Biology subjects

Barker, B. S.

Publications and source records attributed to Barker, B. S..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2020

DDRP: real-time phenology and climatic suitability modeling of invasive insects

Rapidly detecting and responding to new invasive species and the spread of those that are already established is essential for reducing their potential threat to food production, the economy, and the environment. We describe a new multi-species spatial modeling platform that integrates mapping of phenology and climatic suitability in real-time to provide timely and comprehensive guidance for stakeholders needing to know both where and when invasive insect species could potentially invade the conterminous United States. The Degree-Days, Risk, and Phenological event mapping (DDRP) platform serves as an open-source and relatively easy-to-parameterize decision support tool to help detect new invasive threats, schedule monitoring and management actions, optimize biological control, and predict potential impacts on agricultural production. DDRP uses a process-based modeling approach in which degree-days and temperature stress are calculated daily and accumulate over time to model phenology and climatic suitability, respectively. Products include predictions of the number of completed generations, life stages present, dates of phenological events, and climatically suitable areas based on two levels of climate stress. Species parameter values can be derived from laboratory and field studies, and from published and newly fitted CLIMEX models. DDRP is written entirely in R, making it flexible and extensible, and capitalizes on multiple R packages to generate gridded and graphical outputs. We illustrate the DDRP modeling platform and the process of model parameterization using two invasive insect species as example threats to United States agriculture: the light brown apple moth, Epiphyas postvittana, and the small tomato borer, Neoleucinodes elegantalis. We then discuss example applications of DDRP as a decision support tool, review its potential limitations and sources of model error, and outline some ideas for future improvements to the platform.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Expansion history and environmental suitability shape effective population size in a plant invasion

The margins of an expanding range are predicted to be challenging environments for adaptation. Marginal populations should often experience low effective population sizes (Ne) where genetic drift is high due to demographic expansion and/or census population size is low due to unfavorable environmental conditions. Nevertheless, invasive species demonstrate increasing evidence of rapid evolution and potential adaptation to novel environments encountered during colonization, calling into question whether significant reductions in Ne are realized during range expansions in nature. Here we report one of the first empirical tests of the joint effects of expansion dynamics and environment on effective population size variation during invasive range expansion. We estimate contemporary values of Ne using rates of linkage disequilibrium among genome-wide markers within introduced populations of the highly invasive plant Centaurea solstitialis (yellow starthistle) in North America (California, USA), as well as in native European populations. As predicted, we find that Ne within the invasion is positively correlated with both expansion history (time since founding) and habitat quality (abiotic climate). History and environment had independent additive effects with similar effect sizes, supporting an important role of both factors in this invasion. These results support theoretical expectations for the population genetics of range expansion, though whether these processes can ultimately arrest the spread of an invasive species remains an open question.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2017

The Prevalence And Benefits Of Admixture During Species Invasions: A Role For Epistasis?

Species introductions often bring together genetically divergent source populations, resulting in genetic admixture. This geographic reshuffling of diversity has the potential to generate favorable new genetic combinations, facilitating the establishment and invasive spread of introduced populations. Observational support for the superior performance of admixed introductions has been mixed, however, and the broad importance of admixture to invasion questioned. Under most underlying mechanisms, admixtures benefits should be expected to increasewith greater divergence among and lower genetic diversity within source populations. We use a literature survey to quantify the prevalence of admixture and evaluate whether it occurrs under circumstances predicted to be mostbeneficial to introduced species. We find that 39% of species are reported to be admixed when introduced. Admixed introductions come from sources with a wide range of genetic variation, but are disproportionately absent where there is high genetic divergence among native populations. We discuss multiple potential explanations for these patterns, but note that negative epistatic interactions should be expected at high divergence amongpopulations (outbreeding depression). As a case study, we experimentally cross source populations differing in divergence in the invasive plant Centaurea solstitialis. We find many positive (heterotic) interactions, but fitness benefits decline and are ultimately negative at high source divergence, with patterns suggestingcyto-nuclear epistasis. We conclude that admixture is common in species introductions and often happens under conditions expected to be beneficial to invaders, but that these conditions may be constrained by predictable negativegenetic interactions, potentially explaining conflicting evidence for admixture's benefits to invasion.

evolutionary biology↗