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Jellesmark, S.

Publications and source records attributed to Jellesmark, S..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A user-friendly guide to using distance measures to compare time series in ecology.

O_LITime series are a critical component of ecological analysis, used to track changes in biotic and abiotic variables. Information can be extracted from the properties of time series for tasks such as classification, clustering, prediction, and anomaly detection. These common tasks in ecological research rely on the notion of (dis-) similarity which can be determined by using distance measures. A plethora of distance measures have been described in the scientific literature, but many of them have not been introduced to ecologists. Furthermore, little is known about how to select appropriate distance measures and the properties they focus on for time-series related tasks. C_LIO_LIHere we describe 16 potentially desirable properties of distance measures, test 42 distance measures for each property, and present an objective method to select appropriate distance measures for any task and ecological dataset. We then demonstrate our selection method by applying it to a set of real-world data on breeding bird populations in the UK. We also discuss ways to overcome some of the difficulties involved in using distance measures to compare time series. C_LIO_LIOur real-world population trends exhibit a common challenge for time series comparison: a high level of stochasticity. We demonstrate two different ways of overcoming this challenge, first by selecting distance measures with properties that make them well-suited to comparing noisy time series, and second by applying a smoothing algorithm before selecting appropriate distance measures. In both cases, the distance measures chosen through our selection method are not only fit-for-purpose but are consistent in their rankings of the population trends. C_LIO_LIThe results of our study should lead to an improved understanding of, and greater scope for, the use of distance measures for comparing time series within ecology, and allow for the answering of new ecological questions. C_LI

ecology↗

Assessing the global impact of targeted conservation actions on species abundance

In recent years, vertebrate population abundance has declined at unprecedented rates (WWF 2020). In response, targeted conservation measures - such as breeding programs or species-specific habitat management - have been applied to halt population declines, aid population recovery, and reduce and reverse the loss of biodiversity (Salafsky et al. 2008; Bolam et al. 2020). Until now, assessments of conservation actions have focused on the extent to which they reduce extinction risk, impact populations within protected areas, or increase the global area of land under protection (Hoffmann et al. 2010, 2015; Barnes et al. 2016; Maxwell et al. 2020; Bolam et al. 2020; Grace et al. 2021a). Here, we record and analyze conservation actions for 26,904 vertebrate populations from 4,629 species, to measure the impact of targeted conservation on vertebrate abundance. Using a counterfactual approach to represent population trends in the absence of conservation, we demonstrate that targeted actions have delivered substantial positive effects on the abundance of recipient vertebrate populations worldwide. We show that, in the absence of conservation, a global indicator of vertebrate abundance would have declined even more. Positive population trends were associated with vertebrate populations subject to species or habitat management. We demonstrate that targeted conservation actions can help to reverse global biodiversity loss and show the value of counterfactual analysis for impact evaluation - an important step towards reversing biodiversity declines.

ecology↗