bioRxiv2017
The potential for genome-wide modeling of epistasis has recently surfaced given the possibility of sequencing densely sampled populations and the emerging families of statistical interaction models. Direct coupling analysis (DCA) has earlier been shown to yield valuable predictions for single protein structures, and has recently been extended to genome-wide analysis of bacteria, identifying novel interactions in the co-evolution between resistance, virulence and core genome elements. However, earlier computational DCA methods have not been scalable to enable model fitting simultaneously to 104-105 polymorphisms, representing the amount of core genomic variation observed in analyses of many bacterial species. Here we introduce a novel inference method (SuperDCA) which employs a new scoring principle, efficient parallelization, optimization and filtering on phylogenetic information to achieve scalability for up to 105 polymorphisms. Using two large population samples of Streptococcus pneumoniae, we demonstrate the ability of SuperDCA to make additional significant biological findings about this major human pathogen. We also show that our method can uncover signals of selection that are not detectable by genome-wide association analysis, even though our analysis does not require phenotypic measurements. SuperDCA thus holds considerable potential in building understanding about numerous organisms at a systems biological level.\n\nAuthor SummaryRecent work has demonstrated the emerging potential in statistical genome-wide modeling to uncover co-selection and epistatic interactions between polymorphisms in bacterial chromosomes from densely sampled population data. Here we develop the Potts model based approach further into a fully mature computational method which can be applied to most existing bacterial population genomic data sets in a straightforward manner. Our advances are relying on more efficient parameter scoring, highly optimized and parallelized open source C++ code, which does not rely on the computation-intensive polymorphism subsampling approximations used earlier. By analyzing the two largest available population samples of Streptococcus pneumoniae (the pneumococcus), we highlight several biological discoveries related to the survival of the pneumococcus and co-evolution of penicillin-binding loci, which were not uncovered by the earlier analyses. Our method holds considerable potential for building understanding about numerous organisms at a systems biological level.