Dagan, R. | bioRxiv Science

bioRxiv2018

Decline in pneumococcal disease in unimmunized adults is associated with vaccine-associated protection against colonization in toddlers and preschool-aged children

Vaccinating children with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines disrupts transmission, reducing disease rates in unvaccinated adults. When considering changes in vaccination strategies (e.g., removing doses), it is critical to understand which groups of children contribute most to transmission. We used data from Israel to evaluate how the build-up of vaccine-associated immunity in children was associated with declines in IPD due to vaccine-targeted serotypes in unimmunized adults. Data on vaccine uptake and prevalence of colonization with PCV-targeted serotypes were obtained from a unique study conducted among children visiting an emergency department in southern Israel and from surveys of colonization from central Israel. Data on invasive pneumococcal disease in adults were obtained from a nationwide surveillance study. We compared the trajectory of decline of IPD due to PCV-targeted serotypes in adults with the trajectory of decline of colonization prevalence and trajectory of increase in vaccine-derived protection against pneumococcal carriage among different age groupings of children. The declines in IPD in adults were most closely associated with the declines in colonization and increased vaccination coverage in children in the range of 36-59 months of age. This suggests that preschool-aged children, rather than infants, are responsible for maintaining the indirect benefits of PCVs.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2017

Pneumococcal phenotype and interaction with nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae as determinants of otitis media progression

BackgroundAll-cause otitis media (OM) incidence has declined in numerous settings following introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) despite increases in carriage of non-vaccine pneumococcal serotypes escaping immune pressure. To understand the basis for declining incidence, we assessed the intrinsic capacity of pneumococcal serotypes to cause OM independently and in polymicrobial infections involving nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi) using samples obtained from middle ear fluid and nasopharyngeal cultures before PCV7/13 rollout.\n\nMethodsData included OM episodes (11,811) submitted for cultures during a 10-year prospective study in southern Israel and nasopharyngeal samples (1588) from unvaccinated asymptomatic children in the same population. We compared pneumococcal serotype diversity across carriage and disease isolates with and without NTHi co-isolation. We also measured associations between pneumococcal phenotype and rate of progression from colonization to OM in the presence and absence of NTHi.\n\nResultsWhereas pneumococcal serotype diversity in single-species OM is lower than in single-species colonization, serotype diversity does not differ significantly between colonization and OM in mixed-species episodes. Serotypes differed roughly 100-fold in progression rates, and these differences were attenuated in polymicrobial episodes. Vaccine-serotype pneumococci had higher rates of progression than non-vaccine serotypes. While serotype invasiveness was a weak predictor of OM progression rate, efficient capsular metabolic properties--traditionally thought to serve as an advantage in colonization--predicted an enhanced rate of progression to complex OM.\n\nConclusionsThe lower capacity of non-vaccine serotypes to cause OM may partially account for reductions in all-cause OM incidence despite serotype replacement in carriage following rollout of PCVs.

epidemiology↗