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Fortin, M.-J.

Publications and source records attributed to Fortin, M.-J..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Revealing biases in the sampling of ecological interaction networks

The structure of ecological interactions is commonly understood through analyses of interaction networks. However, these analyses may be sensitive to sampling biases in both the interactors (the nodes of the network) and interactions (the links between nodes), because the detectability of species and their interactions is highly heterogeneous. These issues may affect the accuracy of empirically constructed ecological networks. Yet statistical biases introduced by sampling error are difficult to quantify in the absence of full knowledge of the underlying ecological networks structure. To explore properties of large-scale modular networks, we developed EcoNetGen, which constructs and samples networks with predetermined topologies. These networks may represent a wide variety of communities that vary in size and types of ecological interactions. We sampled these networks with different sampling designs that may be employed in field observations. The observed networks generated by each sampling process were then analyzed with respect to the number of components, size of components and other network metrics. We show that the sampling effort needed to estimate underlying network properties accurately depends both on the sampling design and on the underlying network topology. In particular, networks with random or scale-free modules require more complete sampling to reveal their structure, compared to networks whose modules are nested or bipartite. Overall, the modules with nested structure were the easiest to detect, regardless of sampling design. Sampling according to species degree (number of interactions) was consistently found to be the most accurate strategy to estimate network structure. Conversely, sampling according to module (representing different interaction types or taxa) results in a rather complete view of certain modules, but fails to provide a complete picture of the underlying network. We recommend that these findings be incorporated into field sampling design of projects aiming to characterize large species interactions networks to reduce sampling biases.\n\nAuthor SummaryEcological interactions are commonly modeled as interaction networks. Analyses of such networks may be sensitive to sampling biases and detection issues in both the interactors and interactions (nodes and links). Yet, statistical biases introduced by sampling error are difficult to quantify in the absence of full knowledge of the underlying networks structure. For insight into ecological networks, we developed software EcoNetGen (available in R and Python). These allow the generation and sampling of several types of large-scale modular networks with predetermined topologies, representing a wide variety of communities and types of ecological interactions. Networks can be sampled according to designs employed in field observations. We demonstrate, through first uses of this software, that underlying network topology interacts strongly with empirical sampling design, and that constructing empirical networks by starting with highly connected species may be the give the best representation of the underlying network.

ecology

Integrating Over Uncertainty In Spatial Scale Of Response Within Multispecies Occupancy Models Yields More Accurate Assessments Of Community Composition

O_LISpecies abundance and community composition are affected not only by the local environment, but also by broader landscape and regional context. Yet determining the spatial scale at which landscapes affect species remains a persistent challenge that hinders ecologists abilities to understand how environmental gradients influence species presence and shape entire communities, especially in the face of data deficient species and imperfect species detection.\nC_LIO_LIHere we present a Bayesian framework that allows uncertainty surrounding the true spatial scale of species responses (i.e., changes in presence/absence) to be integrated directly into a community hierarchical model.\nC_LIO_LIThis scale selecting multi-species occupancy model (ssMSOM) estimates the scale of response, and shows high accuracy and correct type I error rates across a broad range of simulation conditions. In contrast, ensembles of single species GLMs frequently fail to detect the correct spatial scale of response, and are often falsely confident in favoring the incorrect spatial scale, especially as species detection probabilities deviate from perfect.\nC_LIO_LIIntegrating spatial scale selection directly into hierarchical community models provides a means of formally testing hypotheses regarding spatial scales of response, and more accurately determining the environmental drivers that shape communities.\nC_LI

ecology

Analyzing ecological networks of species interactions

Networks provide one of the best representations for ecological communities, composed of many species with sometimes complex connections between them. Yet the methodological literature allowing one to analyze and extract meaning from ecological networks is dense, fragmented, and unwelcoming. We provide a general overview to the field of using networks in community ecology, outlining both the intent of the different measures, their assumptions, and the contexts in which they can be used. When methodologically justified, we suggest good practices to use in the analysis of ecological networks. We anchor this synopsis with examples from empirical studies, and conclude by highlighting what identified as needed future developments in the field.

ecology

Geographical restructuring of Arabidopsis thaliana’s genetic makeup in the Iberian Peninsula due to climate change based on genetic cluster membership

AimTo assess the effects of climate change on genetic lineages of Arabidopsis thaliana at the admixed population level by directly modelling genetic cluster membership values to predict potential genetic cluster memberships across the Iberian Peninsula.\n\nLocationIberian Peninsula\n\nMethodsWe used a dataset of 274 accessions structured in four genetic clusters as inferred from 250 nuclear single-nucleotide polymorphisms with Bayesian clustering methods. We predicted the change in percentages of genetic cluster membership at a population level and the changes in potential suitability across the study area by combining parametric (Beta regression) and non-parametric (Recursive trees) methods.\n\nResultsClimate change will affect genetic lineages of Arabidopsis thaliana differently. Genetic clusters GC1 and GC2 will suffer a substantive reduction of their respective suitable areas while GC3 and GC4 will expand northward. At the population level, except for GC4, the rest of the lineages will undergo a genetic turnover for many of their populations.\n\nMain conclusionsA. thaliana in the Iberian Peninsula will undergo a major internal genetic restructuring and range change due to climate change. Genetic lineages of Arabidopsis thaliana in the Iberian Peninsula will be affected differently which reinforce the need for taking into account intraspecific genetic variation when modelling species distribution. Despite limited predictive power of individual statistical models, the combination of distinct models can compensate this shortcoming.

ecology