Biology subjects

Guerin, J.-L.

Publications and source records attributed to Guerin, J.-L..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2021

Phylodynamic assessment of control measures for highly pathogenic avian influenza epidemics in France

Phylodynamic methods have successfully been used to describe viral spread history but their applications for assessing specific control measures are rare. In 2016-17, France experienced a devastating epidemic of a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (H5N8 clade 2.3.4.4b). Using 196 viral genomes, we conducted a phylodynamic analysis combined with generalised linear model and showed that the large-scale preventive culling of ducks significantly reduced the viral spread between departements (French administrative division). We also found that the virus likely spread more frequently between departements that shared borders, but the spread was not linked to duck transport between departements. Duck transport within departements increased the within-departement transmission intensity, although the association was weak. Together, these results indicated that the virus spread in short-distances, either between adjacent departements or within departements. Results also suggested that the restrictions on duck transport within departements might not have stopped the viral spread completely. Overall, by testing specific hypothesis related to different control measures, we demonstrated that phylodynamics methods are capable of investigating the impacts of control measures on viral spread.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Detection of a novel enterotropic Mycoplasma gallisepticum-like in European Starling (Sturnus vulgaris) around poultry farms in France

Recent outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza in southwest France have raised questions regarding the role of commensal wild birds in the introduction and dissemination of pathogens between poultry farms. To assess possible infectious contacts at the wild-domestic bird interface, the presence of Mycoplasma gallisepticum (MG) was studied in the two sympatric compartments in southwest France. Among various peridomestic wild birds (n=385), standard PCR primers targeting the 16S rRNA of MG showed a high apparent prevalence (up to 45%) in cloacal swabs of European starlings (Sturnus vulgaris, n=108), while the MG-specific mgc2 gene was not detected. No tracheal swab of these birds tested positive, and no clinical sign was observed in positive birds, suggesting commensalism in the digestive tract of starlings. A mycoplasma strain was then isolated from a starling swab and its whole genome was sequenced using both Illumina and Nanopore technologies. Phylogenetic analysis showed that it was closely related to MG and M. tullyi, although it was a distinct species. A pair of specific PCR primers targeting the mgc2-like gene of this MG-like strain was designed and used to screen again the same avian populations and a wintering urban population of starlings (n=50). Previous PCR results obtained in starlings were confirmed to be mostly due to this strain (20/22 positive pools). In contrast, the strain was not detected in fresh faeces of urban starlings. Furthermore, it was detected in one tracheal pool of cattle egrets and one cloacal pool of white wagtails, suggesting infectious transmissions between synanthropic birds with similar feeding behaviour. As the new starling mycoplasma was not detected in free-range ducks (n=80) in close contact with positive starlings, nor in backyard (n=320) and free-range commercial (n=720) chickens of the area, it might not infect poultry. However, it could be involved in mycoplasma gene transfer in such multi-species contexts.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2020

Inferring within-flock transmission dynamics of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N8) in France, 2020

Following the emergence of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N8) in France in early December 2020, we used duck mortality data of the index case to investigate within-flock transmission dynamics. A stochastic epidemic model was adjusted to the daily mortality data and model parameters were estimated using an approximate Bayesian computation sequential Monte Carlo (ABC-SMC) algorithm. Results suggested that the virus was introduced 4 days (95% credible interval: 3 - 5) prior to the day suspicion was reported and that the transmission rate was 3.7 day-1 (95%CI: 2.6 - 5.3). On average, ducks started being infectious 3.1 hours (95%CI: 0.4 - 8.0) after infection and remained infectious for 4.4 days (95%CI: 3.1 - 5.6). Model outputs also suggested that the number of infectious ducks was already 3239 (95%CI: 26 - 3706) the day before suspicion, emphasising the substantial latent threat this virus could pose to other poultry farms and to neighbouring wildlife. These estimations can be applied to upcoming outbreaks and made available to veterinary services within few hours. This study illustrates how mechanistic models can provide rapid relevant insights to contribute to the management of infectious disease outbreaks of farmed animals.

ecology↗