Gillespie, T. W. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2025

Species distribution modeling for conservation science: new predictor layers, reproducible code, and an evaluation of California protected areas

AimOur study provides foundational resources for future SDMing: methods for generating fine-scale, equal-area predictor datasets and best-practice SDM guidelines. We also provide reproducible code to streamline their implementation. LocationSouthwestern North America MethodsUsing over 215,000 research-grade iNaturalist occurrence records for 127 species of conservation concern or scientific interest in California and surrounding area, we quantified and compared SDM performance between two predictor datasets that differ in their source of bioclimatic data, spatial resolution, and coordinate reference system: one generated using ClimateNA software (resolution = 300 x 300 m; NAD83/California Albers) and the other using existing WorldClim data (varying resolution = [~]669-797 x 926 m; WGS84). We also compared two modeling algorithms (MaxEnt vs Random Forests), and two background point selection strategies (random points vs weighted points accounting for sampling effort). As an example application, we used SDM predictions to evaluate the conservation value of different protected area types within California. ResultsClimateNA outperformed WorldClim for 94% of species, Random Forests outperformed MaxEnt for 87%, and random background points outperformed weighted background points for 100%. All differences were statistically significant. Together, the ClimateNA dataset, Random Forests, and random background points achieved highest performance for 86% of species. Using this best-performing set of models, we found that regional parks, county parks, state beaches, and open spaces in California were highest in multi-species suitability, while larger protected areas, such as national parks and national forests, generally exhibited surprisingly low suitability. Substantial spatial biases intrinsic to SDMing with unprojected predictor datasets (e.g., WGS84) are described, along with clear solutions using equal-area predictor datasets. Main conclusionsConsiderable disparity was observed among the performance of common SDM methods. This study highlights the importance of fine-scale, equal-area predictor datasets and best-practice guidelines, and demonstrates how SDMs can provide critical insights into protected area planning.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

From local spectral species to global spectral communities: a benchmark for ecosystem diversity estimate by remote sensing

In the light of unprecedented change in global biodiversity, real-time and accurate ecosystem and biodiversity assessments are becoming increasingly essential. Nevertheless, estimation of biodiversity using ecological field data can be difficult for several reasons. For instance, for very large areas, it is challenging to collect data that provide reliable information. Some of these restrictions in Earth observation can be avoided through the use of remote sensing approaches. Various studies have estimated biodiversity on the basis of the Spectral Variation Hypothesis (SVH). According to this hypothesis, spectral heterogeneity over the different pixel units of a spatial grid reflects a higher niche heterogeneity, allowing more organisms to coexist. Recently, the spectral species concept has been derived, following the consideration that spectral heterogeneity at a landscape scale corresponds to a combination of subspaces sharing a similar spectral signature. With the use of high resolution remote sensing data, on a local scale, these subspaces can be identified as separate spectral entities, the so called "spectral species". Our approach extends this concept over wide spatial extents and to a higher level of biological organization. We applied this method to MODIS imagery data across Europe. Obviously, in this case, a spectral species identified by MODIS is not associated to a single plant species in the field but rather to a species assemblage, habitat, or ecosystem. Based on such spectral information, we propose a straightforward method to derive - (local relative abundance and richness of spectral species) and {beta}-diversity (turnover of spectral species) maps over wide geographical areas.

ecology↗