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Breiding, P.

Publications and source records attributed to Breiding, P..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Emergent feasibility in random ecological systems with higher-order interactions

A recurring lesson from random ecological models is that coexistence is hard to come by: in the Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model with pairwise interactions, the probability that randomly sampled parameters admit a positive (feasible) equilibrium - a necessary condition for coexistence - is exactly 1/2n in n species, vanishing rapidly with diversity. This rarity is often read as evidence that coexistence demands specific ecological mechanisms. Real interactions, however, are rarely strictly pairwise: any nonlinear dependence of one species growth rate on anothers abundance, Taylor-expanded, generates higher-order interactions (HOIs) of increasing degree. Treating the interaction order d as a knob that indexes this nonlinearity, we map the random GLV with HOIs onto the Kostlan-Shub-Smale class of random polynomial systems and approximate the probability of feasibility (Pf ) analytically. We find a phase transition at d = 4: below this threshold, Pf decays with diversity as in the pairwise case; above it, the exponential proliferation of equilibria outpaces the probability that any given equilibrium is feasible, and the probability of feasibility increases with n, approaching one. The transition appears to be universal across symmetric coefficient distributions, but vanishes when sign symmetry of the parameter distribution is broken. This work uncovers a route by which feasibility emerges from nonlinearity alone, with no fine-tuning of parameters and no appeal to specific ecological mechanisms.

ecology↗

Tipping points are typical in ecosystems with higher-order interactions

Whether species-rich communities erode gradually or collapse abruptly under environmental change is a central question in ecology [1]. Classical pairwise theory predicts that coexistence is always lost gradually, through smooth declines to extinction [2], yet real ecological interactions are often strongly state-dependent - shaped by nonlinearities that fixed pairwise coefficients cannot capture [3]. Here we show that higher-order (nonlinear) interactions make abrupt, irreversible loss of coexistence a typical route to community collapse: across diverse random communities, the equilibrium supporting coexistence disappears suddenly at a fold bifurcation. Using polynomial homotopy continuation [4] to track equilibria as environmental conditions change, we find that folds progressively dominate the boundary of the coexistence domain as nonlinearity strengthens, replacing the gradual extinctions of pairwise theory. Furthermore, the sign structure of higher-order interactions controls both the onset of tipping-points and whether biodiversity buffers or amplifies collapse. Because higher-order and nonlinear interactions are intimately linked, tipping points also arise generically in pairwise models with strong nonlinearity. Applying our continuation framework to a canonical model of plant-pollinator collapse [5], we formally resolve its bifurcation structure as fold-mediated, and we show that fold bifurcations are typical across published multispecies models spanning mutualistic, competitive, and consumer-resource interactions. These results challenge the expectation that monitoring abundances suffices to anticipate collapse, and unify structural-stability theory, which delineates the safe operating space for coexistence, with critical transition theory, which characterizes the nature of its boundaries.

ecology↗