Biology subjects

Alderman, R.

Publications and source records attributed to Alderman, R..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Mass mortality of southern elephant seals during multi-species outbreak of HPAI H5N1 on sub-Antarctic Heard Island

High pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) has spread across the sub-Antarctic, causing significant wildlife impacts. We report its first detection in an Australian external territory, Heard Island and McDonald Islands, which supports over one million breeding seabirds and seals. Drone and ground surveys (October 2025, January 2026), combined with viral genome analysis, confirmed infection with Influenza A H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b at Heard Island. Drone surveys revealed mass mortality in southern elephant seals, with 8,573 pups (62%) recorded dead across Heard Island by the final surveys. Mortality increased at an average rate of 5.6% per day in a subset of harems, and the highest observed mortality in a harem was 97%. Based on the average (76%) mortality in the final surveys, total estimated pup mortality at Heard Island was 13,359 (from a total population of 17,364 pups), though this may be an underestimate as mortality was ongoing at this time. HPAI was detected in six of nine species tested and, we suspect, led to elevated mortality in king and gentoo penguins. Phylogenetic analysis indicates the virus was introduced from Crozet Islands, with an estimated arrival around August 2025. These data show the continued easterly spread of HPAI around the sub-Antarctic, with severe but heterogeneous impacts across taxa. Our results demonstrate the value of drones for large-scale monitoring, underscoring the need for continued and enhanced HPAI surveillance across the Southern Ocean.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Detecting seabird responses to invasive species eradication

Maximising survey efficiency can help reduce the trade-off between spending limited conservation resources on evaluating performance of past interventions and directing those resources towards future interventions. Seabird responses to island eradications are often poorly evaluated owing to financial, logistical and methodological challenges associated with remote field work and species ecology. We surveyed an assemblage of threatened seabirds following the worlds largest island eradication of multiple invasive species, testing multiple survey designs and outputs. We compared the outcomes of two important choices made during survey design: 1) whether to use unbiased or targeted surveys; and 2) implementing design-based or model-based analyses. An unbiased whole-island stratified randomised survey design performed well in terms of confidence in the final population estimates for widespread species, but poorly for localised recolonising species. For widespread species, model-based analyses resulted in slightly lower population estimates with narrower confidence intervals than traditional design-based approaches but failed to capture the realised niches of recolonising species, resulting in population estimates three orders of magnitude higher than current best estimates. We conclude that a multi-method approach to survey design best captures the size and distribution of recovering populations when the study system is ecologically diverse--importantly our results suggest there is no single strategy for efficient surveys of diverse seabird communities following large island invasive species eradications.

ecology↗