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Bakkestuen, V.

Publications and source records attributed to Bakkestuen, V..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

National-scale acoustic monitoring of avian biodiversity and phenology

Billions of birds migrate annually, triggered by endogenous behaviors but also by ecoclimatic drivers which are shifting with climate change. These dynamics play out over huge spatiotemporal scales, making monitoring of phenology challenging with traditional biodiversity survey approaches. In this study, over a complete spring migration season (April through June), we collected 37,429 hours of audio from 28 networked sensors in forests across Norway using a nationwide passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) system. We applied an open-source detection algorithm to automatically classify bird vocalizations; through expert validation we found the algorithm classified 57 species (14 full migrants) with at least 80% precision. Using these automated detections, we developed regional arrival curves for three common migratory passerines: Willow Warbler, Common Chiffchaff, and Spotted Flycatcher. We then demonstrate that PAM detections can be used to train audio species distribution models that map how species vocalization probability changes across Norway during spring migration. Lastly, we discuss how PAM can complement existing manual surveys to support the design and implementation of effective policy and conservation measures.

ecology↗

Modeling the Spatiotemporal Influence of Climate on American Avian Migration

Birds have adapted to climatic and ecological cycles to inform their Spring and Fall migration timings, but anthropogenic global warming has affected these long-establish cycles. Understanding these dynamics is critical for conservation during a changing climate. Here, we employ a modeling approach to explore how climate spatiotemporally affects bird occurrence on eBird surveys. Specifically, we train an ensemble of multivariate and multi-response random forest models on North and South American climate data, then predict eBird survey occurrence rates for 41 migrating passerine bird species in a Northeastern American ecoregion from 2008-2018. In October, when many passerines have begun their southward winter migration, we achieve more accurate predictions of bird occurrence using lagged climate features alone to predict occurrence. These results suggest that analyses of machine learning model metrics may be useful for identifying spatiotemporal climatic cues that affect migratory behavior. Lastly, we explore the application and limitations of random forests for prediction of future bird occurrence using 2021-2040 climate projections.

ecology↗