Biology subjects

Dunning, J.

Publications and source records attributed to Dunning, J..

8 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

HPAI virus transmission is shaped by inter-specific social network structure

The emergence of zoonotic and epizootic diseases has had devastating consequences for human and animal health, including wildlife conservation. Yet, surveillance of multi-host disease systems is particularly challenging due to complex transmission pathways across many species. Social network analysis has been applied to simple transmission systems, but empirical applications to wild, multi-species systems are scarce. Here, we combined high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) viral genomes, a zoonotic virus of pandemic potential, with a large citizen-science database of wild bird co-occurrence to test how multi-species social network structure predicts transmission dynamics. We linked viral genetic distance, 20,103 pairwise comparisons between 214 unique genomes from 172 dyads of 20 host species, to co-occurrence network metrics for those species. Both relative species association and raw co-occurrence frequency predicted lower maximum viral genetic divergence, more similar viruses between more associated species, beyond what would be expected through random mixing and independently of sequencing effort. Time and space between samples were also strong predictors of genetic similarity. Our results suggest that network models can be used to detect pathogen transmission through communities of wild birds, offering real prospects for wildlife disease surveillance and prediction.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Indirect genetic effects improve female extra-pair heritability estimates.

The question of why females engage in extra-pair behaviours is long-standing in evolutionary biology. One suggestion is that these behaviors are maintained through pleiotropic effects on male extra-pair behaviors and lifetime reproductive success (genes controlling extra-pair behaviours are shared between sexes, but only beneficial to one, in this case, males). However, for this to occur extra-pair behaviour must be heritable and positively genetically correlated between sexes. Although previous studies have suggested low heritability with no evidence for between-sex genetic correlations in extra-pair behaviours, indirect genetic effects (those derived from the behaviour of others, IGEs) from the social partner, the influence of the social partners genotype on the phenotype of an individual, have not been considered, despite the potential to uncover hidden heritability. Using data from a closed house sparrow population with a genetic pedigree spanning two decades, we tested the influence of IGEs on heritability and genetic correlation estimates of extra-pair behaviour. We found that the inclusion of IGEs improved model fit for both male and female extra-pair heritability. While IGEs did not change between-sex genetic correlations, we found a reduction in uncertainty in our estimates. Future studies should consider the effect of IGEs on the mechanisms of sex specific extra-pair behaviour.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2022

How woodcocks produce the most brilliant white plumage patches among the birds

Until recently, and when compared with diurnal birds that use contrasting plumage patches and complex feather structures to convey visual information, communication in nocturnal species was considered to follow acoustic and chemical channels. However, many nocturnal birds have evolved intensely white plumage patches within otherwise inconspicuous plumages. We used spectrophotometry, electron microscopy, and optical modelling to explain the mechanisms producing bright white tail feather tips of the Eurasian woodcock Scolopax rusticola. Their diffuse reflectance was [~]30% higher than any previously measured feather. This intense reflectance is the result of incoherent light scattering from a disordered nanostructure composed of keratin and air within the barb rami. In addition, the flattening, thickening, and arrangement of those barbs creates a Venetian-blind-like macrostructure that enhances the surface area for light reflection. We suggest that the woodcocks have evolved these bright white feather patches for long-range visual communication in dimly lit environments.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Increased opposite sex association is linked with fitness benefits, otherwise sociality is subject to stabilising selection in a wild passerine

Animal sociality, an individuals propensity to associate with others, has fitness consequences through mate choice, for example, directly, by increasing the pool of prospective partners, and indirectly through increased survival, and individuals benefit from both. Annually, fitness consequences are realised through increased mating success and subsequent fecundity. However, it remains unknown whether these consequences translate to life-time fitness. Here, we quantified social associations and their link to fitness annually and over lifetime, using a multi-generational, genetic pedigree. We used social network analysis to calculate variables representing different aspects of an individuals sociality. Sociality showed high within-individual repeatability. We found that birds with more opposite-sex associates had higher annual fitness than those with fewer, but this did not translate to lifetime fitness. Instead, for lifetime fitness, we found evidence for stabilizing selection on opposite-sex sociality, and sociality in general, suggesting that reported benefits are only short-lived in a wild population, and that selection favours an average sociality.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Age-specific survival in an English Twite population.

Like many bird species associated with agricultural habitats in the UK, the Twite Linaria flavirostris has undergone severe declines over recent decades due to habitat degradation, with populations in England, Wales and Ireland now restricted to a few small pockets. However, the demographic drivers of these declines are still largely unresolved. We estimated the survival of Twite from a small population at the southernmost edge of the English range in Derbyshire using capture-mark-recapture data from 2016-2019. Annual apparent survival for juveniles (0.14-0.34) was lower than for adults (0.29-0.56) and less than that of other Cardueline finches. Our results suggest that low juvenile survival may be one demographic driver underpinning the recent decline of the Derbyshire Twite population, although we also cannot rule out the possibility that differences in emigration of juveniles and adults from the population also contribute to the observed age-specific apparent survival rates.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

What is the best fitness measure in wild populations? A case study on the power of short-term fitness proxies to predict reproductive value

Fitness is at the core of evolutionary theory, but it is difficult to measure accurately. One way to measure long-term fitness is by calculating the individuals reproductive value, which represents the expected number of allele copies an individual passes on to distant future generations. However, this metric of fitness is scarcely used because the estimation of individuals reproductive value requires long-term pedigree data, which is rarely available in wild populations where following individuals from birth to death is often impossible. Wild study systems therefore use short-term fitness metrics as proxies, such as the number of offspring produced. This study obtained three frequently used short-term proxies for fitness obtained at different offspring life stages (eggs, hatchlings, fledglings and recruits), and compared their ability to predict reproductive values derived from the genetic pedigree of a wild passerine bird population. We used twenty years of precise field observations and a near-complete genetic pedigree to calculate reproductive success, individual growth rate and de-lifed fitness as lifetime fitness measures, and as annual de-lifed fitness. We compared the power of these metrics to predict reproductive values and lineage survival to the end of the study period. The three short-term fitness proxies predict the reproductive values and lineage survival only when measured at the recruit stage. There were no significant differences between the different fitness proxies at the same offspring stages in predicting the reproductive values and lineage survival. Annual fitness at one year old predicted reproductive values equally well as lifetime de-lifed fitness. However, none of the short-term fitness proxies was strongly associated with the reproductive values. In summary, the commonly short-term fitness proxies capture long-term fitness with intermediate accuracy at best, if measured at recruitment stage. As lifetime fitness measured at recruit stage and annual fitness in the first year of life were the best proxies of long-term fitness, we encourage their future use.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

A Comparison of Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 Variants on Stainless Steel

The survival of newer variants of SARS-CoV-2 on a representative surface has been compared to the established UK circulating isolate to determine whether enhanced environmental stability could play a part in their increased transmissibility. Stainless-steel coupons were inoculated with liquid cultures of the three variants, with coupons recovered over seven days and processed for recoverable viable virus using plaque assay. After drying, there was no significant difference in inactivation rates between variants. Indicating there is no increased environmental persistence from the new variants.

microbiology↗

bioRxiv2021

Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 virus and viral RNA on hydrophobic and hydrophilic surfaces and investigating contamination concentration

The transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is likely to occur through a number of routes, including contact with contaminated surfaces. Many studies have used RT-PCR analysis to detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA on surfaces but seldom has viable virus been detected. This paper investigates the viability over time of SARS-CoV-2 dried onto a range of materials and compares viability of the virus to RNA copies recovered, and whether virus viability is concentration dependant. Viable virus persisted for the longest time on surgical mask material and stainless steel with a 99.9% reduction in viability by 124 and 113 hours respectively. Viability of SARS-CoV-2 reduced the fastest on a polyester shirt, with a 99.9% reduction within 2.5 hours. Viability on cotton was reduced second fastest, with 99.9% reduction in 72 hours. RNA on all the surfaces exhibited a one log reduction in genome copy recovery over 21 days. The findings show that SARS-CoV-2 is most stable on non-porous hydrophobic surfaces. RNA is highly stable when dried on surfaces with only one log reduction in recovery over three weeks. In comparison, SARS-CoV-2 viability reduced more rapidly, but this loss in viability was found to be independent of starting concentration. Expected levels of SARS-CoV-2 viable environmental surface contamination would lead to undetectable levels within two days. Therefore, when RNA is detected on surfaces it does not directly indicate presence of viable virus even at high CT values. ImportanceThis study shows the impact of material type on the viability of SARS-CoV-2 on surfaces. It demonstrates that the decay rate of viable SARS-CoV-2 is independent of starting concentration. However, RNA shows high stability on surfaces over extended periods. This has implications for interpretation of surface sampling results using RT-PCR to determine the possibility of viable virus from a surface. Unless sampled immediately after contamination it is difficult to align RNA copy numbers to quantity of viable virus on a surface.

microbiology↗