Biology subjects

Krol, L.

Publications and source records attributed to Krol, L..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2024

Silent reservoirs are shaping disease emergence: the case of Usutu virus in the Netherlands

Disentangling contributions of different hosts to disease transmission is highly complex, but critical for improving predictions, surveillance, and response. This is particularly challenging in wildlife, with pathogens often infecting multiple species and data collection being difficult. Using the emergence of Usutu virus (USUV) in the Netherlands as a case study, we demonstrate the use of an Approximate Bayesian Computation framework on diverse data sources to uncover drivers of spatio-temporal wildlife disease emergence. We calibrated single- and multi-host mechanistic transmission models to five types of wildlife surveillance and research data, describing molecular and serological evidence of USUV in birds. Although Eurasian blackbirds, the primary target species for surveillance, were most severely affected, our models indicated that USUV could not persist in blackbirds alone. Our framework provided statistical support for additional, unobserved bird species to have contributed to transmission. This population of bird species is characterised by limited infection mortality, a longer lifespan, and likely further dispersal than blackbirds. Immunity in this population appears to have protected blackbirds from further USUV-related population decline. Our results underscore the importance of considering multiple host populations to understand outbreak dynamics. Neglecting the multi-host context of transmission can impact the reliability of predictions and projected impact of interventions.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Emergence and Dynamics of Usutu and West Nile Viruses in the Netherlands, 2016-2022

BackgroundMosquito-borne arboviruses, including Usutu virus (USUV) and West Nile virus (WNV), are emerging threats in Europe, with changes in climate, land use, and increased travel and trade influencing their dynamics. Understanding the emergence and establishment of these viruses in new regions is critical for informing targeted mitigation of drivers of emergence and enhancing public and wildlife health preparedness. MethodsSeven years (2016-2022) of interconnected studies were conducted in the Netherlands. Live birds were sampled by volunteer bird ringers, dead birds were referred for sampling by citizen-scientists and zoological institutions, and mosquitoes were trapped. Samples were tested for USUV and WNV using RT-PCR and screened for Orthoflavivirus antibodies using protein microarray and neutralization assays. Sequencing and phylogenetic analyses were performed. FindingsUSUV was first detected in the Netherlands in 2016, caused large outbreaks in birds until 2018, and resurged in 2022. One dominant, enzootic lineage, co-circulated alongside several limited introductions of a second lineage. A localized WNV lineage 2 outbreak occurred in live birds and mosquitoes in 2020, with another positive bird in 2022 and serological evidence of continued circulation. InterpretationWe provide the first comprehensive, multi-year documentation of two emerging arboviruses in the Netherlands. USUV was enzootically maintained over seven years and was associated with substantial bird mortality. WNV is in an early stage of establishment with no bird mortality observed. Our integrated wildlife sampling was crucial in detecting a human WNV outbreak, bringing this emerging threat to public health attention. FundingZonMw, Dutch Research Council (NWO), European Union, Government of the Netherlands

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2022

Kinship and genetic variation in aquarium-spawned Acropora hyacinthus corals

Recent scientific advances in ex situ system design and operation make it possible to complete gametogenic cycles of broadcast spawning corals. Breeding corals in aquaria are critical advances for population management, particularly genetic rescue and assisted gene flow efforts. Genetic rescue projects for corals are already underway to bring threatened species into ex situ culture and propagation, thereby preserving standing genetic variation. However, while breeding corals is increasingly feasible, the consequences of the aquarium environment on the genetic and phenotypic composition of coral populations is not yet known. The aquarium environment may in itself be a selective pressure on corals, but it also presents relaxed selective pressure in other respects. In 2019 and 2020, gravid Acropora hyacinthus coral colonies were collected from Palauan reefs and shipped to the California Academy of Sciences (CAS) in San Francisco. In both years, gametes were batch-fertilized to produce larvae that were then settled and reared to recruits. As of April 2021, when they were sampled for sequencing, 23 corals produced at CAS in 2019 and 16 corals produced at CAS in 2020 had survived for two years and one year, respectively. We sequenced the full genomes of the 39 offspring corals and their 15 potential parents to a median 26x depth of coverage. We find clear differential parentage, with some parents producing the vast majority of offspring, while the majority of parents produced no surviving offspring. After scanning 12.9 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), we found 887 SNPs that may be under selection in the aquarium environment, and we identified the genes and pathways these SNPs may affect. We present recommendations for preserving standing genetic variation in aquarium-bred corals based on the results of this pilot project.

evolutionary biology↗