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Ebitz, B. R.

Publications and source records attributed to Ebitz, B. R..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A Foraging-Theory Based Model Captures The Full Spectrum of Human Behavioral Diversity in a Classic RL Task

Decision-making tasks involving multiple, simultaneously presented options are mainstays of cognitive neuroscience and psychology and are increasingly important to the emerging field of computational psychiatry. Modeling approaches to these tasks overwhelmingly assume that participants make choices based on explicitly comparing the values of the presented options. Contrary to this long-held assumption, we found instead that humans employ a compare-to-threshold decision process, similar to theories of foraging, when making sequential decisions about concurrently available options. We confirmed this result in a large (1000 participant) dataset with multiple converging lines of evidence comparing both model fits and model generative performance. Value-comparison models were restricted to a reduced area of the potential space of single-trial outcome-dependent behavior, demonstrating an intrinsic limitation in the ability to reproduce strategy diversity. Furthermore, we found that using even the best-fit value-comparison model led to a substantial, systematic bias and a compression of individual differences in reconstructed behavior compared to the foraging-based model, leading to weaker predictions of behavioral health measures. Our results imply that studies using value-comparison models to link behavior with neural activity or psychiatric symptoms may be less sensitive to individual differences than a simple alternative based on ethological foraging.

neuroscience↗

Nonlinear modulation of human exploration by distinct sources of uncertainty

Decision-making in uncertain environments requires balancing exploration and exploitation, with exploration typically assumed to increase monotonically with uncertainty. Challenging this prevailing assumption, we demonstrate a more complex relationship by decomposing environmental uncertainty into volatility (systematic change in reward contingencies, learnable) and stochasticity (random noise in observations, unlearnable). Across two behavioral experiments (N=1001, N=747) using a probabilistic reward task, we find a robust U-shaped relationship between the volatility-to-stochasticity (v/s) ratio and exploratory behavior, with participants exploring more when either stochasticity or volatility dominates. Remarkably, this pattern extends to real-world financial behavior, as demonstrated through analysis of five years of S&P 500 stock market data, where portfolio diversity (a proxy for exploration) shows the same U-shaped relationship with market volatility (systematic price movements driven by fundamental factors, e.g., economic shifts) relative to trading noise (random fluctuations from trading activity unrelated to fundamentals). These findings reveal how humans adaptively modulate exploration strategies based on the qualitative composition of uncertainty, with optimal performance occurring at intermediate uncertainty ratios. This nonlinear relationship has important implications for understanding decision-making across domains where uncertainty arises from multiple sources.

neuroscience↗