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Danneyrolles, V.

Publications and source records attributed to Danneyrolles, V..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The 2023 wildfire season in Quebec: an overview of extreme conditions, impacts, lessons learned and considerations for the future.

The 2023 wildfire season in Quebec set records due to extreme warm and dry conditions, burning 4.5 million hectares and indicating persistent and escalating impacts associated with climate change. The study reviews the unusual weather conditions that led to the fires, discussing their extensive impacts on the forest sector, fire management, boreal caribou habitats, and particularly the profound effects on First Nation communities. The wildfires led to significant declines in forest productivity and timber supply, overwhelming fire management resources, and necessitating widespread evacuations. First Nation territories were dramatically altered, facing severe air quality issues and disruptions. While caribou impacts were modest across the province, the broader ecological, economical, and social repercussions were considerable. To mitigate future extreme wildfire seasons, the study suggests changes in forest management practices to increase forest resilience and resistance, adapting industrial structures to new timber supplies, and enhancing fire suppression and risk management strategies. It calls for a comprehensive, unified approach to risk management that incorporates the lessons from the 2023 fire season and accounts for ongoing climate change. The study underscores the urgent need for detailed planning and proactive measures to reduce the growing risks and impacts of wildfires in a changing climate.

ecology↗

Positive effects of projected climate change on post-disturbance forest regrowth rates in northeastern North American boreal forests

Forest anthropogenic and natural stand-replacing disturbances are increasing worldwide due to global change. Many uncertainties regarding the regeneration and growth of these young forests remain within the context of changing climate. In this study, we investigate the effects of climate, tree species composition, and other landscape-scale environmental variables upon boreal forest regrowth following clearcut logging in eastern Canada. Our main objective was to predict the effects of future climate changes upon post-logging forest height regrowth at a subcontinental scale using high spatial resolution remote sensing data. We modeled forest canopy height (estimated from airborne laser scanning [LiDAR] data over 20-m resolution virtual plots) as a function of time elapsed since the last clearcut along with climatic (i.e., temperature and moisture), tree species composition, and other environmental variables (e.g., topography and soil hydrology). Once trained and validated with [~]240,000 plots, the model that was developed in this study was used to predict potential post-logging canopy height regrowth at 20-m resolution across a 240,000 km2 area following scenarios depicting a range of projected changes in temperature and moisture across the region for 2041-2070. Our results predict an overall beneficial, but limited effect of projected climate changes upon forest regrowth rates in our study area. Stimulatory effects of projected climate change were more pronounced for conifer forests, with growth rates increasing between +5% and +50% over the study area, while mixed and broadleaved forests recorded changes that mostly ranged from -5% to +35%. Predicted increased regrowth rates were mainly associated with increased temperature, while changes in climate moisture had a minor effect. We conclude that such gains in regrowth rates may partially compensate for projected substantial increases in fire activity and other natural disturbances that are expected with climate change in these boreal forests.

ecology↗

Modeling post-logging height growth of black spruce forests by combining airborne LiDAR and historical forestry maps in eastern Canadian boreal forest

Increase in forest disturbance due to land use as well as climate change has led to an expansion of young forests worldwide, which affects global carbon dynamics and forest management. In this study, we present a novel method that combines a single airborne LiDAR acquisition and historical harvesting maps to model height growth of post-logged black spruce-dominated forests in a 1700 km2 eastern Canadian boreal landscape. We developed a random forest model where forest height is a function of stand age, combined with environmental variables. Our results highlight the strong predictive power of this model: least-square regression between predicted and observed height of our validation dataset was very close to the 1:1 relation and strongly supported by validation metrics (R2 = 0.75; relative RMSE = 19%). Moreover, our findings indicated an ecological gradient responsible for differences in height growth at the landscape scale, with better growth rates on mesic slopes compared to badly drained soils on flat lands. With the increased availability of LiDAR data, this method is promising since it can be applied to forests across the globe that are affected by stand-replacing disturbances.

ecology↗