Biology subjects

Lesterhuis, A.

Publications and source records attributed to Lesterhuis, A..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Operationalizing site-level conservation for migratory birds across the Americas flyways

Conserving migratory birds effectively requires full annual cycle strategies that identify where on-the-ground efforts can have the greatest impact. Here, we present a hemispheric spatial framework to identify priority areas for 112 migratory bird species across the Americas. Building on full annual cycle prioritizations, we defined finer-scale spatial planning units that reflect differences in migratory and congregational behaviors between shorebirds and landbirds. We compiled population data for each planning unit and focal species and applied conservation planning tools to design area-efficient portfolios of sites and landscapes that secure 10% of each species population within the Americas flyways. The resulting minimum area portfolios include 175 shorebird sites and 80 landbird landscapes optimized to meet the species-specific 10% representation targets across breeding, non-breeding, and passage seasons. We also identified a broader set of complementary solutions, ranked by an importance score, to provide decision-makers with flexible options for strategic resource allocation. This framework provides the scientific foundation for the Americas Flyways Initiative (AFI), which aims to catalyze investment in nature-based solutions and bird-friendly infrastructure to enhance the conservation of migratory birds and strengthen the resilience of the Americas flyways by 2050.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Population estimates of shorebirds on the Atlantic Coast of southern South America generated from large-scale, simultaneous, volunteer-led surveys

Population abundance and trend estimates are crucial to science, management, and conservation. Shorebirds, which are abundant in many coastal habitats and play important roles in coastal ecosystems, are facing some of the most dramatic population declines of any group of birds globally. However, accurate and up-to-date population estimates are lacking for most shorebird species. We thus conducted comprehensive, simultaneous, and community scientist-led surveys of the entire Atlantic Coast of southern South America -- stretching from central Brazil to Tierra del Fuego -- to gather counts of shorebirds that we combined with remote sensing analyses and two-step hurdle models that accounted for presence and abundance. Our objectives were to estimate shorebird densities by habitat, identify high-concentration areas, understand the environmental factors affecting their distributions, and provide population estimates for both Nearctic and Neotropical species. We counted a total of 37,207 shorebirds of 17 species and, from those counts, estimated that nearly 1.1 million shorebirds use the regions coastline. We also found that shorebirds occurred in the highest densities in shallow water wetland habitats and that fewer shorebirds occupied areas that were further away from estuaries. Although not directly comparable, our results suggest the population sizes of the Nearctic species whose nonbreeding ranges are predominantly in southern South America may have declined substantially since previous estimates. At the same time, our study represents the first empirically derived population estimates for Neotropical breeding shorebird species and indicates that they are far more abundant than previously thought. Taken together, our results highlight the power of community scientists to carry out structured protocols at continental scales and generate critical data for a group of at-risk species.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Addressing multiple sources of uncertainty in the estimation of parrot abundance from roost counts: a case study with the Vinaceous-breasted Parrot (Amazona vinacea)

Population size is a key predictor of extinction risk and is critical to listing species in IUCN threat categories. The population size of parrots--one of the most threatened bird families--is often assessed using roost counts, which suffer from multiple sources of uncertainty that need to be addressed in monitoring efforts. To improve estimates of abundance for endangered Vinaceous-breasted Parrot (Amazona vinacea), we compared extensive roost counts over the whole range of the species (Argentina, Paraguay, Brazil) with an intensive regional survey designed to address five sources of uncertainty about parrot abundance in western Santa Catarina state (WSC), Brazil, in 2016 and 2017. We estimated regional-scale abundance using a sampling design that minimizes double counting and an N-mixture model of replicated count data, which accounts for imperfect detection, implemented in a Bayesian framework. The whole-range counts amounted to 3,888 and 4,084 individuals in 2016 and 2017, respectively; regional estimates were 945 {+/-} 50 and 1,393 {+/-} 40 individuals, for the same two years. We found no evidence of population growth because the increase in numbers matched an increase in observation effort on both spatial scales. When extrapolating the WSC abundance estimate to three hypothetical geographical range areas of the species, under the simplifying assumption of homogenous density, we obtained values above the whole-range counts, but within the same order of magnitude, putting the global population size of Vinaceous-breasted Parrot in the thousands of individuals. Although our estimates of abundance and geographic range are larger than those currently reported by the IUCN, we suggest that Vinaceous-breasted Parrot remain in the Endangered IUCN threat category pending further investigation of population trends. We recommend that roost-monitoring programs for parrots consider and address sources of uncertainty through field protocols and statistical analysis, to better inform assessments of population size, trends, and threat status.

ecology↗