bioRxiv Science⌕ Search

Biology subjects

Bar-Zeev, N.

Publications and source records attributed to Bar-Zeev, N..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Evaluation of pneumococcal serotyping in nasopharyngeal carriage isolates by latex agglutination, whole genome sequencing (PneumoCaT) and DNA microarray in a high pneumococcal carriage prevalence population in Malawi

BackgroundAccurate assessment of the serotype distribution associated with pneumococcal colonization and disease is essential for the evaluation and formulation of pneumococcal vaccines and informing vaccine policy. MethodsWe evaluated pneumococcal serotyping concordance between latex agglutination, PneumoCaT by whole genome sequencing (WGS) and DNA microarray using samples from community carriage surveillance in Blantyre, Malawi. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected, following WHO recommendations, between 2015 and 2017, using stratified random sampling among study populations. Participants included healthy children 3-6 years old (PCV13 vaccinated as part of EPI), healthy children 5-10 years (age-ineligible for PCV13), and HIV-infected adults (18-40yrs) on ART. For phenotypic serotyping we used a 13-valent latex kit (SSI, Denmark). For genomic serotyping we applied PneumoCaT pipeline to whole genome sequence libraries. For molecular serotyping by microarray we used the BUGS Bioscience DNA microarray. Results1347 samples were analysed. Concordance was 90.7% (95% CI: 89.0-92.2) between latex and PneumoCaT; 95.2% (93.9-96.3) between latex and microarray; and 96.6% (95.5-97.5) between microarray and PneumoCaT. By detecting carried vaccine serotype (VT) pneumococcus in low relative abundance (median 8%), microarray increased VT detection by 31.5% compared to latex serotyping. ConclusionAll three serotyping methods were highly concordant in identifying dominant serotypes. Latex serotyping is accurate in identifying vaccine-serotypes and requires the least expertise and resources for field-implementation and analysis. However, WGS, which adds population structure, and microarray, which adds multiple-serotype carriage, should be considered at regional reference laboratories while investigating the importance of VT in low relative abundance in transmission and disease.

microbiology↗

Determinants of high residual post-PCV13 pneumococcal vaccine type carriage in Blantyre, Malawi: a modelling study.

BackgroundIn November 2011, Malawi introduced the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) into the routine infant schedule. Four to seven years after introduction (2015-2018), rolling prospective nasopharyngeal carriage surveys were performed in the city of Blantyre. Carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae vaccine serotypes (VT) remained higher than reported in developed countries, and VT impact was surprisingly asymmetric across age-groups. A dynamic transmission model was fit to survey data using a Bayesian Markov-chain Monte Carlo approach, to obtain insights into the determinants of post-PCV13 age-specific VT carriage.\n\nResultsAccumulation of naturally acquired immunity with age and age-specific transmission potential were both key to reproducing the observed data. VT carriage reduction peaked sequentially over time, earlier in younger and later in older age-groups. Estimated vaccine efficacy (protection against carriage) was 66.87% (95% CI 50.49-82.26%), similar to previous estimates. Ten-year projected vaccine impact (VT carriage reduction) among 0-9 years old was lower than observed in other settings, at 76.23% (CI 95% 68.02-81.96%), with sensitivity analyses demonstrating this to be mainly driven by a high local force of infection.\n\nConclusionsWe have identified both vaccine-related and host-related determinants of post-PCV13 pneumococcal VT transmission in Blantyre with vaccine impact determined by age-related characteristics of the local force of infection. These findings are likely to be generalisable to other Sub-Saharan African countries in which PCV impact has been lower than desired, and have implications for the interpretation of post-PCV carriage studies and future vaccination programs.

epidemiology↗

High residual prevalence of vaccine serotype Streptococcus pneumoniae carriage 4 to 6 years after introduction of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Malawi: a prospective serial cross-sectional study

BackgroundThere are concerns that pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) in sub-Saharan Africa sub-optimally interrupt vaccine-serotype (VT) carriage and transmission, thus limiting vaccine-induced direct and indirect protection. We assessed carriage in vaccinated children and unvaccinated populations targeted for indirect protection, between 4 and 7 years after Malawis November 2011 introduction of PCV13 using a 3+0 schedule.\n\nMethodsWe conducted sequential prospective nasopharyngeal carriage surveys between 2015 and 2018 among healthy PCV-vaccinated and PCV-unvaccinated children, and HIV-infected adults. VT and NVT carriage risk by age was analysed by non-linear regression.\n\nResultsAmong PCV-vaccinated children, there was a 24% relative reduction in carriage, from a mean 21.1% to 16.1%; 45% reduction among older PCV-unvaccinated children, from 27.5% to 15.2%; 41.4% reduction among adults, from 15.2% to 8.9%. Using carriage data from children 3.6 to 10 years of age, VT carriage probability declined with age, with a similar prevalence half-life among PCV-vaccinated (3.34 years) and PCV-unvaccinated (3.26 years) children.\n\nConclusionCompared to high-income settings, the 3+0 schedule in Malawi has led to a sub-optimal reduction in pneumococcal carriage prevalence. This is likely due to recolonisation of vaccinated children with waning vaccine-induced immunity, resulting in insufficient indirect protection of unvaccinated populations. Rigorous evaluation of strategies to augment vaccine-induced control of carriage, including alternative schedules and catch-up campaigns is required.

epidemiology↗

Heterogeneous susceptibility to rotavirus infection and gastroenteritis in two birth cohort studies: parameter estimation and epidemiological implications

Variation in susceptibility is a known contributor to bias in studies estimating immune protection acquired from vaccination or natural infection. However, difficulty measuring this heterogeneity hinders assessment of its influence on estimates. Cohort studies, randomized trials, and post-licensure studies have reported reduced natural and vaccine-derived protection against rotavirus gastroenteritis in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We sought to understand differences in susceptibility among children enrolled in two birth-cohort studies of rotavirus in LMICs, and to explore the implications for estimation of immune protection. We re-analyzed data from studies conducted in Mexico City, Mexico and Vellore, India. Cumulatively, 573 unvaccinated children experienced 1418 rotavirus infections and 371 episodes of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) over 17,636 child-months. We developed a model characterizing susceptibility to rotavirus infection and RVGE among children, accounting for aspects of the natural history of rotavirus and differences in transmission rates between settings, and tested whether modelgenerated susceptibility measurements were associated with demographic and anthropometric factors. We identified greater variation in susceptibility to rotavirus infection and RVGE in Vellore than in Mexico City. In both cohorts, susceptibility to rotavirus infection and RVGE were associated with male sex, lower birth weight, lower maternal education, and having fewer siblings; within Vellore, susceptibility was also associated with lower socioeconomic status. Children who were more susceptible to rotavirus also experienced higher rates of diarrhea due to other causes. Simulations suggest that discrepant estimates of naturally-acquired immunity against RVGE can be attributed, in part, to between-setting differences in transmission intensity and susceptibility of children. We found that more children in Vellore than in Mexico City belong to a high-risk group for rotavirus infection and RVGE, and demonstrate that bias owing to differences in rotavirus transmission intensity and population susceptibility may hinder comparison of estimated immune protection against RVGE.\n\nAuthor summaryDifferences in susceptibility can help explain why some individuals, and not others, acquire infection and exhibit symptoms when exposed to infectious disease agents. However, it is difficult to distinguish between differences in susceptibility versus exposure in epidemiological studies. We developed a modeling approach to distinguish transmission intensity and susceptibility in data from cohort studies of rotavirus infection among children in Mexico City, Mexico, and Vellore, India, and evaluated how these factors may have contributed to differences in estimates of naturally-acquired immune protection between the studies. We found that more children were at \"high risk\" of acquiring rotavirus infection, and of experiencing gastroenteritis when infected, in Vellore versus Mexico City. The probability of belonging to this high-risk stratum was associated with recognized risk factors such as lower socioeconomic status, lower birth weight, and risk of diarrhea due to other causes. We also found the risk for rotavirus infections to cause symptoms declined with age, and was independent of acquired immunity. Together, these findings can account for estimates of lower protective efficacy of acquired immunity against rotavirus gastroenteritis in high-incidence settings, which mirrors estimates of reduced effectiveness of live oral rotavirus vaccines in low- and middle-income countries.

epidemiology↗