Biology subjects

Gabbutt, C.

Publications and source records attributed to Gabbutt, C..

8 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Fluctuating DNA methylation sites encode colorectal tumour growth history

Determining the nature of human tumour growth is challenging given the impracticality of obtaining detailed data across time. A promising solution is to examine DNA regions whose methylation states fluctuate on clinically relevant timescales, permitting their use as high-resolution lineage tracers. However, existing methods developed for analysing the fluctuating methylation loci of normal tissue and lymphoid cancers are inapplicable to large solid tumours. Here we introduce a mechanistic computational model that tracks the evolution of heritable methylation marks as a tumour grows from a single gland to a mass of many cubic centimetres, and a coupled ABC-SMC inference workflow to estimate tumour growth parameters from multi-region bulk methylation arrays. We applied this framework to data from multiple regions of 10 resected colorectal tumours, including 3 adenomas and 7 carcinomas of diverse sizes and clinical stages. By exploring alternative models, we show that intratumour diversity, in terms of methylation errors, stems more from tumour growth via gland fission than from cell turnover within glands. Moreover, the extent of intratumour diversity varies widely between patients, mainly because of eight-fold variation in gland fission rates but also due to differences in methylation and demethylation rates. Inter-gland divergence patterns are consistent with neutral evolution of colorectal tumours and a cancer stem cell fraction of approximately 1%. As well as helping to resolve the nature of colorectal cancer growth and evolution, our results provide proof of principle for a method that may be adapted to infer the biological parameters of other types of solid tumour. Author summaryEstimating how fast, for how long, and in what way a tumour has been growing inside someones body is challenging. We sought a solution by looking at chemical marks on DNA that are imperfectly copied every time a cell divides. We built a computer model to track how the patterns of marks diverge among the cells of a colorectal tumour as it grows. By running many simulations and comparing the outcomes to data from 10 human tumours, we were able to reconstruct how each of them had grown. We found that growth rate varies widely and is not linked to the size of the tumour when it is removed. The rates at which the DNA marks change also vary but to a lesser degree. Our approach provides a new, inexpensive way to reconstruct tumour growth histories from tissue samples collected during routine surgery, without having to take multiple measurements over time. This approach could be applied to other human cancer types.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2026

PHYFUM: Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Normal and Pre-malignant Tissue Evolution Using Fluctuating Methylation

We present PHYFUM, a novel Bayesian phylogenetic method for methylation data that reconstructs the evolutionary history of stem cells and the glandular structures they reside within in normal tissue. Using simulations, we validated this phylogenetic method and confirmed its accuracy. A re-analysis of 22 patients unveiled early gland divergence in the human gut, in contrast to a much later common ancestor in the endometrium, and yielded strong evidence against gland division by segregation of individual stem cells.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2025

Recovery of human upper airway epithelium after smoking cessation is driven by a slow-cycling stem cell population and immune surveillance

The upper airway epithelium in humans is maintained in homeostasis by a resident population of basal stem cells. In the presence of tobacco smoke these gain mutations that significantly increase their risk of transformation to lung squamous cell carcinoma. Previous studies show that a small proportion of stem cells avoid the mutational damage caused by carcinogens in tobacco and are more abundant in the lungs of former smokers than ongoing smokers, indicating unexplained tissue-level genomic recovery. This mirrors epidemiological risk, which falls rapidly after quitting smoking. Somatic evolutionary mechanistic hypotheses have been proposed to explain these observations. Here, we present a computational framework to model each of these hypotheses within the upper airway epithelial stem cell population over the entire patient lifetimes of a cohort with diverse smoking histories. Applying a mechanistic learning approach based on a set of biologically informed metrics to single cell-derived whole-genome sequencing data, we identified subtle differences between epithelia modelled under different combinations of hypotheses. A slow-cycling subpopulation of stem cells, combined with suppression of immune predation of highly mutated stem cells while smoking, best matched observed data, a result converged upon by multiple distinct machine learning methodologies. Our findings, drawing on an evolutionary model of mutagen exposure at a whole-lifetime scale that is not feasible to model in vivo, reveal the mechanisms behind reduction in lung squamous cell carcinoma risk on cessation of smoking and inform future therapeutic interventions to prevent lung cancer initiation.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2025

Methylation dynamics in the decades preceding acute myeloid leukaemia

DNA methylation is emerging as a highly sensitive and specific marker of cancer initiation and progression. How these cancer-specific methylation changes are established in the decades before cancer, however, remains largely unknown. Here, we use a unique collection of longitudinal blood samples collected annually up to 15 years prior to a diagnosis of acute myeloid leukaemia to sensitively track the dynamics of DNA methylation changes at high temporal resolution. We identify thousands of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) that exhibit altered patterns of methylation up to 10 years before acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) diagnosis. Most of these DMRs are strongly associated with expanding clones carrying somatic driver mutations. We identify a subset of epigenetic driver DMRs characterised by recurrent CpG alterations that are highly shared across pre-AML cases. These are likely to reflect early epigenetic reprogramming associated with AML development. We also reveal large numbers of stochastic passenger CpGs whose differential methylation results from hitch-hiking with clonal expansions driven by somatically acquired genetic events. These passenger CpGs can be exploited for lineage tracing to discover clonal expansions driven by missing driver mutations. Our findings show widespread changes in methylation patterns during the early stages of cancer development which could be utilised for risk prediction and therapeutic intervention.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2025

Quantitative measurement of phenotype dynamics during cancer drug resistance evolution using genetic barcoding

Cancer treatment frequently fails due to the evolution of drug-resistant cell phenotypes driven by genetic or non-genetic changes. The origin, timing, and rate of spread of these adaptations are critical for understanding drug resistance mechanisms but remain challenging to observe directly. We present a mathematical framework to infer drug resistance dynamics from genetic lineage tracing and population size data without direct measurement of resistance phenotypes. Simulation experiments demonstrate that the framework accurately recovers ground-truth evolutionary dynamics. Experimental evolution to 5-Fu chemotherapy in colorectal cancer cell lines SW620 and HCT116 validates the framework. In SW620 cells, a stable pre-existing resistant subpopulation was inferred, whereas in HCT116 cells, resistance emerged through phenotypic switching into a slow-growing resistant state with stochastic progression to full resistance. Functional assays, including scRNA-seq and scDNA-seq, validate these distinct evolutionary routes. This framework facilitates rapid characterisation of resistance mechanisms across diverse experimental settings.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Phenotypic plasticity and genetic control in colorectal cancer evolution

Cancer evolution is driven by natural selection acting upon phenotypic trait variation. However, the extent to which phenotypic variation within a tumour is a consequence of intra-tumour genetic heterogeneity remains undetermined. Here we show that colorectal cancer cells frequently have highly plastic phenotypic traits in vivo in patient tumours. We measured the degree to which trait variation reflects genetic ancestry by quantifying the phylogenetic signal of gene expression across 297 samples with multi-region paired whole genome and transcriptome sequencing collected from 27 primary colorectal cancers. Within-tumour phylogenetic signal for genes and pathways was detected only infrequently, suggesting that the majority of intra-tumour variation in gene expression programmes was not strongly heritable. Expression quantitative trait loci analyses (eQTL) identified a small number of putative mechanisms of genetic control of gene expression due to the cis-acting coding, non-coding and structural genetic alteration, but most gene expression variation was not explained by our genetic analysis. Leveraging matched chromatin-accessibility sequencing data, enhancer mutations with cis regulatory effects on gene expression were associated with a change in chromatin accessibility, indicating that non-coding variation can have phenotypic consequence through modulation of the 3D architecture of the genome. This study maps the evolution of transcriptional variation during cancer evolution, highlighting that intra-tumour phenotypic plasticity is pervasive in colorectal malignancies, and may play key roles in further tumour evolution, from metastasis to therapy resistance.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Assessment of the evolutionary consequence of putative driver mutations in colorectal cancer with spatial multiomic data

Cancer genomic medicine relies on targeting driver genes. However, current catalogues of cancer drivers are mostly based on indirect measurements of mutation frequencies, positions or types, rather than their effect on clonal expansions in vivo. Moreover, non-genetic drivers are largely unknown, as are the epigenetic and transcriptomic effects of genetic drivers. Here we perform spatial computational inference on multiomic data with matched whole-genome sequencing, ATAC-seq and RNA-seq. Using 436 samples, we directly quantify the contribution, or lack thereof, of putative driver genes to subclonal expansions in vivo in 30 colorectal carcinomas (4-33 samples per patient, median=15). Although subclonal neutral evolution was widespread (13/26 cases with sufficient data), there were cases with clear evidence of subclonal selection (6/26) in which we measured epigenetic and transcriptomic differences between subclones in vivo. In 7/26 cases we could not distinguish between neutral or selective evolution with the available data. We identified expanding subclones that were not driven by known genetic alterations, and propose candidate epigenetic drivers. We identified the distinguishing patterns of genomic heterogeneity produced in fast, exponentially growing tumours (7/26) versus neoplasms growing only at the periphery (19/26), as well as identifying clonally intermixed (16/28 cases with sufficient data) versus segregated malignancies (10/28). Our model-based approach measures genetic and non-genetic subclonal selection, or lack thereof, in space and time and allows in vivo comparisons of the emergent phenotypic properties of subclones within human tumours.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Reconstruction of Contemporary Human Stem Cell Dynamics with Oscillatory Molecular Clocks

Molecular clocks record cellular ancestry. However, currently used clocks tick too slowly to measure the short-timescale dynamics of cellular renewal in adult tissues. Here we develop rapidly oscillating DNA methylation clocks where ongoing (de)methylation causes the clock to tick-tock back-and-forth between methylated and unmethylated states like a pendulum. We identify oscillators using standard methylation arrays and develop a mathematical modelling framework to quantitatively measure human adult stem cell dynamics from these data. Small intestinal crypts were inferred to contain slightly more stem cells than colon (6.5 {+/-} 1.0 vs 5.8 {+/-} 1.7 stem cells/crypt) with slower stem cell replacement in small intestine (0.79 {+/-} 0.5 vs 1.1 {+/-} 0.8 replacements/stem cell/year). Germline APC mutation increased the number of replacements per crypt (13.0 {+/-} 2.4 replacements/crypt/year vs 6.9 {+/-} 4.6 for healthy colon). In blood, we measure rapid expansion of acute leukaemia and slower growth of chronic disease. Rapidly oscillating molecular clocks are a new methodology to quantitatively measure human somatic cell dynamics.

bioinformatics↗