Biology subjects

Ancrenaz, M.

Publications and source records attributed to Ancrenaz, M..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Long-term Population Dynamics and Conservation of Proboscis Monkeys (Nasalis larvatus) in the Lower Kinabatangan, Sabah, Malaysia

Long-term ecological monitoring is essential for evaluating the effectiveness of conservation actions for long-lived tropical primates, yet few studies have integrated repeated population censuses with habitat-change analyses. We evaluated long-term population and habitat dynamics of the endangered proboscis monkey (Nasalis larvatus) in the Lower Kinabatangan, Sabah, Malaysian Borneo, by integrating a landscape-wide population survey conducted in 2025 with previous surveys from 2005 and 2014, long-term monitoring at three representative sites, and spatial analyses of land-use and land-cover change. Standardized late-afternoon boat-based surveys covering approximately 223 km of the Kinabatangan River and its tributaries recorded an estimated 2,420 individuals in 174 social groups, representing an increase of approximately 66% and 72% respectively compared with the 2005 survey. Group sizes (number of individuals per social group) remained largely unchanged despite the overall increase in population size. Long-term monitoring at three representative sites indicated stable population trajectories throughout the study period. Habitat analyses further revealed an increase in natural vegetation and limited conversion of forest to oil palm within protected areas between 2005 and 2025. Together, these independent lines of evidence indicate that the Lower Kinabatangan proboscis monkey population has recovered while maintaining overall demographic stability under long-term habitat protection. Nevertheless, substantial areas of suitable habitat remain outside the protected-area network, highlighting opportunities for additional habitat restoration and improved landscape connectivity. Our findings demonstrate the value of integrating long-term ecological monitoring with landscape-scale habitat assessment to inform adaptive conservation management in fragmented tropical landscapes.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Variable responses of individual species to tropical forest degradation

The functional stability of ecosystems depends greatly on interspecific differences in responses to environmental perturbation. However, responses to perturbation are not necessarily invariant among populations of the same species, so intraspecific variation in responses might also contribute. Such inter-population response diversity has recently been shown to occur spatially across species ranges, but we lack estimates of the extent to which individual populations across an entire community might have perturbation responses that vary through time. We assess this using 524 taxa that have been repeatedly surveyed for the effects of tropical forest logging at a focal landscape in Sabah, Malaysia. Just 39 % of taxa - all with non-significant responses to forest degradation - had invariant responses. All other taxa (61 %) showed significantly different responses to the same forest degradation gradient across surveys, with 6 % of taxa responding to forest degradation in opposite directions across multiple surveys. Individual surveys had low power (< 80 %) to determine the correct direction of response to forest degradation for one-fifth of all taxa. Recurrent rounds of logging disturbance increased the prevalence of intra-population response diversity, while uncontrollable environmental variation and/or turnover of intraspecific phenotypes generated variable responses in at least 44 % of taxa. Our results show that the responses of individual species to local environmental perturbations are remarkably flexible, likely providing an unrealised boost to the stability of disturbed habitats such as logged tropical forests.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Deforestation projections imply range-wide population decline for critically endangered Bornean orangutan

Assessing where wildlife populations are at risk from future habitat loss is particularly important for land-use planning and avoiding biodiversity declines. Combining projections of future deforestation with species density information provides an improved way to anticipate such declines. Using the endemic and critically endangered Bornean orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) as a case study we applied a spatio-temporally explicit deforestation model to forest loss data from 2001-2017 and projected future impacts on orangutans to the 2030s. Our projections point to continued deforestation across the island, amounting to a loss of forest habitat for 26,200 (CI: 19,500-34,000) orangutans. Populations currently persisting in forests gazetted for industrial timber and oil palm concessions, or unprotected forests outside of concessions, were projected to experience the worst losses within the next 15 years, amounting to 15,400 (CI: 12,000-20,500) individuals. Lowland forests with high orangutan densities in West and Central Kalimantan were also projected to be at high risk from deforestation, irrespective of land-use. In contrast, most protected areas and logging concessions currently harboring orangutans will continue to face low levels of deforestation. Our business-as-usual projections indicate the importance of protected areas, efforts to prevent the conversion of logged forests for the survival of highly vulnerable wildlife, and protecting orangutan habitat in plantation landscapes. The modeling framework could be expanded to other species with available density or occurrence data. Our findings highlight that species conservation should not only attempt to act on the current situation, but also be adapt to changes in drivers to be effective.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

The importance of orangutans in small fragments for maintaining metapopulation dynamics

Orangutans (Pongo spp.) occur at low densities and therefore large areas are necessary to sustain viable metapopulations, defined here as sets of conspecific units of individuals linked by dispersal. Historically, orangutans lived in large contiguous areas of intact rainforest, but are now increasingly found in agricultural and other landscapes modified by people. Here we collate evidence of orangutans utilizing isolated forest fragments (< 500 ha) within multiple-use landscapes dominated by oil palm monoculture across Borneo. Orangutan signs (i.e. nests) were evident in 76 fragments surveyed by helicopter, and in 50 of 70 additional fragments surveyed on the ground; on average 63 ha in size. This includes presence of adult resident females with dependent young confirmed in 40% of the fragments assessed by ground survey. Our study revealed some resident females are raising offspring in isolated forest patches within mature oil palm stands. This not only confirms that some forest patches can sustain orangutans, but indicates migratory males are capable of reaching these fragments scattered throughout the multiple-use landscape. Therefore, orangutans that use or live in even small isolated forest patches are an essential part of the overall metapopulation by maintaining gene flow between, and genetic connectivity within, populations distributed across larger multiple-use landscapes. Orangutan survival is commonly thought to be low in small, isolated forest patches, and the customary management strategy is to remove (translocate) these individuals and release them in larger forests. In some cases, translocations may be necessary, i.e. in case of fire or when the animals are in eminent danger of being killed and have no other refuge. However, the small amount of data available indicates that mortality rates during and after translocations are high, while the impacts of removing animals from spatially dispersed metapopulations are unknown. Therefore, we argue the current policy of routine translocation rather than conserving the species within human-modified landscapes could inadvertently decrease critical metapopulation functionality necessary for long-term viability. It is clear that orangutans need natural forest to survive, but our findings show that fragmented agricultural landscapes can also serve as complementary conservation areas in addition to fully protected areas if they are well designed with ecological connections, and if orangutan killing can be prevented. To achieve this, we call for a paradigm shift from the traditional large single forest model to one that emphasizes metapopulation functionality in the fragmented forest - human use matrix characteristic of the Anthropocene. Version 2 (20 May 2020): this manuscript is a non-peer reviewed preprint shared via the BiorXiv server while being considered for publication in a peer-reviewed academic journal. Please refer to the permanent digital object identifier (https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.17.100842). Under the Creative Commons license (CC-BY Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International) you are free to share the material as long as the authors are credited, you link to the license, and indicate if any changes have been made. You may not share the work in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. You cannot change the work in any way or use it commercially.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

The power of mixed survey methodologies for detecting decline of the Bornean orangutan

For many threatened species, it is difficult to assess precisely for large areas the change in their abundances over time and the relative impacts of climate and anthropogenic land use. This is because surveys of such species are typically restricted to small geographic areas, are conducted during short time periods, and use different survey protocols. We assessed the change in the abundance of Bornean orangutan Pongo pygmaeus morio in Sabah, Malaysia, and to identify environmental drivers affecting the change by integrating different types of survey data. We used nest count data obtained from aerial and ground transect surveys and occurrence data obtained from reconnaissance walks and interview survey over the past decade. We built a spatially-explicit dynamic population model within the Bayesian framework allowing these varying survey data to be analyzed jointly by explicitly accounting for each surveys sampling rate. We found that sampling rates vary across survey types, reflecting each surveys associated effort. Orangutan survival rates were strongly determined by natural forest extent and moderately by temperature. Orangutan migration rates across more than 1 km distance between forest patches were low, which underlines the importance of maintaining ecological connectivity. The paucity of species abundance data collected in a consistent manner over many years across broad extents often hinders the assessment of species population trend and their persistence across regional scales. We demonstrate that this can be addressed by integrating multiple survey data across different localities, provided that sampling rate inherent to each survey is accounted for.

ecology↗