < 2.3x10-6) evidence of natural selection. All the significant estimates of the relationship between effect size and MAF in either complex traits or gene expression traits are consistent with a model of negative selection, as confirmed by forward simulation. We conclude that natural selection acts pervasively on human complex traits shaping genetic variation in the form of negative selection.

genetics↗

An epigenome-wide association study of educational attainment (n = 10,767)

The epigenome has been shown to be influenced by biological factors, such as disease status, and environmental factors, such as smoking, alcohol consumption, and body mass index. Although there is a widespread perception that environmental influences on the epigenome are pervasive and profound, there has been little evidence to date in humans with respect to environmental factors that are biologically distal. Here, we provide evidence on the associations between epigenetic modifications--in our case, CpG methylation--and educational attainment (EA), a biologically distal environmental factor that is arguably among of the most important life-shaping experiences for individuals. Specifically, we report the results of an epigenome-wide association study meta-analysis of EA based on data from 27 cohort studies with a total of 10,767 individuals. While we find that 9 CpG probes are significantly associated with EA, only two remain associated when we restrict the sample to never-smokers. These two are known to be strongly associated with maternal smoking during pregnancy, and thus their association with EA could be due to correlation between EA and maternal smoking. Moreover, their effect sizes on EA are far smaller than the known associations between CpG probes and biologically proximal environmental factors. Two analyses that combine the effects of many probes--polygenic methylation score and epigenetic-clock analyses--both suggest small associations with EA. If our findings regarding EA can be generalized to other biologically distal environmental factors, then they cast doubt on the hypothesis that such factors have large effects on the epigenome.

genetics↗

An interaction map of circulating metabolites, immune gene networks and their genetic regulation

The interaction between metabolism and the immune system plays a central role in many cardiometabolic diseases. We integrated blood transcriptomic, metabolomic, and genomic profiles from two population-based cohorts, including a subset with 7-year follow-up sampling. We identified topologically robust gene networks enriched for diverse immune functions including cytotoxicity, viral response, B cell, platelet, neutrophil, and mast cell/basophil activity. These immune gene modules showed complex patterns of association with 158 circulating metabolites, including lipoprotein subclasses, lipids, fatty acids, amino acids, and CRP. Genome-wide scans for module expression quantitative trait loci (mQTLs) revealed five modules with mQTLs of both cis and trans effects. The strongest mQTL was in ARHGEF3 (rs1354034) and affected a module enriched for platelet function. Mast cell/basophil and neutrophil function modules maintained their metabolite associations during 7-year follow-up, while our strongest mQTL in ARHGEF3 also displayed clear temporal stability. This study provides a detailed map of natural variation at the blood immuno-metabolic interface and its genetic basis, and facilitates subsequent studies to explain inter-individual variation in cardiometabolic disease.

genomics↗

Constraints on eQTL fine mapping in the presence of multi-site local regulation of gene expression

Expression QTL (eQTL) detection has emerged as an important tool for unravelling of the relationship between genetic risk factors and disease or clinical phenotypes. Most studies use single marker linear regression to discover primary signals, followed by sequential conditional modeling to detect secondary genetic variants affecting gene expression. However, this approach assumes that functional variants are sparsely distributed and that close linkage between them has little impact on estimation of their precise location and magnitude of effects. In this study, we address the prevalence of secondary signals and bias in estimation of their effects by performing multi-site linear regression on two large human cohort peripheral blood gene expression datasets (each greater than 2,500 samples) with accompanying whole genome genotypes, namely the CAGE compendium of Illumina microarray studies, and the Framingham Heart Study Affymetrix data. Stepwise conditional modeling demonstrates that multiple eQTL signals are present for ~40% of over 3500 eGenes in both datasets, and the number of loci with additional signals reduces by approximately two-thirds with each conditioning step. However, the concordance of specific signals between the two studies is only ~30%, indicating that expression profiling platform is a large source of variance in effect estimation. Furthermore, a series of simulation studies imply that in the presence of multi-site regulation, up to 10% of the secondary signals could be artefacts of incomplete tagging, and at least 5% but up to one quarter of credible intervals may not even include the causal site, which is thus mis-localized. Joint multi-site effect estimation recalibrates effect size estimates by just a small amount on average. Presumably similar conclusions apply to most types of quantitative trait. Given the strong empirical evidence that gene expression is commonly regulated by more than one variant, we conclude that the fine-mapping of causal variants needs to be adjusted for multi-site influences, as conditional estimates can be highly biased by interference among linked sites.

genetics↗