Planetary-scale marine community modeling predicts metabolic synergy and viral impacts
The oceans buffer against climate change via biogeochemical cycles underpinned by microbial metabolic activities. While planetary-scale surveys provide baseline microbiome data, inferring metabolic and biogeochemical impacts remains challenging. Genome-scale modeling has addressed analogous issues at the cellular level, highlighting key metabolic reactions contingent upon specific environmental conditions. Here we adapt this mechanistic modeling framework towards analyzing global ocean microbial communities to reveal metabolic processes predicted to maintain ecosystem functioning. To achieve this, we developed a genome-scale superorganism metabolic model for each TARA Ocean metagenome or metatranscriptome (i.e., limited to reactions known from heterotrophic prokaryotes and viruses), and evaluated these models to establish a community-wide metabolic phenotype for each sample. To validate, we showed that even with reaction-mappable genes only ([~]1/4 of the total genes), model composition revealed metabolism-inferred ecological zones that matched taxonomy-inferred zones. Model inferred metabolic phenotypes revealed reaction cooperation associated with microbial metabolism and organism diversity. These phenotypes also suggest elevated ecological roles for viruses as model predictions suggest they genomically target community-critical metabolic reactions that underpin metabolic phenotype stability, and also demonstrate that, as metabolites are better understood, immediate estimates could be made for where viruses remineralize versus sink carbon. While this new constraints-based, agile, and mechanistic modeling framework is highly upgradable, it already begins to convert molecular-scale environmental omics data to ecological and even planetary-scale biogeochemical features that will better bring microbes and their viruses into Earth system and climate models.