McHale, P. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2026

The performance of genetic-constraint metrics varies significantly across the human noncoding genome

A longstanding goal in human genetics is to prioritize noncoding loci that, when disrupted, lead to developmental disorders and other Mendelian traits. In pursuit of this goal, multiple metrics have been developed to distinguish neutrally evolving sequences from those subjected to purifying selection. These metrics are commonly evaluated genome-wide, e.g., by computing a precision-recall curve on windows tiling the entire noncoding genome. Here, we identify parts of the noncoding genome where these metrics significantly underperform relative to their genome-wide performance due to "bias" in the underlying models of neutral genetic variation and/or a low "signal-to-noise ratio" in the genetic data. The most extreme effects are found for Gnocchi (Chen et al. 2024), the performance of which declines as GC content increases. We suggest annotating constraint scores of noncoding genomic intervals with robust measures of the bias of the corresponding model, allowing users to gauge confidence in those scores.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2023

Phenology across scales: an intercontinental analysis of leaf-out dates in temperate deciduous tree communities

AimTo quantify the intra-community variability of leaf-out (ICVLo) among dominant trees in temperate deciduous forests, assess its links with specific and phylogenetic diversity, identify its environmental drivers, and deduce its ecological consequences with regard to radiation received and exposure to late frost. LocationEastern North America (ENA) and Europe (EUR). Time period2009-2022 Major taxa studiedTemperate deciduous forest trees. MethodsWe developed an approach to quantify ICVLo through the analysis of RGB images taken from phenological cameras. We related ICVLo to species richness, phylogenetic diversity and environmental conditions. We quantified the intra-community variability of the amount of radiation received and of exposure to late frost. ResultsLeaf-out occurred over a longer time interval in ENA than in EUR. The sensitivity of leaf-out to temperature was identical in both regions (-3.4 days per {degrees}C). The distributions of ICVLo were similar in EUR and ENA forests, despite the latter being more species-rich and phylogenetically diverse. In both regions, cooler conditions and an earlier occurrence of leaf-out resulted in higher ICVLo. ICVLo resulted in a ca. 8% difference of radiation absorption over spring among individual trees. Forest communities in ENA had shorter safety margins as regards the exposure to late frosts, and were actually more frequently exposed to late frosts. Main conclusionsWe conducted the first intercontinental analysis of the variability of leaf-out at the scale of tree communities. North American and European forests showed similar ICVLo, in spite of their differences in terms of species richness and phylogenetic diversity, highlighting the relevance of environmental controls on ICVLo. We quantified two ecological implications of ICVLo (difference in terms of radiation absorption and exposure to late frost), which should be explored in the context of ongoing climate change, which affects trees differently according to their phenological niche.

ecology↗