Biology subjects

Cerny, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Cerny, D..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2024

Bayesian Least-Squares Supertrees (BLeSS): flexible inference of large time-calibrated phylogenies

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWTime-calibrated phylogenies are key to macroevolutionary hypothesis testing and parameter inference, but their estimation is difficult when the number of tips is large. Despite its attractive properties, the joint Bayesian inference of topology and divergence times remains computationally prohibitive for large supermatrices. Historically, supertrees represented a popular alternative to supermatrix-based phylogenetic methods, but most of the existing supertree techniques do not accommodate branch lengths or topological uncertainty, rendering them unfit to supply input for modern comparative methods. Here, we present Bayesian Least-Squares Supertrees (BLeSS), a new approach that takes a profile of time trees with partially overlapping leaf sets as its input, and returns the joint posterior distribution of supertree topologies and divergence times as its output. Building upon the earlier exponential error model and average consensus techniques, BLeSS transforms the profile into path-length distance matrices, computes their arithmetic average, and uses MCMC to sample time-calibrated supertrees according to their least-squares fit to the average distance matrix. We provide a fast, flexible, and validated implementation of BLeSS in the program RevBayes, and test its performance using a comprehensive set of simulations. We show that the method performs well across a wide range of conditions, including variation in missing data treatment and the steepness of the error function. Finally, we apply BLeSS to an empirical dataset comprising 33 time trees for 260 species of carnivorans, illustrating its ability to recover well-supported clades and plausible node ages, and discuss how the method can best be used in practice, outlining possible extensions and performance boosts.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2023

Statistical evaluation of character support reveals the instability of higher-level dinosaur phylogeny

The interrelationships of the three major dinosaur clades (Theropoda, Sauropodomorpha, and Ornithischia) have come under increased scrutiny following the recovery of conflicting phylogenies by a large new character matrix and its extensively modified revision. Here, we use tools derived from recent phylogenomic studies to investigate the strength and causes of this conflict. Using both the original and rescored dataset, we examine the global support for alternative hypotheses as well as the distribution of phylogenetic signal among individual characters. We find the three possible ways of resolving the relationships among the main dinosaur lineages (Saurischia, Ornithischiformes, and Ornithoscelida) to be statistically indistinguishable and supported by nearly equal numbers of characters in both matrices. While the changes made to the revised matrix increased the mean phylogenetic signal of individual characters, this amplified rather than reduced their conflict, resulting in greater sensitivity to character removal or coding changes and little overall improvement in the ability to discriminate between alternative topologies. We conclude that early dinosaur relationships are unlikely to be resolved without fundamental changes to both the quality of available datasets and the techniques used to analyze them.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Comprehensive taxon sampling and vetted fossils help clarify the time tree of shorebirds (Aves, Charadriiformes)

Shorebirds (Charadriiformes) are a globally distributed clade of modern birds and, due to their ecological and morphological disparity, a frequent subject of comparative studies. While molecular phylogenies have been instrumental to resolving the suprafamilial backbone of the charadriiform tree, several higher-level relationships, including the monophyly of plovers (Charadriidae) and the phylogenetic positions of several monotypic families, have remained unclear. The timescale of shorebird evolution also remains uncertain as a result of extensive disagreements among the published divergence dating studies, stemming largely from different choices of fossil calibrations. Here, we present the most comprehensive non-supertree phylogeny of shorebirds to date, based on a total-evidence dataset comprising 336 ingroup taxa (89% of all extant species), 24 loci (15 mitochondrial and 9 nuclear), and 69 morphological characters. Using this phylogeny, we clarify the charadriiform evolutionary timeline by conducting a node-dating analysis based on a subset of 8 loci tested to be clock-like and 16 carefully selected, updated, and vetted fossil calibrations. Our concatenated, species-tree, and total-evidence analyses consistently support plover monophyly and are generally congruent with the topologies of previous studies, suggesting that the higher-level relationships among shorebirds are largely settled. However, several localized conflicts highlight areas of persistent uncertainty within the gulls (Laridae), true auks (Alcinae), and sandpipers (Scolopacidae). At shallower levels, our phylogenies reveal instances of genus-level nonmonophyly that suggest changes to currently accepted taxonomies. Our node-dating analyses consistently support a mid-Paleocene origin for the Charadriiformes and an early diversification for most major subclades. However, age estimates for more recent divergences vary between different relaxed clock models, and we demonstrate that this variation can affect phylogeny-based macroevolutionary studies. Our findings demonstrate the impact of fossil calibration choice on the resulting divergence time estimates, and the sensitivity of diversification rate analyses to the modeling assumptions made in time tree inference.

evolutionary biology↗