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Biology subjects

Grima, R.

Publications and source records attributed to Grima, R..

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

PRIME: scalable, robust inference of mechanistic cell states from multimodal single-cell counts via probability generating functions

Single-cell multiomic technologies can now quantify complementary RNA species within the same cell, creating an opportunity to move beyond descriptive clustering toward mechanistically interpretable cell states. Yet most current methods depend on heuristic integration steps and become computationally burdensome at scale, limiting their ability to robustly detect subtle kinetic differences across heterogeneous populations. Here we introduce PRIME, a scalable framework for mechanistic cell-state discovery from multimodal single-cell count data. PRIME embeds multimodal measurements in a probability generating function (PGF) space, where transcriptional dynamics are encoded compactly and compared efficiently. This representation enables robust inference of latent kinetic structure and supports rapid cell grouping with a power K-means backbone that remains stable under noise, sparsity, and multimodality. Across synthetic benchmarks and experimental multimodal datasets, PRIME consistently recovers cell populations distinguished by transcriptional kinetics, outperforms conventional integration-and-clustering pipelines in robustness, and yields interpretable parameters that link observed variability to underlying regulatory mechanisms. By providing a mathematically principled yet practical route from multimodal counts to kinetic cell states, PRIME empowers biologists to uncover dynamic transcriptional regimes, dissect regulatory heterogeneity, and connect cell identity to mechanism rather than markers.

systems biology↗

Efficiency, accuracy and robustness of probability generating function based parameter inference method for stochastic biochemical reactions

Biochemical reactions are inherently stochastic, with their kinetics commonly described by chemical master equations (CMEs). However, the discrete nature of molecular states renders likelihood-based parameter inference from CMEs computationally intensive. Here, we introduce an inference method that leverages analytical solutions in the probability generating function (PGF) space and systematically evaluate its efficiency, accuracy, and robustness. Across both steady-state and time-resolved count data, our numerical experiments demonstrate that the PGF-based method consistently outperforms existing approaches in terms of both computational efficiency and inference accuracy, even under data contamination. These favorable properties further enable the extension of the PGF-based framework to model selection--a task typically considered computationally prohibitive. Using timeresolved data, we show that the method can correctly identify complex gene expression models with more than three gene states, a task that cannot be reliably achieved using steady-state data alone.

systems biology↗

DART: Deep learning for the Analysis and Reconstruction of Transcriptional dynamics from live-cell imaging data

Transcriptional bursting, characterized by stochastic switching between promoter states, underlies cell-to-cell variability in gene expression. Accurately inferring promoter activity from live-cell imaging data remains challenging because the fluorescence signal at any given point is influenced by the history of promoter states. Here, we present DART (Deep learning for the Analysis and Reconstruction of Transcriptional dynamics), a deep learning framework that infers promoter onand off-states from fluorescence intensity traces, enabling the estimation of activation and inactivation rates and the selection of the most appropriate promoter-switching model. DART utilizes a neural network architecture that combines convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory layers to binarize fluorescence traces. Using extensive synthetic datasets spanning a wide range of transcriptional bursting levels, we demonstrate that DART outperforms current binarization methods, including conventional and augmented hidden Markov models, in both accuracy and robustness. Furthermore, a reanalysis of published experimental data using DART reveals a strong linear coupling between activation and inactivation rates, contradicting previous claims of independence. Our approach provides a powerful and generalizable tool for quantitative analysis of transcriptional kinetics from live-cell imaging data.

bioinformatics↗

Spectral theory of stochastic gene expression: a Hilbert space framework

A survey of the literature reveals notable discrepancies among the purported exact results for the spectra of stochastic gene expression models. For self-repressing gene circuits, previous studies ([Phys. Rev. Lett. 99, 108103 (2007)], [Phys. Rev. E 83,062902 (2011)], [J. Chem. Phys. 160, 074105 (2024)], and [bioRxiv 2025.02.05.635946 (2025)]) have provided different exact solutions for the eigenvalues of the generator matrix. In this work, we propose a unified Hilbert space framework for the spectral theory of stochastic gene expression. Based on this framework, we analytically derive the spectra for models of constitutive, bursty, and autoregulated gene expression. The eigenvalues and eigenvectors obtained are then used to construct an exact spectral representation of the time-dependent distribution of gene product numbers. The spectral gap between the zero eigenvalue and the first nonzero eigenvalue, which reflects the relaxation rate of the system towards its steady state, is then compared with the prediction of the deterministic model, and we find that deterministic modeling fails to capture the relaxation rate when autoregulation is strong. In particular, our results demonstrate that for infinite-dimensional operators such as in stochastic gene expression models, many conclusions in linear algebra do not apply, and one must rely on the modern theory of functional analysis.

molecular biology↗

Arabidopsis thaliana Phytochrome A Sensory Properties in Canopy Shade

Canopy shade environments can negatively impact plant growth and survival. Phytochrome A (phyA) is essential for seedling adaptation to deep shade, yet its role under moderate natural canopy conditions remains unclear. By expressing a novel phyA-nanoLUC reporter in Arabidopsis thaliana, we quantify diurnal fluctuations in phyA and its induction by low red to far-red (R:FR) ratio, simulating canopy shade. We uncover a new key regulatory function for phyB, which increases phyA stability post-dawn in unshaded conditions and modulates expression of PHYA in low R:FR. Further, we demonstrate that beyond its role as a deep shade sensor, phyA is an adept sensor of canopy shade, capable of detecting a range of R:FR ratios across light intensities. Mathematical modelling demonstrates that this property arises from the dynamic features of the phyA HIR mode of action. Interestingly, phyA synthesis is strongly induced by subtle reductions in R:FR ratio, and is robust to light perturbation, suggesting the phyA-sensory module is configured to detect modest shade. Spectral data from natural shade habitats provides ecological context for our laboratory findings. Physiological analysis indicates that under canopy shade phyA promotes seedling de-etiolation, organises resource management and accelerates reproductive development. We propose that this suite of responses, termed the "canopy adaptation strategy", enhances survival chances under conditions where shade-avoidance strategies are maladaptive.

plant biology↗

From Noise to Models to Numbers: Evaluating Negative Binomial Models and Parameter Estimations in Single-Cell RNA-seq

The Negative Binomial (NB) distribution is widely used to approximate transcript count distributions in single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data, yet the reason for its ubiquity is not fully understood. Here, we employ a computationally efficient model selection technique to map the relationship between the best-fit models - Beta-Poisson (Telegraph), NB, and Poisson - and the kinetic parameters that govern gene expression stochasticity. Our findings reveal that the NB distribution closely approximates simulated data (incorporating both biological and technical noise) within an intermediate range of the sum of the gene activation and inactivation rates normalized by the mRNA degradation rate. This range expands with decreasing mean expression, increasing technical noise, and larger sample sizes. The results imply that: (i) good NB fits occur in diverse parameter regimes without exclusively indicating transcriptional bursting; (ii) for small sample sizes, biological noise predominantly shapes the NB profile even when technical noise is present; (iii) under steady-state conditions, gene-specific parameters (burst size and frequency) estimated in regions where the NB model fits well, typically show large relative errors, even after corrections for technical noise, and (iv) gene ranking by burst frequency remains reliably accurate, suggesting that burst parameters are most informative in a relative sense. Finally, applying technical-noise-corrected model fitting to scRNA-seq data confirms that a substantial fraction of mammalian genes fall within these NB-fitting regimes, despite lacking transcriptional bursting.

systems biology↗

Joint distribution of nuclear and cytoplasmic mRNA levels in stochastic models of gene expression: analytical results and parameter inference

Common stochastic models of gene expression predict the analytical distribution of the total mRNA level per cell but not at subcellular resolution. Here, for a wide class of models of transcription initiation, we obtain an exact steady-state solution for the joint distribution of nuclear and cytoplasmic mRNA levels per cell. Correcting the solution for extrinsic noise and fitting to single human cell data, we precisely quantify the extent of bursty expression in thousands of genes and associate it with their biological functions.

biophysics↗

Holimap: an accurate and efficient method for solving stochastic gene network dynamics

Gene-gene interactions are crucial to the control of sub-cellular processes but our understanding of their stochastic dynamics is hindered by the lack of simulation methods that can accurately and efficiently predict how the distributions of gene product numbers for each gene vary across parameter space. To overcome these difficulties, here we present Holimap (high-order linear-mapping approximation), an approach that approximates the protein or mRNA number distributions of a complex gene regulatory network by the distributions of a much simpler reaction system. We demonstrate Holimaps computational advantages over conventional methods by applying it to predict the stochastic time-dependent dynamics of various gene networks, including transcriptional networks ranging from simple autoregulatory loops to complex randomly connected networks, post-transcriptional networks, and post-translational networks. Holimap is ideally suited to study how the intricate network of gene-gene interactions results in precise coordination and control of gene expression.

systems biology↗

Licensing and competition of stem cells at the niche combine to regulate tissue maintenance

To maintain and regenerate adult tissues after injury, the numbers, proliferation, and differentiation rates of tissue-resident stem cells must be precisely regulated. The regulatory strategies preventing exhaustion or overgrowth of the stem cell pool, whether there is coordination between different mechanisms, and how to detect them from snapshots of the cell populations, remains un-resolved. Recent findings in the Drosophila testes show that prior to differentiation, somatic stem cells transition to a state that licenses them to differentiate upon receiving a commitment signal, but remain capable of fully regaining stem cell function. Here, we build stochastic mathematical models for the somatic stem cell population to investigate how licensing contributes to homeostasis and the variability of stem cell numbers. We find that licensing alone is sufficient regulation to maintain a stable homeostatic state and prevent stem cell extinction. Comparison with previous experimental data argues for the likely presence of regulation through competition for niche access. We show that competition for niche access contributes to the reduction of the variability of stem cell numbers but does not prevent extinction. Our results suggest that a combination of both regulation strategies, licensing and competition for niche access, is needed to reduce variability and prevent extinction simultaneously.

developmental biology↗

Transcriptome-wide analysis of cell cycle-dependent bursty gene expression from single-cell RNA-seq data using mechanistic model-based inference

Bursty gene expression is characterised by two intuitive parameters, burst frequency and burst size, the cell-cycle dependence of which has not been extensively profiled at the transcriptome level. In this study, we estimate the burst parameters per allele in the G1 and G2/M cell-cycle phases for thousands of mouse genes by fitting mechanistic models of gene expression to mRNA count data, obtained by sequencing of single cells whose cell-cycle position has been inferred using a deep-learning method. We find that upon DNA replication, the median burst frequency approximately halves, while the burst size remains mostly unchanged. Genome-wide distributions of the burst parameter ratios between the G2/M and G1 phases are wide, indicating substantial heterogeneity in transcriptional regulation patterns. We also observe a significant negative correlation between the burst frequency and size ratios, suggesting that regulatory processes do not independently control the burst parameters. Finally, we argue that to accurately estimate the burst parameter ratios, mechanistic models must explicitly account for gene copy number variation and extrinsic noise due to the coupling of transcription to cell age within the cell cycle, but corrections for technical noise due to imperfect capture of RNA molecules in sequencing experiments are less critical.

systems biology↗

Transient power-law behaviour following induction distinguishes between competing models of stochastic gene expression

What features of transcription can be learnt by fitting mathematical models of gene expression to mRNA count data? Given a suite of models, fitting to data selects an optimal one, thus identifying a probable transcriptional mechanism. Whilst attractive, the utility of this methodology remains unclear. Here, we sample steady-state, single-cell mRNA count distributions from parameters in the physiological range, and show they cannot be used to confidently estimate the number of inactive gene states, i.e. the number of rate-limiting steps in transcriptional initiation. Distributions from over 99% of the parameter space generated using models with 2, 3, or 4 inactive states can be well fit by one with a single inactive state. However, we show that for many minutes following induction, eukaryotic cells show an increase in the mean mRNA count that obeys a power law whose exponent equals the sum of the number of states visited from the initial inactive to the active state and the number of rate-limiting post-transcriptional processing steps. Our study shows that estimation of the exponent from eukaryotic data can be sufficient to determine a lower bound on the total number of regulatory steps in transcription initiation, splicing, and nuclear export.

systems biology↗

Solving the time-dependent protein distributions for autoregulated bursty gene expression using spectral decomposition. Part I: Conventional models

In this study, we obtain an exact time-dependent solution of the chemical master equation (CME) of an extension of the two-state telegraph model describing bursty or non-bursty protein expression in the presence of positive or negative autoregulation. Using the method of spectral decomposition, we show that the eigenfunctions of the generating function solution of the CME are Heun functions, while the eigenvalues can be determined by solving a continued fraction equation. Our solution generalizes and corrects a previous time-dependent solution for the CME of a gene circuit describing non-bursty protein expression in the presence of negative autoregulation ["Exact time-dependent solutions for a self-regulating gene." Phys. Rev. E 83: 062902 (2011)]. In particular, we clarify that the eigenvalues are generally not real as previously claimed. We also investigate the relationship between different types of dynamic behavior and the type of feedback, the protein burst size, and the gene switching rate.

systems biology↗

Exact solution of a three-stage model of stochastic gene expression model including cell-cycle dynamics

The classical three-stage model of stochastic gene expression predicts the statistics of single cell mRNA and protein number fluctuations as a function of the rates of promoter switching, transcription, translation, degradation and dilution. While this model is easily simulated, its analytical solution remains an unsolved problem. Here we modify this model to explicitly include cell-cycle dynamics and then derive an exact solution for the time-dependent joint distribution of mRNA and protein numbers. We show large differences between this model and the classical model which captures cell-cycle effects implicitly via effective first-order dilution reactions. In particular we find that the Fano factor of protein numbers calculated from a population snapshot measurement are underestimated by the classical model whereas the correlation between mRNA and protein can be either over-or underestimated, depending on the timescales of mRNA degradation and promoter switching relative to the mean cell-cycle duration time.

biophysics↗

The timing of cellular events: a stochastic vs deterministic perspective

Changes in cell state are driven by key molecular events whose timing can often be measured experimentally. Of particular interest is the time taken for the levels of RNA or protein molecules to reach a critical threshold defining the triggering of a cellular event. While this mean trigger time can be estimated by numerical integration of deterministic models, these ignore intrinsic noise and hence their predictions may be inaccurate. Here we study the differences between deterministic and stochastic model predictions for the mean trigger times using simple models of gene expression, post-transcriptional feedback control, and enzyme-mediated catalysis. By comparison of the two predictions, we show that when promoter switching is present there exists a transition from a parameter regime where deterministic models predict a longer trigger time than stochastic models to a regime where the opposite occurs. Furthermore, the ratio of the trigger times of the two models can be large, particularly for auto-regulatory genetic feedback loops. Our theory provides intuitive insight into the origin of these effects and shows that deterministic predictions for cellular event timing can be highly inaccurate when molecule numbers are within the range known for many cells.

systems biology↗

Systematic biases in transcriptional parameters inferred from single-cell snapshot data

The snapshot distribution of mRNA counts per cell can be measured using single molecule FISH or single-cell RNA sequencing. These distributions are often fit to the steady-state distribution of the two-state telegraph model to estimate the three transcriptional parameters for a gene of interest: mRNA synthesis rate, the switching on rate (the on state being the active transcriptional state) and the switching off rate. This model assumes no extrinsic noise, i.e. parameters do not vary between cells, and thus estimated parameters are to be understood as approximating the average values in a population. The accuracy of this approximation is currently unclear. Here we develop a theory that explains the size and sign of estimation bias when inferring parameters from single-cell data using the standard telegraph model. We find specific bias signatures depending on the source of extrinsic noise (which parameter is most variable across cells) and the mode of transcriptional activity. If gene expression is not bursty then the population averages of all three parameters are overestimated if extrinsic noise is in the synthesis rate; underestimation occurs if extrinsic noise is in the switching on rate; both underestimation and overestimation can occur if extrinsic noise is in the switching off rate. We find that some estimated parameters tend to infinity as the size of extrinsic noise approaches a critical threshold. In contrast when gene expression is bursty, we find that in all cases, the mean burst size (ratio of the synthesis rate to the switching off rate) is overestimated while the mean burst frequency (the switching on rate) is underestimated. We estimate the size of extrinsic noise from the covariance matrix of sequencing data and use this together with our theory to correct published estimates of transcriptional parameters for mammalian genes.

systems biology↗

The minimal intrinsic stochasticity of constitutively expressed eukaryotic genes is sub-Poissonian

Stochastic variation in gene products ("noise") is an inescapable by-product of gene expression. Noise must be minimized to allow for the reliable execution of cellular functions. However, noise cannot be suppressed beyond an intrinsic lower limit. For constitutively expressed genes, this limit is believed to be Poissonian, meaning that the variance in mRNA numbers cannot be lower than their mean. Here, we show that several cell division genes in fission yeast have mRNA variances significantly below this limit, which cannot be explained by the classical gene expression model for low-noise genes. Our analysis reveals that multiple steps in both transcription and mRNA degradation are essential to explain this sub-Poissonian variance. The sub-Poissonian regime differs qualitatively from previously characterized noise regimes, a hallmark being that cytoplasmic noise is reduced when the mRNA export rate increases. Our study re-defines the lower limit of eukaryotic gene expression noise and identifies molecular requirements for ultra-low noise which are expected to support essential cell functions.

molecular biology↗

Efficient and scalable prediction of spatio-temporal stochastic gene expression in cells and tissues using graph neural networks

The simulation of spatial stochastic models is highly computationally expensive, an issue that has severely limited our understanding of the spatial nature of gene expression. Here we devise a graph neural network based method to learn, from stochastic trajectories in a small region of space, an effective master equation for the time-dependent marginal probability distributions of mRNA and protein numbers at sub-cellular resolution for every cell in a tissue. Numerical solution of this equation leads to accurate results in a small fraction of the computation time of standard simulation methods. Moreover its predictions can be extrapolated to a spatial organisation (a cell network topology) and regions of parameter space unseen in its neural network training. The scalability and accuracy of the method suggest it is a promising approach for whole cell modelling and for detailed comparisons of stochastic models with spatial genomics data.

systems biology↗

Genome-wide single-molecule analysis of long-read DNA methylation reveals heterogeneous patterns at heterochromatin

High-throughput sequencing technology is central to our current understanding of the human methylome. The vast majority of studies use chemical conversion to analyse bulk-level patterns of DNA methylation across the genome from a population of cells. While this technology has been used to probe single-molecule methylation patterns, such analyses are limited to short reads of a few hundred basepairs. DNA methylation can also be directly detected using Nanopore sequencing which can generate reads measuring megabases in length. However, thus far these analyses have largely focused on bulk-level assessment of DNA methylation. Here, we analyse DNA methylation in single Nanopore reads with a mean length of 24.6kb, to show that bulk-level metrics underestimate large-scale heterogeneity in the methylome. We use the correlation in methylation state between neighbouring sites to quantify single-molecule heterogeneity and find that heterogeneity varies significantly across the human genome, with some regions having heterogeneous methylation patterns at the single-molecule level and others possessing more homogeneous methylation patterns. By comparing the genomic distribution of the correlation to epigenomic annotations, we find that the greatest heterogeneity in single-molecule patterns is observed within heterochromatic partially methylated domains (PMDs). In contrast, reads originating from euchromatic regions and gene bodies have more ordered DNA methylation patterns. By analysing the patterns of single molecules in more detail, we show the existence of a 185bp periodicity in DNA methylation that accounts for some of the heterogeneity we uncover in long single-molecule DNA methylation patterns. We find that this periodic structure is partially masked in bulk data in a manner that is consistent with imperfect phasing of nucleosomes between molecules. Our findings demonstrate the power of single-molecule analysis of long-read data to understand the structure of the human methylome.

bioinformatics↗