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Dolan, C. V.

Publications and source records attributed to Dolan, C. V..

7 recordsLinked to original sources

MR-DoC2: bidirectional causal modeling with instrumental variables and data from relatives

Establishing causality is an essential step towards developing interventions for psychiatric disorders, substance use and many other conditions. While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for causal inference, they are unethical in many scenarios. Mendelian randomization (MR) can be used in such cases, but importantly both RCTs and MR assume unidirectional causality. In this paper, we developed a new model, MRDoC2, that can be used to identify bidirectional causation in the presence of confounding due to both familial and non- familial sources. Our model extends the MRDoC model (Minic[a] et al 2018), by simultaneously including risk scores for each trait. Furthermore, the power to detect causal effects in MRDoC2 does not require the phenotypes to have different additive genetic or shared environmental sources of variance, as is the case in the direction of causation twin model (Heath et al., 1993).

genetics↗

Multilevel Twin Models: Geographical Region as a Third Level Variable

The classical twin model can be reparametrized as an equivalent multilevel model. The multilevel parameterization has underexplored advantages, such as the possibility to include higher-level clustering variables in which lower levels are nested. When this higher-level clustering is not modeled, its variance is captured by the common environmental variance component. In this paper we illustrate the application of a 3-level multilevel model to twin data by analyzing the regional clustering of 7-year-old childrens height in the Netherlands. Our findings show that 1.8%, of the phenotypic variance in childrens height is attributable to regional clustering, which is 7% of the variance explained by between-family or common environmental components. Since regional clustering may represent ancestry, we also investigate the effect of region after correcting for genetic principal components, in a subsample of participants with genome-wide SNP data. After correction, region did no longer explain variation in height. Our results suggest that the phenotypic variance explained by region actually represent ancestry effects on height.

genetics↗

The power to detect cultural transmission in the Nuclear Twin Family design with and without polygenic risk scores and in the Transmitted-Non-transmitted (alleles) design

The aim of our study is to compare the power of two different approaches to detect passive genotype-environment covariance originating from simultaneous cultural and genetic transmission. In the traditional Nuclear Twin Family Design cultural transmission is estimated on the basis of the phenotypic covariance matrices of the mono- and dizygotic twins and their parents, where phenotyping is required in all family members. A more recent method is the Transmitted-Nontransmitted allele design, which exploits measured genetic variants in parents and offspring to test for effects of nontransmitted alleles from parents. This design requires genome-wide data and a powerful GWA (genome-wide association) study for the phenotype in addition to phenotyping in offspring. We compared the power of both designs. Using exact data simulation, we demonstrate that compared to the Transmitted-Nontransmitted design, the Nuclear Twin Family Design is relatively well-powered to detect cultural transmission and genotype-environment covariance. The power of the Transmitted-Nontransmitted design depends on the predictive power of polygenic risk scores. Adding polygenic risk scores of realistic effect size to the Nuclear Twin Family Design did not result in an appreciable increase the power to detect cultural transmission.

genetics↗

Incorporating polygenic scores in the twin model to estimate genotype-environment covariance: exploration of statistical power

The assumption in the twin model that genotypic and environmental variables are uncorrelated is primarily made to ensure parameter identification, not because researchers necessarily think that these variables are uncorrelated. Although the biasing effects of such correlations are well understood, it would be useful to be able to estimate these parameters in the twin model. Here we consider the possibility of relaxing this assumption by adding polygenic score to the (univariate) twin model. We demonstrated numerically and analytically this extension renders the additive genetic (A) - unshared environmental correlation (E) and the additive genetic (A) - shared environmental (C) correlations simultaneously identified. We studied the statistical power to detect A-C and A-E correlations in the ACE model, and to detect A-E correlation in the AE model. The results showed that the power to detect these covariance terms, given 1000 MZ and 1000 DZ twin pairs (=0.05), depends greatly on the parameter settings of the model. We show fixing the estimated percentage of variance in the outcome trait that is due to the polygenic scores greatly increases statistical power.

genetics↗

Intergenerational transmission of education and ADHD: Effects of parental genotypes

It is challenging to study whether children resemble their parents due to nature, nurture, or a mixture of both. Here we used a novel design that employs the fact that parents transmit 50% of their alleles to their offspring. The combined effect of these transmitted and non-transmitted alleles on a trait are summarized in a polygenic score (PGS). The non-transmitted PGS can only affect offspring through the environment, via genetically influenced behaviours in the parents, called genetic nurturing. For genotyped mother-father-offspring trios (1,120-2,518 per analysis) we calculated transmitted and non-transmitted PGSs for adult educational attainment (EA) and childhood ADHD and tested if these predicted outcomes in offspring. In adults, both transmitted (R2 = 7.6%) and non-transmitted (R2 = 1.7%) EA PGSs predicted offspring EA, evidencing genetic nurturing. In children around age 12, academic achievement was predicted only by transmitted EA PGSs (R2 = 5.7%), but we did not find genetic nurturing (R2 [~] 0.1%). The ADHD PGSs did not significantly predict academic achievement (R2 [~] 0.6%). ADHD symptoms in children were predicted by transmitted EA PGSs and ADHD PGSs (R2 = 1-2%). Based on these results, we conclude that previously reported associations between parent characteristics and offspring outcomes seem to be mainly a marker of genetic effects shared by parents and children.

genomics↗

The more the merrier? Multivariate approaches to genome-wide association analysis

The vast majority of genome-wide association (GWA) studies analyze a single trait while large-scale multivariate data sets are available. As complex traits are highly polygenic, and pleiotropy seems ubiquitous, it is essential to determine when multivariate association tests (MATs) outperform univariate approaches in terms of power. We discuss the statistical background of 19 MATs and give an overview of their statistical properties. We address the Type I error rates of these MATs and demonstrate which factors can cause bias. Finally, we examine, compare, and discuss the power of these MATs, varying the number of traits, the correlational pattern between the traits, the number of affected traits, and the sign of the genetic effects. Our results demonstrate under which circumstances specific MATs perform most optimal. Through sharing of flexible simulation scripts, we facilitate a standard framework for comparing Type I error rate and power of new MATs to that of existing ones.

genetics↗

Extending Causality Tests With Genetic Instruments: An Integration Of Mendelian Randomization And The Classical Twin Design

Mendelian Randomization (MR) is an important approach to modelling causality in non-experimental settings. MR uses genetic instruments to test causal relationships between exposures and outcomes of interest. Individual genetic variants have small effects, and so, when used as instruments, render MR liable to weak instrument bias. Polygenic scores have the advantage of larger effects, but may be characterized by direct pleiotropy, which violates a central assumption of MR.\n\nWe developed the MR-DoC twin model by integrating MR with the Direction of Causation twin model. This model allows us to test pleiotropy directly. We considered the issue of parameter identification, and given identification, we conducted extensive power calculations. MR-DoC allows one to test causal hypotheses and to obtain unbiased estimates of the causal effect given pleiotropic instruments (polygenic scores), while controlling for genetic and environmental influences common to the outcome and exposure. Furthermore, MR-DoC in twins has appreciably greater statistical power than a standard MR analysis applied to singletons, if the unshared environmental effects on the exposure and the outcome are uncorrelated. Generally, power increases with: 1) decreasing residual exposure-outcome correlation, and 2) decreasing heritability of the exposure variable.\n\nMR-DoC allows one to employ strong instrumental variables (polygenic scores, possibly pleiotropic), guarding against weak instrument bias and increasing the power to detect causal effects. Our approach will enhance and extend MRs range of applications, and increase the value of the large cohorts collected at twin registries as they correctly detect causation and estimate effect sizes even in the presence of pleiotropy.

genetics↗