Kalafatakis, K. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2026

A mathematical model of the HPA axis demonstrates bifurcations under varying stress and systemic conditions

In this study, we develop a mathematical model of the hypothalamic pituitary adrenal (HPA) axis and systematically investigate the model complexity required to reproduce observed hormone dynamics. The model is fitted to ACTH and cortisol measurements from five healthy volunteers reported in the literature. We show that simultaneous reproduction of both hormone profiles requires a delay differential equation model with at least five state variables among the model architectures considered. Following fitting the volunteer data, we investigate the response of the model to sustained stress using bifurcation analysis. The coupled system exhibits bifurcations over a range of stress intensities. This analysis reveals bifurcations whose critical stress thresholds depend strongly on the modulatory state of the system. These results provide a mathematical framework for investigating transitions between physiological and dysregulated HPA axis dynamics, which may be related to states of health and disease.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2022

Transcriptional and cell type profiles of cortical brain regions showing ultradian cortisol rhythm dependent responses to emotional face stimulation

The characteristic endogenous circadian rhythm of plasma glucocorticoid concentrations is made up from an underlying ultradian pulsatile secretory pattern. Recent evidence has indicated that this ultradian cortisol pulsatility is crucial for normal emotional response in man. In this study, we investigate the anatomical transcriptional and cell type signature of brain regions sensitive to a loss of ultradian rhythmicity in the context of emotional processing. We combine human cell type and transcriptomic atlas data of high spatial resolution with functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data. We show that the loss of cortisol ultradian rhythm alters emotional processing response in cortical brain areas that are characterized by transcriptional and cellular profiles of GABAergic function. We find that two previously identified key components of rapid non-genomic GC signaling - the ANXA1 gene and retrograde endocannabinoid signaling - show top differential expression and the most significant enrichment. Our results further indicate that specific cell types, including a specific NPY-expressing GABAergic neuronal cell type, and specific G protein signaling cascades underly the cerebral effects of a loss of ultradian cortisol rhythm. Our results provide a biological mechanistic underpinning of our fMRI findings, indicating specific cell types and cascades as a target for manipulation in future experimental studies.

neuroscience↗