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Britten, G.

Publications and source records attributed to Britten, G..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

SwimmingIndividuals: A High-Performance Agent-Based Model for Marine Ecosystems

Mechanistic models are essential for projecting ecosystem responses to novel conditions, yet the application and biological realism of agent-based models (ABMs) has often been limited by computational constraints. This paper introduces SwimmingIndividuals, an open-source agent-based model (ABM) framework that advances our ability to simulate complex biological processes at large ecological scales. The softwares main contribution is its suite of mechanistic sub-models that govern the full life cycle of each agent, including physics-based visual predation, adaptive behaviors such as diel vertical migration, and a flexible bioenergetics engine with multiple taxa-specific equations. These detailed biological processes are made computationally tractable for large populations through a hybrid CPU/GPU architecture written in the Julia language. We demonstrate the frameworks capabilities through three targeted simulations. The model successfully reproduced complex ecological phenomena as emergent properties, including diel vertical migration, cetacean diving patterns, size-based trophic dynamics, population-level growth curves, and stock-recruitment relationships. Furthermore, long-term simulations generated realistic population dynamics and quantified the impacts of different fishery harvest control rules. By coupling high-resolution biological realism with technical scalability, SwimmingIndividuals provides a powerful and flexible tool for a wide range of ecological inquiries. It can be used to conduct in-silico experiments into the ecosystem-scale impacts of environmental disturbances, test fundamental ecological theory, and evaluate the efficacy of complex, ecosystem-based management strategies. This framework advances our ability to build a more mechanistic understanding of marine ecosystem resilience in a changing world. Author SummaryTo understand and predict how marine ecosystems function, we need to account for the decisions and life histories of the individual animals within them. We have developed a new open-source software tool, SwimmingIndividuals, that acts as a "virtual laboratory" for marine ecology and fisheries science. This software allows us to create large, realistic simulations with millions of virtual organisms, from multiple taxa and species, each with its own unique set of biological traits. These modeled animals make decisions based on their internal state (e.g., hunger) and their perception of the surrounding environment, such as light and temperature. By simulating these individual actions at scale, our software allows us to see emergent, complex, ecosystem-level patterns, like population dynamics and food web structure. SwimmingIndividuals provides the scientific community with a powerful tool to investigate fundamental biological questions, explore "what-if" scenarios for fisheries management, and forecast how marine life might respond to future environmental changes.

ecology↗

Identification and performance of environmentally-driven recruitment relationships in state space assessment models

Environmentally-driven recruitment relationships are important for understanding fisheries responses to climate change; however they are difficult to estimate due in part to large variability in the recruitment process. State space models provide a promising way forward in allowing the characterization of multiple sources of stochastic variability. Here we conducted a large simulation-estimation study using environmentally-driven recruitment relationships to evaluate the effects of operating model characteristics on state space assessment model performance. We generally find low parameter and assessment bias across operating and estimating model combinations; however, some assessment and parameter bias is present under conditions of high recruitment variability and low spawning stock biomass contrast. Model identifiability for the correct functional form of the stock recruit relationship and the environmental relationship was generally poor, and projections were insensitive to assumed values of the environmental driver. We recommend the use of random effects on recruitment in state space assessments and caution against explicit stock-recruitment relationships. We encourage future work on environmental nonstationarity, which will be of increasing importance as exploited fish stocks experience accelerating rates of environmental change.

ecology↗

Evaluating the relationships between the legal and illegal international wildlife trades

The international legal trade in wildlife can provide economic and other benefits, but when unsustainable can be a driver of population declines. This impact is enhanced by the additional burden of illegal trade. We combined law-enforcement time-series of seizures of wildlife goods imported into the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) with data on reported legal trade to evaluate the evidence for any relationships. Our analysis examined 28 (US) and 20 (EU) taxon-products with high volume and frequency of reported trade and seizures. On average, seizures added 28% and 9% to US and EU reported legal trade levels respectively, and in several cases exceeded legal imports. We detected a significant but weak overall positive relationship between seizure volumes and reported trade imported to the US over time, but none in the EU. Our findings suggest a complex and nuanced temporal association between the illegal and legal wildlife trades.

ecology↗