Biology subjects

McVean, G.

Publications and source records attributed to McVean, G..

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2021

Statistical inference in population genomics

The field of population genomics has grown rapidly in response to the recent advent of affordable, large-scale sequencing technologies. As opposed to the situation during the majority of the 20th century, in which the development of theoretical and statistical population-genetic insights out-paced the generation of data to which they could be applied, genomic data are now being produced at a far greater rate than they can be meaningfully analyzed and interpreted. With this wealth of data has come a tendency to focus on fitting specific (and often rather idiosyncratic) models to data, at the expense of a careful exploration of the range of possible underlying evolutionary processes. For example, the approach of directly investigating models of adaptive evolution in each newly sequenced population or species often neglects the fact that a thorough characterization of ubiquitous non-adaptive processes is a prerequisite for accurate inference. We here describe the perils of these tendencies, present our consensus views on current best practices in population genomic data analysis, and highlight areas of statistical inference and theory that are in need of further attention. Thereby, we argue for the importance of defining a biologically relevant baseline model tuned to the details of each new analysis, of skepticism and scrutiny in interpreting model-fitting results, and of carefully defining addressable hypotheses and underlying uncertainties.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Parental-fetal interplay of immune genes leads to intrauterine growth restriction

Intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) of fetuses affects 5-10% of pregnancies and is associated with perinatal morbidity, mortality and long-term health issues. Understanding genetic predisposition to IUGR is challenging, owing to extensive gene polymorphisms, linkage disequilibrium, and maternal and paternal influence. Here, we demonstrate that the inhibitory receptor, KIR2DL1, expressed on maternal uterine natural killer (uNK) cells, in interaction with the paternally-inherited HLA-C*05, an HLA-C group 2 allotype, expressed on fetal trophoblast cells, causes IUGR in a humanised mouse model. Micro-CT imaging of the uteroplacental vasculature revealed reduced uterine spiral artery diameter and increased segment length, increasing fetal blood flow resistance. Single cell RNA-Seq from the maternal-fetal interface highlighted expression programs activated by KIR2DL1-induced IUGR in several placental cell types, including degradation of extracellular matrix components, angiogenesis, and uNK cell communication, suggesting a complex response underlying IUGR. As current IUGR treatments are insufficient, our findings provide important insight for drug development.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2021

A unified genealogy of modern and ancient genomes

The sequencing of modern and ancient genomes from around the world has revolutionised our understanding of human history and evolution1,2. However, the general problem of how best to characterise the full complexity of ancestral relationships from the totality of human genomic variation remains unsolved. Patterns of variation in each data set are typically analysed independently, and often using parametric models or data reduction techniques that cannot capture the full complexity of human ancestry3,4. Moreover, variation in sequencing technology5,6, data quality7 and in silico processing8,9, coupled with complexities of data scale10, limit the ability to integrate data sources. Here, we introduce a non-parametric approach to inferring human genealogical history that overcomes many of these challenges and enables us to build the largest genealogy of both modern and ancient humans yet constructed. The genealogy provides a lossless and compact representation of multiple datasets, addresses the challenges of missing and erroneous data, and benefits from using ancient samples to constrain and date relationships. Using simulations and empirical analyses, we demonstrate the power of the method to recover relationships between individuals and populations, as well as to identify descendants of ancient samples. Finally, we show how applying a simple non-parametric estimator of ancestor geographical location to the inferred genealogy recapitulates key events in human history. Our results demonstrate that whole-genome genealogies are a powerful means of synthesising genetic data and provide rich insights into human evolution.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2021

High trait variability in optimal polygenic prediction strategy within multiple-ancestry cohorts

Polygenic scores (PGSs) are individual-level measures that aggregate the genome-wide genetic predisposition to a given trait. As PGS have predominantly been developed using European-ancestry samples, trait prediction using such European ancestry-derived PGS is less accurate in non-European ancestry individuals. Although there has been recent progress in combining multiple PGS trained on distinct populations, the problem of how to maximize performance given a multiple-ancestry cohort is largely unexplored. Here, we investigate the effect of sample size and ancestry composition on PGS performance for fifteen traits in UK Biobank. For some traits, PGS estimated using a relatively small African-ancestry training set outperformed, on an African-ancestry test set, PGS estimated using a much larger European-ancestry only training set. We observe similar, but not identical, results when considering other minority-ancestry groups within UK Biobank. Our results emphasise the importance of targeted data collection from underrepresented groups in order to address existing disparities in PGS performance.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Elucidating relationships between P.falciparum prevalence and measures of genetic diversity with a combined genetic-epidemiological model of malaria

There is an abundance of malaria genetic data being collected from the field, yet using this data to understand features of regional epidemiology remains a challenge. A key issue is the lack of models that relate parasite genetic diversity to epidemiological parameters. Classical models in population genetics characterize changes in genetic diversity in relation to demographic parameters, but fail to account for the unique features of the malaria life cycle. In contrast, epidemiological models, such as the Ross-Macdonald model, capture malaria transmission dynamics but do not consider genetics. Here, we have developed an integrated model encompassing both parasite evolution and regional epidemiology. We achieve this by combining the Ross-Macdonald model with an intra-host continuous-time Moran model, thus explicitly representing the evolution of individual parasite genomes in a traditional epidemiological framework. Implemented as a stochastic simulation, we use the model to explore relationships between measures of parasite genetic diversity and parasite prevalence, a widely-used metric of transmission intensity. First, we explore how varying parasite prevalence influences genetic diversity at equilibrium. We find that multiple genetic diversity statistics are correlated with prevalence, but the strength of the relationships depends on whether variation in prevalence is driven by host- or vector-related factors. Next, we assess the responsiveness of a variety of statistics to malaria control interventions, finding that those related to mixed infections respond quickly (~ months) whereas other statistics, such as nucleotide diversity, may take decades to respond. These findings provide insights into the opportunities and challenges associated with using genetic data to monitor malaria epidemiology. Author summaryKnowledge of how the prevalence of P.falciparum malaria varies, either between regions or through time, is critical to the operation of malaria control programs. Yet obtaining this information through traditional methods is fraught with challenges. Parasite genetic data is increasingly accessible, and may provide an alternative means to estimate P.falciparum prevalence in the field. However, our understanding of how the genetic diversity of parasite populations relates to prevalence is limited, and suitable models to guide our understanding are largely lacking. Here, we merge two classical models - the Ross-Macondald and the Moran - to produce a framework in which the relationships between parasite genetic diversity and prevalence can be explored. We find that several genetic diversity statistics are correlated with prevalence, although to differing degrees, and over different time scales. Overall, statistics related to mixed infection are robustly and rapidly responsive to changes in prevalence, suggesting they may be a useful focal point for the development of malaria surveillance methods that harness genetic data.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Age modulates genetic risk for multiple common diseases

Inherited genetic variation contributes to individual risk for many complex diseases and is increasingly being used for predictive patient stratification. Recent work has shown that genetic factors are not equally relevant to human traits across age and other contexts, though the reasons for such variation are not clear. Here, we introduce methods to infer the form of the relationship between genetic risk for disease and age and to test whether all genetic risk factors behave similarly. We use a proportional hazards model within an interval-based censoring methodology to estimate age-varying individual variant contributions to genetic risk for 24 common diseases within the British ancestry subset of UK Biobank, applying a Bayesian clustering approach to group variants by their risk profile over age and permutation tests for age dependency and multiplicity of profiles. We find evidence for age-varying risk profiles in nine diseases, including hypertension, skin cancer, atherosclerotic heart disease, hypothyroidism and calculus of gallbladder, several of which show evidence, albeit weak, for multiple distinct profiles of genetic risk. The predominant pattern shows genetic risk factors having the greatest impact on risk of early disease, with a monotonic decrease over time, at least for the majority of variants although the magnitude and form of the decrease varies among diseases. We show that these patterns cannot be explained by a simple model involving the presence of unobserved covariates such as environmental factors. We discuss possible models that can explain our observations and the implications for genetic risk prediction. Author summaryThe genes we inherit from our parents influence our risk for almost all diseases, from cancer to severe infections. With the explosion of genomic technologies, we are now able to use an individuals genome to make useful predictions about future disease risk. However, recent work has shown that the predictive value of genetic information varies by context, including age, sex and ethnicity. In this paper we introduce, validate and apply new statistical methods for investigating the relationship between age and genetic risk. These methods allow us to ask questions such as whether risk is constant over time, precisely how risk changes over time and whether all genetic risk factors have similar age profiles. By applying the methods to data from the UK Biobank, a prospective study of 500,000 people, we show that there is a tendency for genetic risk to decline with increasing age. We consider a series of possible explanations for the observation and conclude that there must be processes acting that we are currently unaware of, such as distinct phases of life in which genetic risk manifests itself, or interactions between genes and the environment.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2019

Detection of simple and complex de novo mutations without, with, or with multiple reference sequences

The characterization of de novo mutations in regions of high sequence and structural diversity from whole genome sequencing data remains highly challenging. Complex structural variants tend to arise in regions of high repetitiveness and low complexity, challenging both de novo assembly, where short-reads do not capture the long-range context required for resolution, and mapping approaches, where improper alignment of reads to a reference genome that is highly diverged from that of the sample can lead to false or partial calls. Long-read technologies can potentially solve such problems but are currently unfeasible to use at scale. Here we present Corticall, a graph-based method that combines the advantages of multiple technologies and prior data sources to detect arbitrary classes of genetic variant. We construct multi-sample, coloured de Bruijn graphs from shortread data for all samples, align long-read-derived haplotypes and multiple reference data sources to restore graph connectivity information, and call variants using graph path-finding algorithms and a model for simultaneous alignment and recombination. We validate and evaluate the approach using extensive simulations and use it to characterize the rate and spectrum of de novo mutation events in 119 progeny from four Plasmodium falciparum experimental crosses, using long-read data on the parents to inform reconstructions of the progeny and to detect several known and novel non-allelic homologous recombination events.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2019

Coupling Wright-Fisher and coalescent dynamics for realistic simulation of population-scale datasets

1Coalescent simulations are widely used to examine the effects of evolution and demographic history on the genetic makeup of populations. Thanks to recent progress in algorithms and data structures, simulators such as the widely-used msprime [1] now provide genome-wide simulations for millions of individuals. However, this software relies on classic coalescent theory and the corresponding assumptions that sample sizes are small relative to effective population size and that the region being simulated is short. Here we show that coalescent simulations of long regions of the genome exhibit large biases in identity-by-descent (IBD), long-range linkage disequilibrium (LD), and ancestry patterns, particularly when sample size is large. We present a Wright-Fisher extension to msprime, and show that it produces more realistic distributions of IBD, LD, and ancestry proportions, while also addressing more subtle biases of the coalescent. Further, these extensions are more computationally efficient than state-of-the-art coalescent simulations when simulating long regions, including whole-genome data. For shorter regions, efficiency and accuracy can be maintained via a flexible hybrid model which simulates the recent past under the Wright-Fisher model and uses coalescent simulations in the distant past.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2018

Bayesian meta-analysis across genome-wide association studies of diverse phenotypes

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are a powerful tool for understanding the genetic basis of diseases and traits, but most studies have been conducted in isolation, with a focus on either a single or a set of closely related phenotypes. We describe MetABF, a simple Bayesian framework for performing integrative meta-analysis across multiple GWAS using summary statistics. The approach is applicable across a wide range of study designs and can increase the power by 50% compared to standard frequentist tests when only a subset of studies have a true effect. We demonstrate its utility in a meta-analysis of 20 diverse GWAS which were part of the Wellcome Trust Case-Control Consortium 2. The novelty of the approach is its ability to explore, and assess the evidence for, a range of possible true patterns of association across studies in a computationally efficient framework.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Inferring the ancestry of everyone

A central problem in evolutionary biology is to infer the full genealogical history of a set of DNA sequences. This history contains rich information about the forces that have influenced a sexually reproducing species. However, existing methods are limited: the most accurate is unable to cope with more than a few dozen samples. With modern genetic data sets rapidly approaching millions of genomes, there is an urgent need for efficient inference methods to exploit such rich resources. We introduce an algorithm to infer whole-genome history which has comparable accuracy to the state-of-the-art but can process around four orders of magnitude more sequences. Additionally, our method results in an \"evolutionary encoding\" of the original sequence data, enabling efficient access to genealogies and calculation of genetic statistics over the data. We apply this technique to human data from the 1000 Genomes Project, Simons Genome Diversity Project and UK Biobank, showing that the genealogies we estimate are both rich in biological signal and efficient to process.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2018

HLA*PRG:LA - HLA typing from linearly projected graph alignments

SummaryHLA*PRG:LA implements a new graph alignment model for HLA type inference, based on the projection of linear alignments onto a variation graph. It enables accurate HLA type inference from whole-genome (99% accuracy) and whole-exome (93% accuracy) Illumina data; from long-read Oxford Nanopore and Pacific Biosciences data (98% accuracy for whole-genome and targeted data); and from genome assemblies. Computational requirements for a typical sample vary between 0.7 and 14 CPU hours per sample.\n\nAvailability and ImplementationHLA*PRG:LA is implemented in C++ and Perl and freely available from https://github.com/DiltheyLab/HLA-PRG-LA (GPL v3).\n\nContactalexander.dilthey@med.uni-duesseldorf.de\n\nSupplementary informationSupplementary data are available online.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2018

Dating genomic variants and shared ancestry in population-scale sequencing data

The origin and fate of new mutations within species is the fundamental process underlying evolution. However, while much attention has been focused on characterizing the presence, frequency, and phenotypic impact of genetic variation, the evolutionary histories of most variants are largely unexplored. We have developed a non-parametric approach for estimating the date of origin of genetic variants in large-scale sequencing data sets. The accuracy and robustness of the approach is demonstrated through simulation. Using data from two publicly available human genomic diversity resources, we estimated the age of more than 45 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the human genome and release the Atlas of Variant Age as a public online database. We characterize the relationship between variant age and frequency in different geographical regions, and demonstrate the value of age information in interpreting variants of functional and selective importance. Finally, we use allele age estimates to power a rapid approach for inferring the ancestry shared between individual genomes, to quantify genealogical relationships at different points in the past, as well as describe and explore the evolutionary history of modern human populations.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2018

The origins and relatedness structure of mixed infections vary with local prevalence of P. falciparum malaria

Individual malaria infections can carry multiple strains of Plasmodium falciparum with varying levels of relatedness. Yet, how local epidemiology affects the properties of such mixed infections remains unclear. Here, we develop an enhanced method for strain deconvolution from genome sequencing data, which estimates the number of strains, their proportions, identity-by-descent (IBD) profiles and individual haplotypes. Applying it to the Pf3k data set, we find that the rate of mixed infection varies from 29% to 63% across countries and that 51% of mixed infections involve more than two strains. Further-more, we estimate that 47% of symptomatic dual infections contain sibling strains likely to have been co-transmitted from a single mosquito, and find evidence of mixed infections propagated over successive infection cycles. Finally, leveraging data from the Malaria Atlas Project, we find that prevalence correlates within Africa, but not Asia, with both the rate of mixed infection and the level of IBD.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Systematic classification of shared components of genetic risk for common human diseases

Disease classification is fundamental to clinical practice, but current taxonomies do not necessarily reflect the pathophysiological processes that are common or unique to different disorders, such as those determined by genetic risk factors. Here, we use routine healthcare data from the 500,000 participants in the UK Biobank to map genome-wide associations across 19,628 diagnostic terms. We find that 3,510 independent genetic risk loci affect multiple clinical phenotypes, which we cluster into 629 distinct disease association profiles. We use multiple approaches to link clusters to different underlying biological pathways and show how these clusters define the genetic architecture of common medical conditions, including hypertension and immune-mediated diseases. Finally, we demonstrate how clusters can be utilised to re-define disease relationships and to inform therapeutic strategies.\n\nOne sentence summarySystematic classification of genetic risk factors reveals molecular connectivity of human diseases with clinical implications

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

LOW-BIAS RNA SEQUENCING OF THE HIV-2 GENOME FROM BLOOD PLASMA

Accurate determination of the genetic diversity present in the HIV quasi-species is critical for the development of a preventative vaccine: in particular, little is known about viral genetic diversity for the second strain of HIV, HIV-2. A better understanding of HIV-2 biology is relevant to the HIV vaccine field because a substantial proportion of infected people experience long-term viral control, and prior HIV-2 infection is associated with slower HIV-1 disease progression in co-infected subjects. The majority of traditional and next generation sequencing methods have relied on target amplification prior to sequencing, introducing biases that may obscure the true signals of diversity in the viral population. Additionally, target-enrichment through PCR requires a priori sequence knowledge, which is lacking for HIV-2. Therefore, a target enrichment free method of library preparation would be valuable for the field. We applied an RNA shotgun sequencing (RNA-Seq) method without PCR amplification to cultured viral stocks and patient plasma samples from HIV-2 infected individuals. Libraries generated from total plasma RNA were analysed with a two-step pipeline: (1) de novo genome assembly, followed by (2) read re-mapping. By this approach, whole genome sequences were generated with a 28x-67x mean depth of coverage. Assembled reads showed a low level of GC-bias and comparison of the genome diversity on the intra-host level showed low diversity in the accessory gene vpx in all patients. Our study demonstrates that RNA-Seq is a feasible full-genome de novo sequencing method for blood plasma samples collected from HIV-2 infected individuals.\n\nIMPORTANCEAn accurate picture of viral genetic diversity is critical for the development of a globally effective HIV vaccine. However, sequencing strategies are often complicated by target enrichment prior to sequencing, introducing biases that can distort variant frequencies, which are not easily corrected for in downstream analyses. Additionally, detailed a priori sequence knowledge is needed to inform robust primer design when employing PCR amplification, a factor that is often lacking when working with tropical diseases localised in developing countries. Previous work has demonstrated that direct RNA shotgun sequencing (RNA-Seq) can be used to circumvent these issues for HCV and Norovirus. We applied shotgun RNA sequencing (RNA-Seq) to total RNA extracted from HIV-2 blood plasma samples, demonstrating the applicability of this technique to HIV-2 and allowing us to generate a dynamic picture of genetic diversity over the whole genome of HIV-2 in the context of low-bias sequencing.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Selfish mutations dysregulating RAS-MAPK signaling are pervasive in aged human testes

Mosaic mutations present in the germline have important implications for reproductive risk and disease transmission. We previously demonstrated a phenomenon occurring in the male germline, whereby specific mutations arising spontaneously in stem cells (spermatogonia) lead to clonal expansion, resulting in elevated mutation levels in sperm over time. This process, termed selfish spermatogonial selection, explains the high spontaneous birth prevalence and strong paternal age-effect of disorders such as achondroplasia, Apert, Noonan and Costello syndromes, with direct experimental evidence currently available for specific positions of six genes (FGFR2, FGFR3, RET, PTPN11, HRAS and KRAS). We present a discovery screen to identify novel mutations and genes showing evidence of positive selection in the male germline, by performing massively parallel simplex PCR using RainDance technology to interrogate mutational hotspots in 67 genes (51.5 kb in total) in 276 biopsies of testes from 5 men (median age: 83 years). Following ultra-deep sequencing (~16,000x), development of a low-frequency variant prioritization strategy and targeted validation, we identified 61 distinct variants present at frequencies as low as 0.06%, including 54 variants not previously directly associated with selfish selection. The majority (80%) of variants identified have previously been implicated in developmental disorders and/or oncogenesis and include mutations in six newly associated genes (BRAF, CBL, MAP2K1, MAP2K2, RAF1 and SOS1), all of which encode components of RAS-MAPK pathway and activate signaling. Our findings extend the link between mutations dysregulating the RAS-MAPK pathway and selfish selection, and show that the ageing male germline is a repository for such deleterious mutations.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2017

Real-time search of all bacterial and viral genomic data

Genome sequencing of pathogens is now ubiquitous in microbiology, and the sequence archives are effectively no longer searchable for arbitrary sequences. Furthermore, the exponential increase of these archives is likely to be further spurred by automated diagnostics. To unlock their use for scientific research and real-time surveillance we have combined knowledge about bacterial genetic variation with ideas used in web-search, to build a DNA search engine for microbial data that can grow incrementally. We indexed the complete global corpus of bacterial and viral whole genome sequence data (447,833 genomes), using four orders of magnitude less storage than previous methods. The method allows future scaling to millions of genomes. This renders the global archive accessible to sequence search, which we demonstrate with three applications: ultra-fast search for resistance genes MCR1-3, analysis of host-range for 2827 plasmids, and quantification of the rise of antibiotic resistance prevalence in the sequence archives.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2017

Genome-wide genetic data on ~500,000 UK Biobank participants

The UK Biobank project is a large prospective cohort study of ~500,000 individuals from across the United Kingdom, aged between 40-69 at recruitment. A rich variety of phenotypic and health-related information is available on each participant, making the resource unprecedented in its size and scope. Here we describe the genome-wide genotype data (~805,000 markers) collected on all individuals in the cohort and its quality control procedures. Genotype data on this scale offers novel opportunities for assessing quality issues, although the wide range of ancestries of the individuals in the cohort also creates particular challenges. We also conducted a set of analyses that reveal properties of the genetic data - such as population structure and relatedness - that can be important for downstream analyses. In addition, we phased and imputed genotypes into the dataset, using computationally efficient methods combined with the Haplotype Reference Consortium (HRC) and UK10K haplotype resource. This increases the number of testable variants by over 100-fold to ~96 million variants. We also imputed classical allelic variation at 11 human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genes, and as a quality control check of this imputation, we replicate signals of known associations between HLA alleles and many common diseases. We describe tools that allow efficient genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of multiple traits and fast phenome-wide association studies (PheWAS), which work together with a new compressed file format that has been used to distribute the dataset. As a further check of the genotyped and imputed datasets, we performed a test-case genome-wide association scan on a well-studied human trait, standing height.

genetics↗