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Hordijk, I.

Publications and source records attributed to Hordijk, I..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Functional coexistence theory: a mechanistic framework linking biodiversity to ecosystem function

Theory and experiments show that diverse ecosystems often have higher levels of function (for instance, biomass production), yet it remains challenging to identify the biological mechanisms responsible. We synthesize developments in coexistence theory into a general theoretical framework linking community coexistence to ecosystem function. Our framework, which we term functional coexistence theory, identifies three components determining the total function of a community of coexisting species. The first component directly corresponds to the niche differences that enable pairwise species coexistence, and to the complementarity component from the additive partition of biodiversity effects. The second component measures whether higher functioning species also have higher competitive fitness, providing a missing link between the additive partitions selection effect and modern coexistence theorys concept of equalization. The third component is least well-studied: reducing functional imbalances between species increases niche differences positive effect on function. Using a mechanistic model of resource competition, we show that our framework can identify how traits drive the effect of competition on productivity, and confirm our theoretical expectations by fitting this model to data from a classic plant competition experiment. Furthermore, we apply our framework to simulations of communities with multiple ecosystem functions or more than two species, demonstrating that relationships between niche, fitness, and function also predict total function beyond the case studied by classical theory. Taken together, our results highlight fundamental links between species coexistence and its consequences for ecosystem function, providing an avenue towards a predictive theory of community-ecosystem feedbacks.

ecology↗

Cities of the future, visualizing climate change to inspire actions

Combating against climate change requires unified action across all sectors of society. However, this collective action is precluded by the consensus gap between scientific knowledge and public opinion. A growing body of evidence suggests that facts do not persuade people to act. Instead, it is visualization - the ability to simulate relatable scenarios - is the most effective approach for motivating behavior change. Here, we exemplify this approach, using current climate projections to enable people to visualize cities of the future, rather than describing intangible climate variables. Analyzing city pairs for 520 major cities of the world, we characterize which cities will most closely resemble the climate conditions of which other major cities by 2050. On average, most cities will resemble cities that are over 1000km south, and 22% of cities will experience climate conditions that are not currently experienced by any existing major cities. We predict that Londons climate in 2050 will resemble Barcelonas climate today, Madrid will resemble to Marrakesh, Moscow to Sofia, Seattle to San Francisco, Stockholm to Budapest, Tokyo to Changsha, etc. Our approach illustrates how complex climate data can be packaged to provide tangible information. By allowing people to visualize their own climate futures, we hope to empower citizens, policy makers and scientists to visualize expected climate impacts and adapt decision making accordingly.

scientific communication and education↗